Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sat, Oct 11, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff75°F7 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

Virginia Tech

2-4 · Power #73

final

Final

Georgia Tech

5-0 · Power #39

▲ winner

Closing spread

GT -14.5

✓ GT W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

VT 19–33 GT

✓ GT (84%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -14.5

CloseGT -14.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGT -14.5

no move

CloseGT -14.5

No change since the open

Total

Open55.5

no move

Close55.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GT -14.5 · unchangedmodel GT -12.5

model GT -12.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 13.5–15.5 since 2023: won 89%, covered 54% (108 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -14.5

CloseGT -14.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 14.5-point home favorite against VT, the favorite won 7, covered 2, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: GT won 35–20; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 55 points stayed under 55.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 83%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.2 against an average line of 14; 62.2 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UCF vs BAY 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & total	-11.5	35–36	L	O56
Very close	MD vs ILL 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & season form	-13.5	24–27	L	U52
Very close	TCU vs COLO 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & spread	-13.5	35–21	W	U57
Very close	MSST vs AUB 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & season form	-12.5	39–33	L	O50.5
Very close	TCU vs ARIZ 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	49–28	W	O60
Very close	OKST vs BYU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-16.5	40–34	L	O55
Close	SMU vs SYR 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & rest	-17.5	31–18	L	U56.5
Close	ISU vs TTU 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	22–23	L	U55.5
Close	MISS vs AUB 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & total	-15.5	48–34	L	O55
Close	CAL vs STAN 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & situation	-15	24–21	L	U53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
VT LL–WL	1-4	20%	1-0	1-1
GT WWWLL	3-2	60%	2-1	2-2

Venue/role: VT away, as underdog; GT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
VT OOUUO	3-3	50%	2-4
GT UOUOO	3-2	60%	5-0

Stayed under: it needed 14 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 51% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
VT	3-7 30%	2-7 22%	5-5 50%
GT	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

VT 1–0 GT VT leads · 1 game since 2023 · VT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	Georgia Tech 6 @ Virginia Tech 21	VT -11.5	VT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

VT+6.8 →−1.0▼ 7.8#70

GT+6.9 →+7.9▲ 1.0#37

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

Longer bar = better

#94

Offense

GT better ▶

#36

#105

Defense

GT better ▶

#51

−0.3 #94

Turnovers

◀ VT better

−0.8 #118

67 plays #56

Pace

◀ VT faster

66 plays #81

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When VT has the ball

Advantage: GT defense

	VT off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	23.5 #97	21.2 #54	GT
Yards / play	5.31 #98	5.09 #47	GT
PPA / play	+0.09 #91	+0.08 #66	GT
Success rate	41% #90	39% #36	GT

When GT has the ball

Advantage: GT offense

	GT off	VT def	Edge
Points / game	37.0 #27	28.3 #100	GT
Yards / play	7.26 #13	5.87 #104	GT
PPA / play	+0.14 #71	+0.22 #121	GT
Success rate	48% #31	43% #94	GT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

VT scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
VT scored	4.8 #96	7.8 #85	12.7 #92	5.5 #80	5.3 #94	10.8 #94
GT allowed	2.6 #26	6.8 #62	9.4 #37	4.0 #49	6.6 #75	10.6 #54

GT scoring against the VT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	6.8 #60	8.8 #71	15.6 #63	9.8 #13	10.2 #17	20.0 #9
VT allowed	4.0 #47	9.7 #111	13.7 #88	5.5 #82	9.2 #129	14.7 #116

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.