UAB @ Florida Atlantic: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sat, Oct 11, 2025, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Florida Atlantic · Conference game

Weather at kickoff80°F5 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

UAB

2-3 · Power #119

final

Final

Florida Atlantic

2-3 · Power #108

▲ winner

Closing spread

FAU -5.5

✓ FAU W

Total

65.5

▲ Over · 86 pts

Model before kickoff

UAB 30–36 FAU

✓ FAU (66%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFAU -4.5

CloseFAU -5.5

Total69.5 → 65.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFAU -4.5

1 → FAU

CloseFAU -5.5

1 pt toward Florida Atlantic

Total

Open69.5

▼ 4

Close65.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FAU -4.5 · closed FAU -5.5 · moved 1 toward FAUmodel FAU -6

model FAU -6

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 68%, covered 56% (151 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (194 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFAU -4.5

CloseFAU -5.5

Total69.5 → 65.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FAU as a 5.5-point home favorite against UAB, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: FAU won 53–33; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 86 points went over 65.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.3 against an average line of 6.1; 61.5 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UNT vs TEM 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	45–14	W	U68
Very close	UNT vs LT 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	47–27	W	O68.25
Very close	USU vs SDSU 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-5	41–20	W	O60
Very close	EMU vs BUFF 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & season form	-6.5	31–50	L	O57.5
Very close	UAB vs TEM 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form	-8	34–24	W	U61.5
Close	GASO vs APP 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	29–20	W	U60.5
Close	KENT vs EMU 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	24–31	L	U60
Close	WMU vs EMU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	23–45	L	O55.5
Close	NAVY vs UNT 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	27–24	L	U60.5
Close	APP vs GAST 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & season form	-7.5	33–26	L	P59

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UAB LWLWL	2-3	40%	2-0	2-1
FAU LWLLW	2-3	40%	1-1	1-0

Venue/role: UAB away, as underdog; FAU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UAB OOUOU	3-2	60%	2-3
FAU UOOOU	3-2	60%	2-3

Went over in Q3. Of 87 earlier overs in games with totals 61.5–69.5, 21% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UAB	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
FAU	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UAB 1–0 FAU UAB leads · 1 game since 2023 · UAB has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2023	Florida Atlantic 42 @ UAB 45	Pick’em	UAB W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UAB−11.1 →−14.3▼ 3.2#122

FAU−10.0 →−11.5▼ 1.5#111

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

UAB

Longer bar = better

FAU

#55

Offense

◀ UAB better

#93

#134

Defense

FAU better ▶

#108

−1.0 #125

Turnovers

Even

−2.0 #137

65 plays #93

Pace

FAU faster ▶

80 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UAB has the ball

Advantage: UAB offense

	UAB off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	28.8 #69	33.4 #126	UAB
Yards / play	6.49 #37	5.73 #94	UAB
PPA / play	+0.16 #63	+0.18 #109	UAB
Success rate	45% #50	44% #101	UAB

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: FAU offense

	FAU off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	28.8 #70	39.0 #134	FAU
Yards / play	5.42 #91	6.52 #128	FAU
PPA / play	+0.04 #112	+0.36 #136	FAU
Success rate	41% #98	51% #136	FAU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UAB scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	6.2 #66	11.0 #33	17.2 #48	6.2 #63	5.4 #96	11.6 #84
FAU allowed	6.2 #93	8.6 #98	14.8 #95	9.6 #128	9.0 #126	18.6 #132

FAU scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	11.4 #8	8.6 #74	20.0 #25	2.0 #130	6.8 #73	8.8 #118
UAB allowed	11.8 #135	11.6 #125	23.4 #136	7.0 #111	8.6 #117	15.6 #125

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.