Army @ UAB: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2025)

Sat, Oct 4, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at UAB · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F8 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Army

1-3 · Power #83

▲ winner

Final

UAB

2-2 · Power #119

final

Closing spread

ARMY -6.5

✓ ARMY W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 44 pts

Model before kickoff

ARMY 32–26 UAB

✓ ARMY (67%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARMY -7.5

CloseARMY -6.5

Total58.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARMY -7.5

1 → UAB

CloseARMY -6.5

1 pt toward UAB

Total

Open58.5

▼ 3

Close55.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARMY -7.5 · closed ARMY -6.5 · moved 1 toward UABmodel ARMY -4

model ARMY -4

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 55% (130 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 61% (56 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARMY -7.5

CloseARMY -6.5

Total58.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARMY as a 6.5-point road favorite at UAB, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ARMY won 31–13; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 44 points stayed under 55.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.7 against an average line of 5.8; 59.3 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SJSU @ UNM 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & situation	-6.5	52–24	W	O55
Very close	SDSU @ HAW 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & season form	-6	41–34	W	O52
Close	CSU @ HAW 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form	-5.5	24–27	L	U53.75
Close	WMU @ CMU 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form	-6	14–16	L	U56
Close	RICE @ LT 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation	-3	42–41	L	O57
Close	BOIS @ CSU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & season form	-7.5	30–31	L	O60
Close	NIU @ BALL 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar season form & situation	-3.25	38–44	L	O58.5
Close	USM @ ULM 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & season form	-3	20–10	W	U50
Close	M-OH @ BGSU 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & season form	-7	13–17	L	U45
Close	USU @ HAW 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & season form	-10.5	41–34	L	O55

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY LWLL	1-3	25%	1-1	0-1
UAB LWLW	2-2	50%	0-2	2-0

Venue/role: ARMY away, as favorite; UAB home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY OUOU	2-2	50%	1-3
UAB OOUO	3-1	75%	2-2

Stayed under: it needed 32 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 52% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
UAB	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARMY 1–0 UAB ARMY leads · 1 game since 2023 · ARMY has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 12 2024	UAB 10 @ Army 44	ARMY -25.5	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARMY−9.7 →−6.5▲ 3.2#84

UAB−11.1 →−13.2▼ 2.1#118

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

ARMY

Longer bar = better

UAB

#112

Offense

UAB better ▶

#42

#103

Defense

◀ ARMY better

#134

−0.8 #120

Turnovers

Even

−0.8 #116

78 plays #6

Pace

◀ ARMY faster

66 plays #70

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARMY has the ball

Advantage: ARMY offense

	ARMY off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	23.8 #95	41.0 #134	ARMY
Yards / play	4.89 #125	7.01 #131	Even
PPA / play	−0.01 #125	+0.40 #136	Even
Success rate	41% #102	52% #136	ARMY

When UAB has the ball

Advantage: UAB offense

	UAB off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	32.8 #54	31.0 #117	UAB
Yards / play	6.60 #32	5.66 #86	UAB
PPA / play	+0.20 #53	+0.16 #95	UAB
Success rate	49% #28	46% #112	UAB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ARMY scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	3.5 #115	6.0 #104	9.5 #119	6.8 #59	6.8 #75	13.5 #69
UAB allowed	14.8 #136	12.0 #124	26.8 #136	7.0 #105	7.3 #89	14.3 #113

UAB scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	7.8 #45	12.0 #29	19.8 #34	7.8 #44	5.3 #97	13.0 #72
ARMY allowed	12.0 #132	6.0 #50	18.0 #117	4.5 #61	5.3 #52	9.8 #47

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.