Army @ Tulane: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2025)

Sat, Oct 18, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Tulane · Conference game

Weather at kickoff82°F10 mphgusts 24Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Army

3-3 · Power #83

final

Final

Tulane

5-1 · Power #57

▲ winner

Closing spread

TULN -10.5

✓ ARMY W

Total

44.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

ARMY 17–28 TULN

✓ TULN (79%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -10.5

CloseTULN -10.5

Total46.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTULN -10.5

no move

CloseTULN -10.5

No change since the open

Total

Open46.5

▼ 2

Close44.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TULN -10.5 · unchangedmodel TULN -14.5

model TULN -14.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 75%, covered 41% (119 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -10.5

CloseTULN -10.5

Total46.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 10.5-point home favorite against ARMY, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: TULN won 24–17; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 44.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.9 against an average line of 11.4; 41.7 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CAL vs NCSU 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-9.5	23–24	L	O46
Very close	FRES vs HAW 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & total	-12.5	20–21	L	U45.5
Very close	MD vs NU 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & spread	-11	10–37	L	O45
Very close	ORST vs CAL 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-11.5	38–10	W	O47
Very close	LIB vs VT 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10.5	22–23	L	U46.25
Very close	WIS vs NU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-12	10–24	L	U43.5
Very close	PITT vs VT 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-14.5	45–29	W	O42
Very close	DUKE vs VT 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10	24–7	W	U50
Very close	TROY vs ARMY 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar season form & rest	-8.5	10–9	L	U45.5
Very close	MINN vs RUTG 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-14	31–0	W	U40.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY WLLWL	2-4	33%	2-1	1-2
TULN LWLWW	4-2	67%	3-0	3-1

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; TULN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY UOUUU	2-4	33%	3-3
TULN OOUUU	2-4	33%	5-1

Stayed under: it needed 25 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 55% of games with totals 40.5–48.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
TULN	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARMY 1–0 TULN ARMY leads · 1 game since 2023 · ARMY has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 6 2024	Tulane 14 @ Army 35	TULN -4.5	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARMY−9.7 →−5.8▲ 3.9#84

TULN+5.1 →+4.7▼ 0.4#51

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

ARMY

Longer bar = better

TULN

#97

Offense

TULN better ▶

#69

#68

Defense

Even

#70

−0.2 #89

Turnovers

TULN better ▶

+1.0 #16

75 plays #11

Pace

◀ ARMY faster

69 plays #41

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARMY has the ball

Advantage: TULN defense

	ARMY off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #89	23.2 #63	TULN
Yards / play	4.85 #123	5.57 #80	TULN
PPA / play	+0.04 #109	0.00 #32	TULN
Success rate	44% #67	44% #104	ARMY

When TULN has the ball

Even matchup

	TULN off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	26.2 #84	24.0 #70	Even
Yards / play	5.87 #62	5.37 #60	Even
PPA / play	+0.15 #64	+0.08 #62	Even
Success rate	44% #66	42% #79	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ARMY scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	3.5 #118	7.3 #91	10.8 #108	6.8 #53	6.8 #68	13.7 #60
TULN allowed	5.7 #79	4.8 #22	10.5 #48	3.8 #41	8.8 #122	12.7 #88

TULN scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	7.5 #44	10.3 #40	17.8 #43	3.3 #121	5.0 #103	8.3 #122
ARMY allowed	8.0 #118	5.2 #29	13.2 #76	3.0 #26	5.7 #55	8.7 #29

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.