Charlotte @ Army: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sat, Oct 11, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Army · Conference game

Weather at kickoff59°F5 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Charlotte

1-4 · Power #134

final

Final

Army

2-3 · Power #83

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARMY -17.5

✓ CLT W

Total

44.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

CLT 15–33 ARMY

✓ ARMY (90%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARMY -20.5

CloseARMY -17.5

Total47.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARMY -20.5

3 → CLT

CloseARMY -17.5

3 pts toward Charlotte

Total

Open47.5

▼ 3

Close44.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARMY -20.5 · closed ARMY -17.5 · moved 3 toward CLTmodel ARMY -18.5

model ARMY -18.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 51% (110 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (157 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARMY -20.5

CloseARMY -17.5

Total47.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARMY as a 17.5-point home favorite against CLT, the favorite won 8, covered 3, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: ARMY won 24–7; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 31 points stayed under 44.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 89%

Favorite covered

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 11.2 against an average line of 15.6; 50.6 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	M-OH vs MASS 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & rest	-15.5	23–20	L	U44.5
Very close	NIU vs AKR 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & season form	-14	29–16	L	O43.5
Close	IU vs AKR 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-16.5	29–27	L	O46
Close	WYO vs HAW 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & rest	-13.5	42–9	W	O45
Close	NIU vs MASS 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar rest	-14	34–20	P	O41
Close	TOL vs BGSU 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar total & rest	-14.5	35–42	L	O46.5
Close	MEM vs TEM 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & rest	-18.5	24–3	W	U50
Close	TROY vs ARST 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & season form	-15.5	37–3	W	U52
Close	UK vs VAN 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & season form	-17	21–24	L	U45.5
Close	ARST vs MASS 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar season form	-17.25	35–33	L	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLT LLWLW	2-3	40%	1-0	1-3
ARMY LWLLW	2-3	40%	0-2	1-1

Venue/role: CLT away, as underdog; ARMY home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLT –UOOO	3-1	75%	1-4
ARMY OUOUU	2-3	40%	2-3

Stayed under: it needed 21 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 55% of games with totals 40.5–48.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLT	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-3 67%
ARMY	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLT−11.9 →−20.1▼ 8.2#134

ARMY−9.7 →−5.5▲ 4.2#83

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

CLT

Longer bar = better

ARMY

#117

Offense

Even

#104

#121

Defense

ARMY better ▶

#91

−1.4 #133

Turnovers

ARMY better ▶

−0.2 #89

67 plays #61

Pace

ARMY faster ▶

75 plays #10

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: ARMY defense

	CLT off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	19.8 #114	27.4 #95	Even
Yards / play	4.97 #120	5.73 #93	ARMY
PPA / play	+0.02 #119	+0.13 #85	ARMY
Success rate	39% #115	43% #90	ARMY

When ARMY has the ball

Even matchup

	ARMY off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	25.2 #86	34.2 #127	ARMY
Yards / play	4.82 #125	6.25 #121	Even
PPA / play	+0.03 #116	+0.17 #103	Even
Success rate	42% #88	49% #134	ARMY

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CLT scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	1.2 #133	4.6 #120	5.8 #132	4.8 #90	9.2 #29	14.0 #59
ARMY allowed	9.6 #127	6.2 #49	15.8 #101	3.6 #39	5.4 #50	9.0 #37

ARMY scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	2.8 #124	6.8 #100	9.6 #118	6.8 #52	8.2 #45	15.0 #45
CLT allowed	9.4 #126	9.6 #108	19.0 #126	4.8 #68	10.4 #131	15.2 #120

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.