Temple @ Charlotte: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2025)

Sat, Oct 18, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Charlotte · Conference game

Weather at kickoff81°F7 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Temple

3-3 · Power #96

▲ winner

Final

Charlotte

1-5 · Power #134

final

Closing spread

TEM -9.5

✓ TEM W

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 63 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 30–20 CLT

✓ TEM (76%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEM -11.5

CloseTEM -9.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTEM -11.5

2 → CLT

CloseTEM -9.5

2 pts toward Charlotte

Total

Open47.5

▼ 1

Close46.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TEM -11.5 · closed TEM -9.5 · moved 2 toward CLTmodel TEM -11.5

model TEM -11.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 8.5–10.5 since 2023: won 72%, covered 47% (69 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (167 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEM -11.5

CloseTEM -9.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TEM as a 9.5-point road favorite at CLT, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: TEM won 49–14; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 63 points went over 46.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.9 against an average line of 10.6; 57.1 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 7 overs, 5 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CONN @ MASS 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & season form	-9.5	47–42	L	O49.5
Very close	SHSU @ UTEP 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar season form & situation	-10	41–21	W	O49.5
Very close	USA @ ULM 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & situation	-11	55–7	W	O51
Very close	WYO @ NEV 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-11	42–6	W	O41.75
Very close	M-OH @ KENT 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & situation	-14.5	23–3	W	U49.5
Close	MEM @ CLT 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-10	44–38	L	O51.5
Close	FRES @ AFA 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	28–36	L	O40.5
Close	FIU @ KENN 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-9	26–27	L	O42
Close	UL @ ULM 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	17–21	L	U51
Close	WYO @ HAW 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-11.5	27–20	L	U50.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM WLWWW	5-1	83%	2-0	2-0
CLT LWLWW	3-3	50%	1-2	2-3

Venue/role: TEM away, as favorite; CLT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM OUOUO	4-2	67%	3-3
CLT UOOOU	3-2	60%	1-5

Went over in Q3. Of 423 earlier overs in games with totals 42.5–50.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
CLT	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM−16.1 →−6.9▲ 9.2#90

CLT−11.9 →−20.1▼ 8.2#134

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

TEM

Longer bar = better

CLT

#56

Offense

◀ TEM better

#123

#98

Defense

◀ TEM better

#120

+1.0 #10

Turnovers

◀ TEM better

−1.2 #133

67 plays #66

Pace

◀ TEM faster

65 plays #91

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	30.3 #55	32.5 #125	TEM
Yards / play	5.71 #72	6.06 #115	TEM
PPA / play	+0.24 #30	+0.16 #103	TEM
Success rate	44% #68	50% #135	TEM

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: TEM defense

	CLT off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #125	26.2 #82	TEM
Yards / play	4.73 #127	5.85 #103	TEM
PPA / play	−0.02 #127	+0.14 #94	TEM
Success rate	39% #113	45% #112	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	6.3 #66	8.5 #75	14.8 #71	8.2 #32	7.3 #62	15.5 #40
CLT allowed	9.0 #126	9.7 #111	18.7 #127	5.2 #72	8.7 #118	13.8 #103

CLT scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	1.0 #134	3.8 #129	4.8 #134	4.0 #104	8.8 #37	12.8 #73
TEM allowed	9.3 #127	5.2 #27	14.5 #94	8.2 #121	3.5 #16	11.7 #70

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.