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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 8 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 8: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
59 finalFavorites 28-31 ATS16 upsetsO/U 29-30Model Favorite 43-16Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5959 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS28-3147% covered
Upsets16outright
Over / Under29-3049% over
Model Favorite43-1673% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up20 all 20 final
Over8 40%Under12 60%
Moved down25 all 25 final
Over12 48%Under13 52%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
18–2245%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
13–1252%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
8–562%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
—
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Oct 14

3
Final · Conf
New Mexico State
3-2 · #129
27
Liberty
2-4 · #104
30
Spread
LIB -11.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
17–29
✓ LIB won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: LIB by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
2-4 · #110
15
South Alabama
1-5 · #102
14
Spread
USA -8.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
57.5
▼ Under 29
Projected
25–33
✗ USA lost
Model: USA by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Florida International
2-3 · #109
25
Western Kentucky
5-1 · #94
6
Spread
WKU -9.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
23–32
✗ WKU lost
Trend: WKU ATS ✗ Model: WKU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Oct 15

2
Final · Conf
Delaware
3-2 · #117
25
Jacksonville State
3-3 · #101
38
Spread
DEL -2.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
30–29
✗ DEL lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: JXST by 9 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UTEP
1-5 · #131
35
Sam Houston
0-6 · #135
17
Spread
UTEP -3.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
26–23
✓ UTEP won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✓ Model: SHSU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Thursday, Oct 16

1
Final · Conf
Tulsa
2-4 · #113
27
East Carolina
3-3 · #51
41
Spread
ECU -16.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
17–34
✓ ECU won
Trend: ECU ATS ✗ Model: ECU by 5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Oct 17

4
Final · Conf
Louisville
4-1 · #25
24
Miami
5-0 · #6
21
Spread
MIA -10.5
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼5
▼ Under 45
Projected
21–32
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIA by 3 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nebraska
5-1 · #45
6
Minnesota
4-2 · #69
24
Spread
NEB -6.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 30
Projected
26–19
✗ NEB lost
Trend: NEB ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: NEB by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
San José State
2-4 · #106
25
Utah State
3-3 · #86
30
Spread
USU -3.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
62.5 ▼2
▼ Under 55
Projected
30–34
✓ USU won
Trend: USU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: USU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
North Carolina
2-3 · #89
18
California
4-2 · #76
21
Spread
CAL -8.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▼ Under 39
Projected
19–28
✓ CAL won
Model: CAL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Saturday, Oct 18

