Temple @ Tulsa: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2025)

Sat, Oct 25, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Tulsa · Conference game

Weather at kickoff64°F11 mphgusts 25Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Temple

4-3 · Power #96

▲ winner

Final

Tulsa

2-5 · Power #113

final

Closing spread

TEM -3.5

✓ TLSA W

Total

52.5

▲ Over · 75 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 27–23 TLSA

✓ TEM (62%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEM -6.5

CloseTEM -3.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTEM -6.5

3 → TLSA

CloseTEM -3.5

3 pts toward Tulsa

Total

Open53.5

▼ 1

Close52.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TEM -6.5 · closed TEM -3.5 · moved 3 toward TLSAmodel TEM -7

model TEM -7

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (193 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (177 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTEM -6.5

CloseTEM -3.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TEM as a 3.5-point road favorite at TLSA, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TEM won 38–37; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 75 points went over 52.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1.4 against an average line of 4.1; 56.8 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LIB @ BUFF 2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-2.75	55–27	W	O54
Very close	WKU @ MOST 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	27–22	W	U59.5
Very close	SHSU @ FIU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-5	10–7	L	U47
Very close	FAU @ UTEP 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & total	-3	21–24	L	U50.75
Very close	ORST @ NEV 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	37–42	L	O47
Very close	RICE @ CLT 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-1	28–7	W	U46.5
Close	GAST @ CLT 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.25	41–25	W	O52
Close	UL @ ARST 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-7	17–37	L	U59.5
Close	USU @ CONN 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar total & rest	-4.5	34–33	L	O51
Close	TLSA @ NAVY 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & rest	-4.5	21–53	L	O45.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM LWWWW	6-1	86%	3-0	3-0
TLSA LWLLW	3-4	43%	1-2	2-3

Venue/role: TEM away, as favorite; TLSA home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM UOUOO	5-2	71%	4-3
TLSA OUUUO	2-5	29%	2-5

Went over in Q4. Of 546 earlier overs in games with totals 48.5–56.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	6-4 60%
TLSA	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

TEM 1–1 TLSA Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · TEM has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 19 2024	Tulsa 10 @ Temple 20	TEM -2.5	TEM W
Sep 28 2023	Temple 26 @ Tulsa 48	TLSA -3	TLSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM−16.1 →−5.0▲ 11.1#83

TLSA−18.6 →−14.6▲ 4.0#122

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

TEM

Longer bar = better

TLSA

#44

Offense

◀ TEM better

#120

#81

Defense

Even

#90

+1.3 #4

Turnovers

◀ TEM better

−0.6 #111

65 plays #95

Pace

TLSA faster ▶

74 plays #7

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	33.0 #44	28.4 #102	TEM
Yards / play	5.89 #60	5.51 #73	Even
PPA / play	+0.26 #23	+0.11 #78	TEM
Success rate	45% #48	45% #107	TEM

When TLSA has the ball

Advantage: TEM defense

	TLSA off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	19.9 #119	24.4 #73	TEM
Yards / play	5.01 #116	5.65 #81	TEM
PPA / play	−0.05 #130	+0.10 #72	TEM
Success rate	39% #116	44% #97	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	6.4 #61	10.3 #39	16.7 #47	10.0 #8	6.3 #77	16.3 #28
TLSA allowed	5.3 #70	9.4 #107	14.7 #92	6.4 #99	7.3 #86	13.7 #105

TLSA scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	6.4 #61	4.7 #123	11.1 #107	3.4 #120	5.3 #97	8.7 #121
TEM allowed	9.0 #128	4.4 #15	13.4 #79	7.0 #107	4.0 #20	11.0 #58

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.