Florida International @ Kennesaw State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2024)

Sat, Nov 23, 2024, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Kennesaw State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff53°F9 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Florida International

3-7 · Power #121

final

Final

Kennesaw State

1-9 · Power #133

▲ winner

Closing spread

FIU -8.5

✓ KENN W

Total

41.5

▲ Over · 53 pts

Model before kickoff

FIU 25–16 KENN

✗ FIU (73%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -8

CloseFIU -8.5

Total43.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFIU -8

0.5 → FIU

CloseFIU -8.5

0.5 pts toward Florida International

Total

Open43.5

▼ 2

Close41.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FIU -8 · closed FIU -8.5 · moved 0.5 toward FIUmodel FIU -8

model FIU -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 7.5–9.5 since 2023: won 73%, covered 54% (64 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -8

CloseFIU -8.5

Total43.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FIU as an 8.5-point road favorite at KENN, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: KENN won 27–26 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 53 points went over 41.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.7 against an average line of 7.9; 42.9 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BGSU @ KENT 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	49–19	W	O41.5
Very close	M-OH @ BGSU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	13–17	L	U45
Very close	WYO @ NEV 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & season form	-11	42–6	W	O41.75
Very close	BUFF @ KENT 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	24–6	W	U44
Very close	FIU @ UTEP 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & season form	-7	21–30	L	O47
Very close	WYO @ CSU 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & situation	-8.5	14–13	L	U42.5
Close	UNM @ NMSU 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & season form	-7	9–21	L	U38.5
Close	FRES @ AFA 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & situation	-9.5	28–36	L	O40.5
Close	SJSU @ UNLV 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar total & rest	-6	27–20	W	O44
Close	CSU @ AFA 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-6	21–13	W	U44

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FIU WLWWW	7-3	70%	3-2	1-2
KENN WWWLW	4-5	44%	2-3	4-5

Venue/role: FIU away, as favorite; KENN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FIU UOUOO	6-4	60%	3-7
KENN UOUOU	3-6	33%	1-9

Went over in Q3. Of 154 earlier overs in games with totals 37.5–45.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FIU	3-7 30%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
KENN	1-9 10%	4-5 44%	3-6 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

FIU 0–2 KENN KENN leads · 2 games since 2024 · KENN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FIU−14.7 →−12.5▲ 2.2#116

KENN−17.4 →−22.6▼ 5.2#133

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

FIU

Longer bar = better

KENN

#107

Offense

◀ FIU better

#136

#58

Defense

◀ FIU better

#106

−0.4 #95

Turnovers

◀ FIU better

−0.7 #118

61 plays #124

Pace

Even

62 plays #119

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FIU has the ball

Even matchup

	FIU off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	25.5 #91	31.5 #111	Even
Yards / play	5.49 #89	6.00 #104	Even
PPA / play	−0.04 #131	+0.15 #94	KENN
Success rate	38% #116	46% #116	Even

When KENN has the ball

Advantage: FIU defense

	KENN off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	17.1 #133	25.8 #76	FIU
Yards / play	4.02 #137	5.19 #42	FIU
PPA / play	−0.12 #137	+0.07 #51	FIU
Success rate	31% #136	41% #63	FIU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

FIU scoring against the KENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	4.8 #87	7.7 #79	12.5 #88	5.6 #74	7.4 #55	13.0 #71
KENN allowed	6.3 #99	8.8 #90	15.1 #99	8.0 #116	6.3 #64	14.3 #103

KENN scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENN scored	3.9 #108	3.7 #131	7.6 #130	3.8 #115	5.0 #117	8.8 #121
FIU allowed	3.7 #29	9.7 #104	13.4 #79	5.9 #76	5.8 #49	11.7 #56

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.