Clemson @ Boston College: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sat, Oct 11, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Boston College · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F5 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Clemson

2-3 · Power #34

▲ winner

Final

Boston College

1-4 · Power #84

final

Closing spread

CLEM -13.5

✓ CLEM W

Total

54.5

▼ Under · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

CLEM 33–20 BC

✓ CLEM (82%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCLEM -14.5

CloseCLEM -13.5

Total55.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCLEM -14.5

1 → BC

CloseCLEM -13.5

1 pt toward Boston College

Total

Open55.5

▼ 1

Close54.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CLEM -14.5 · closed CLEM -13.5 · moved 1 toward BCmodel CLEM -10

model CLEM -10

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 76%, covered 47% (70 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (231 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCLEM -14.5

CloseCLEM -13.5

Total55.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 13.5-point road favorite at BC, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: CLEM won 41–10; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 51 points stayed under 54.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 79%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.2 against an average line of 12.4; 60.2 points a game (usually 53.9). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FLA @ VAN 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-14	24–31	L	U58
Close	PUR @ IU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & total	-10	30–16	W	U53
Close	MIZ @ VAN 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & rest	-13.5	38–21	W	O54.5
Close	LOU @ BC 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-13.5	33–34	L	O48.25
Close	TULN @ RICE 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar total & rest	-10	30–28	L	O55
Close	MIA @ BC 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-10	45–20	W	O50.25
Close	WSU @ ORST 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & total	-11	38–41	L	O56.5
Close	TULN @ TLSA 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & rest	-14.5	31–14	W	U52.5
Close	WASH @ ASU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & rest	-13.5	38–45	L	O56
Close	UCLA @ SDSU 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	35–10	W	U49

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLEM LLLLW	1-4	20%	1-1	1-4
BC WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: CLEM away, as favorite; BC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLEM UUUOO	2-3	40%	2-3
BC OOOUO	4-1	80%	1-4

Stayed under: it needed 11 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 51% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLEM	5-5 50%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%
BC	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLEM+15.2 →+9.8▼ 5.4#30

BC+1.8 →−1.5▼ 3.3#72

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

CLEM

Longer bar = better

#79

Offense

BC better ▶

#57

#48

Defense

◀ CLEM better

#72

−0.6 #115

Turnovers

◀ CLEM better

−1.2 #129

65 plays #88

Pace

Even

65 plays #87

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLEM has the ball

Even matchup

	CLEM off	BC def	Edge
Points / game	23.4 #100	31.6 #120	Even
Yards / play	5.96 #59	5.24 #53	Even
PPA / play	+0.09 #94	+0.11 #77	Even
Success rate	44% #61	39% #39	BC

When BC has the ball

Even matchup

	BC off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	31.4 #56	20.2 #43	Even
Yards / play	6.09 #52	5.04 #43	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #52	+0.05 #52	Even
Success rate	44% #69	40% #52	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CLEM scoring against the BC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	7.6 #42	6.2 #106	13.8 #82	4.8 #93	4.8 #105	9.6 #113
BC allowed	6.6 #98	9.8 #113	16.4 #112	6.2 #94	6.0 #61	12.2 #82

BC scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BC scored	5.6 #78	10.2 #46	15.8 #62	5.4 #84	7.6 #60	13.0 #72
CLEM allowed	4.6 #65	7.2 #73	11.8 #68	3.4 #36	5.0 #40	8.4 #26

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.