Delaware @ Jacksonville State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2025)

Wed, Oct 15, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Jacksonville State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff75°F1 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Delaware

3-2 · Power #117

final

Final

Jacksonville State

3-3 · Power #101

▲ winner

Closing spread

DEL -2.5

✓ JXST W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 63 pts

Model before kickoff

DEL 30–29 JXST

✗ DEL (52%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDEL -2.5

CloseDEL -2.5

Total57.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenDEL -2.5

no move

CloseDEL -2.5

No change since the open

Total

Open57.5

▼ 2

Close55.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened DEL -2.5 · unchangedmodel JXST -6.5

model JXST -6.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 55%, covered 47% (203 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDEL -2.5

CloseDEL -2.5

Total57.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DEL as a 2.5-point road favorite at JXST, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: JXST won 38–25 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 63 points went over 55.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 4.1 against an average line of 2.8; 59.5 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	KENT @ BGSU 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & spread	-2.75	40–6	W	U55.75
Very close	CSU @ USU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & season form	-3	24–44	L	O62
Very close	UTSA @ FAU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	36–10	W	U58.5
Close	SJSU @ WYO 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation	-1.5	28–35	L	O49.5
Close	CCU @ TROY 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-4	24–38	L	O51.5
Close	KENT @ M-OH 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar total & situation	-5	24–27	L	U56.5
Close	BGSU @ WMU 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	34–10	W	U51.5
Close	FRES @ NEV 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & spread	-3	24–21	P	U50
Close	RICE @ LT 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-3	42–41	L	O57
Close	FAU @ UAB 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & spread	-1	42–45	L	O59.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEL LLWWL	2-3	40%	1-1	0-2
JXST WLLLL	2-4	33%	1-1	2-2

Venue/role: DEL away, as favorite; JXST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEL UUOUU	1-4	20%	3-2
JXST OOUOO	4-2	67%	3-3

Went over in Q4. Of 475 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DELlast 6	3-3 50%	2-4 33%	2-4 33%
JXST	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DEL−22.6 →−12.3▲ 10.3#114

JXST−5.1 →−9.4▼ 4.3#106

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

DEL

Longer bar = better

JXST

#46

Offense

Even

#58

#105

Defense

Even

#101

−0.2 #92

Turnovers

JXST better ▶

0.0 #71

72 plays #22

Pace

Even

73 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DEL has the ball

Advantage: DEL offense

	DEL off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	29.6 #58	26.8 #88	DEL
Yards / play	5.90 #61	5.74 #97	DEL
PPA / play	+0.21 #36	+0.18 #106	DEL
Success rate	48% #30	45% #113	DEL

When JXST has the ball

Advantage: JXST offense

	JXST off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #59	26.4 #86	JXST
Yards / play	5.80 #65	5.90 #105	JXST
PPA / play	+0.16 #55	+0.24 #129	JXST
Success rate	45% #52	44% #100	JXST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

DEL scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEL scored	4.8 #97	13.2 #12	18.0 #42	4.2 #102	6.2 #78	10.4 #101
JXST allowed	6.8 #102	6.3 #51	13.2 #76	5.2 #71	8.5 #115	13.7 #103

JXST scoring against the DEL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.3 #65	7.8 #86	14.2 #77	7.0 #50	8.3 #45	15.3 #41
DEL allowed	4.8 #65	7.4 #82	12.2 #69	8.2 #124	5.4 #46	13.6 #102

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.