49
Final · Conf
LSU
5-1 · #31
24
Vanderbilt
5-1 · #13
31
Spread
VAN -1.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
26–27
✓ VAN won
Model: LSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
6-0 · #39
27
Duke
4-2 · #47
18
Spread
DUKE -3.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
28–31
✗ DUKE lost
Trend: DUKE ATS ✗ Model: GT by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Washington
5-1 · #15
7
Michigan
4-2 · #21
24
Spread
MICH -4.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 31
Projected
23–28
✓ MICH won
Model: WASH by 0 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
UConn
4-2 · #87
38
Boston College
1-5 · #84
23
Spread
CONN -2.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
29–28
✓ CONN won
Trend: CONN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: BC by 5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arizona
4-2 · #26
28
Houston
5-1 · #49
31
Spread
ARIZ -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
24–22
✗ ARIZ lost
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Baylor
4-2 · #50
36
TCU
4-2 · #33
42
Spread
TCU -3.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
67.5
▲ Over 78 · Q4
Projected
30–34
✓ TCU won
Trend: TCU ATS ✓ Model: TCU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Army
3-3 · #83
17
Tulane
5-1 · #57
24
Spread
TULN -10.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
17–28
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TULN by 4 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
3-3 · #103
27
Bowling Green
3-3 · #120
6
Spread
BGSU -3.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
20–25
✗ BGSU lost
Model: BGSU by 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
2-5 · #123
30
Miami (OH)
3-3 · #91
44
Spread
M-OH -11.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 74 · Q4
Projected
19–30
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✓ Model: M-OH by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
5-1 · #16
26
South Carolina
3-3 · #43
7
Spread
OU -4.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
24–19
✓ OU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: OU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
West Virginia
2-4 · #77
13
UCF
3-3 · #66
45
Spread
UCF -6.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
21–28
✓ UCF won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UCF by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kent State
2-4 · #132
10
Toledo
3-3 · #48
45
Spread
TOL -25.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
12–38
✓ TOL won
Trend: TOL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TOL by 5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Buffalo
3-3 · #118
28
Massachusetts
0-6 · #136
21
Spread
BUFF -16.5
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
32–17
✓ BUFF won
Trend: BUFF ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: MASS by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Purdue
2-4 · #79
0
Northwestern
4-2 · #59
19
Spread
NU -3.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▼ Under 19
Projected
22–26
✓ NU won
Trend: NU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Troy
4-2 · #99
37
UL Monroe
3-3 · #130
14
Spread
TROY -5.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
26–20
✓ TROY won
Trend: TROY ATS ✓ Model: TROY by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio State
6-0 · #2
34
Wisconsin
2-4 · #63
0
Spread
OSU -24.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
34–9
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓ Model: OSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Michigan State
3-3 · #67
13
Indiana
6-0 · #1
38
Spread
IU -26.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
11–38
✓ IU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: IU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ole Miss
6-0 · #9
35
Georgia
5-1 · #7
43
Spread
UGA -7.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▲ Over 78 · Q3
Projected
24–32
✓ UGA won
Trend: MISS ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: MISS by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
SMU
4-2 · #27
35
Clemson
3-3 · #34
24
Spread
CLEM -5.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼5
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
23–29
✗ CLEM lost
Trend: Under ✗Trend: SMU ATS ✓ Model: CLEM by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wyoming
3-3 · #107
21
Air Force
1-5 · #95
24
Spread
AFA -3.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▼ Under 45
Projected
22–26
✓ AFA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: AFA by 1 ✗ Model: Under 8.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UNLV
6-0 · #74
31
Boise State
4-2 · #55
56
Spread
BOIS -13.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼2
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
24–38
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNLV by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
3-3 · #122
45
App State
4-2 · #115
37
Spread
APP -10.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▲ Over 82 · Q3
Projected
20–31
✗ APP lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CCU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
4-2 · #46
27
James Madison
5-1 · #28
63
Spread
JMU -3.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 90 · Q2
Projected
23–26
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓ Model: ODU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Texas State
3-3 · #71
37
Marshall
3-3 · #88
40
Spread
TXST -2.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
65.5
▲ Over 77 · OT
Projected
32–30
✗ TXST lost
Trend: MRSH ATS ✓ Model: MRSH by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Temple
3-3 · #96
49
Charlotte
1-5 · #134
14
Spread
TEM -9.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
30–20
✓ TEM won
Model: TEM by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Akron
2-5 · #127
28
Ball State
2-4 · #133
42
Spread
BALL -1.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
21–23
✓ BALL won
Model: BALL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
1-5 · #124
21
Ohio
3-3 · #78
48
Spread
OHIO -11.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
15–26
✓ OHIO won
Trend: OHIO ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: OHIO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
6-0 · #5
22
Arizona State
4-2 · #41
26
Spread
TTU -8.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲3
▼ Under 48
Projected
32–23
✗ TTU lost
Trend: TTU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: ASU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Memphis
6-0 · #61
24
UAB
2-4 · #119
31
Spread
MEM -23.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼5
▼ Under 55
Projected
41–18
✗ MEM lost
Trend: MEM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: UAB by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UTSA
3-3 · #65
17
North Texas
5-1 · #38
55
Spread
UNT -3.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
63.5 ▼5
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
30–34
✓ UNT won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNT by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
4-2 · #56
21
Florida
2-4 · #37
23
Spread
FLA -9.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 44
Projected
21–31
✓ FLA won
Trend: MSST ATS ✓ Model: FLA by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Southern Miss
4-2 · #98
22
Louisiana
2-4 · #114
10
Spread
USM -4.5
✓ USM W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▼ Under 32
Projected
28–24
✓ USM won
Trend: USM ATS ✓ Model: UL by 3 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
6-0 · #10
45
Arkansas
2-4 · #40
42
Spread
TA&M -8.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼5
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
34–26
✓ TA&M won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ARK by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Oregon
5-1 · #4
56
Rutgers
3-3 · #62
10
Spread
ORE -18.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲2
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
40–22
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: RUTG by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Washington State
3-3 · #60
20
Virginia
5-1 · #32
22
Spread
UVA -16.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▼ Under 42
Projected
20–36
✓ UVA won
Trend: UVA ATS ✗ Model: UVA by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas
4-2 · #14
16
Kentucky
2-3 · #52
13
Spread
TEX -13.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲2
▼ Under 29
Projected
29–15
✓ TEX won
Trend: TEX ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: UK by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Penn State
3-3 · #17
24
Iowa
4-2 · #20
25
Spread
IOWA -3.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲3
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
21–25
✓ IOWA won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: PSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Maryland
4-2 · #72
17
UCLA
2-4 · #70
20
Spread
UCLA -4.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–26
✓ UCLA won
Trend: MD ATS ✓ Model: MD by 5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
5-2 · #90
31
Colorado State
2-4 · #116
19
Spread
CSU -2.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 50
Projected
23–26
✗ CSU lost
Trend: CSU ATS ✗ Model: CSU by 7 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia State
1-5 · #125
24
Georgia Southern
2-4 · #105
41
Spread
GASO -6.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
27–33
✓ GASO won
Trend: GASO ATS ✓ Model: GASO by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Tennessee
5-1 · #22
20
Alabama
5-1 · #11
37
Spread
ALA -8.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲2
▼ Under 57
Projected
24–33
✓ ALA won
Trend: Over ✗Trend: ALA ATS ✓ Model: ALA by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
USC
5-1 · #12
24
Notre Dame
4-2 · #3
34
Spread
ND -10.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼1
▼ Under 58
Projected
26–37
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✗ Model: USC by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida Atlantic
3-3 · #108
13
South Florida
5-1 · #29
48
Spread
USF -20.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
72.5 ▼2
▼ Under 61
Projected
21–42
✓ USF won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: USF by 3 ✓ Model: Under 9 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Pittsburgh
4-2 · #35
30
Syracuse
3-3 · #92
13
Spread
PITT -8.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼2
▼ Under 43
Projected
32–24
✓ PITT won
Model: SYR by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Missouri
5-1 · #18
23
Auburn
3-3 · #24
17
Spread
MIZ -1.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
25–23
✓ MIZ won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✓ Model: MIZ by 1 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · Conf
Utah
5-1 · #8
21
BYU
6-0 · #19
24
Spread
UTAH -5.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▼ Under 45
Projected
27–22
✗ UTAH lost
Trend: UTAH ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: BYU by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
5-1 · #58
49
Oklahoma State
1-5 · #111
17
Spread
CIN -23.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
38–15
✓ CIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✓ Model: OKST by 2 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Nevada
1-5 · #121
22
New Mexico
3-3 · #81
24
Spread
UNM -14.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▼ Under 46
Projected
19–33
✓ UNM won
Trend: UNM ATS ✗ Model: UNM by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida State
3-3 · #23
13
Stanford
2-4 · #85
20
Spread
FSU -17.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▼ Under 33
Projected
36–18
✗ FSU lost
Trend: FSU ATS ✗ Model: FSU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total