East Carolina @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Sat, Nov 1, 2025, 2:00 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Temple · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F9 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

East Carolina

4-3 · Power #51

▲ winner

Final

Temple

5-3 · Power #96

final

Closing spread

ECU -5.5

✓ ECU W

Total

58.5

▲ Over · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

ECU 29–24 TEM

✓ ECU (66%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenECU -4.5

CloseECU -5.5

Total57.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenECU -4.5

1 → ECU

CloseECU -5.5

1 pt toward East Carolina

Total

Open57.5

▲ 1

Close58.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ECU -4.5 · closed ECU -5.5 · moved 1 toward ECUmodel ECU -6.5

model ECU -6.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 48% (133 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (221 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenECU -4.5

CloseECU -5.5

Total57.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ECU as a 5.5-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: ECU won 45–14; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 59 points went over 58.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.3 against an average line of 6.2; 57.9 points a game (usually 53). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WKU @ JXST 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & rest	-7.5	17–20	L	U60.5
Very close	WKU @ FAU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-7.5	32–31	L	O62.25
Very close	UTSA @ TEM 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & spread	-6.5	21–27	L	U58.5
Very close	USA @ TXST 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & situation	-5.5	44–52	L	O56.75
Close	TROY @ TXST 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	31–13	W	U53.5
Close	LIB @ JXST 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & season form	-7	31–13	W	U59
Close	UNLV @ ORST 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-6.5	33–25	W	U61.5
Close	BOIS @ USU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-5	45–10	W	U63.5
Close	WKU @ LT 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar total & spread	-6	35–28	W	O59
Close	LIB @ WKU 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & total	-4	42–29	W	O61.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ECU WLWLL	4-3	57%	2-1	3-1
TEM WWWWL	6-2	75%	3-1	3-1

Venue/role: ECU away, as favorite; TEM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ECU UUUUO	2-5	29%	4-3
TEM OUOOO	6-2	75%	5-3

Went over in Q4. Of 392 earlier overs in games with totals 54.5–62.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ECU	6-4 60%	6-3 67%	3-7 30%
TEM	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ECU 1–0 TEM ECU leads · 1 game since 2023 · ECU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	Temple 34 @ East Carolina 56	ECU -7.5	ECU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ECU−5.0 →+2.2▲ 7.2#58

TEM−16.1 →−5.9▲ 10.2#88

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

ECU

Longer bar = better

TEM

#58

Offense

TEM better ▶

#39

#28

Defense

◀ ECU better

#91

+0.7 #23

Turnovers

TEM better ▶

+1.3 #4

79 plays #2

Pace

◀ ECU faster

65 plays #89

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ECU has the ball

Advantage: ECU offense

	ECU off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	30.3 #57	26.0 #87	ECU
Yards / play	5.75 #66	5.67 #85	Even
PPA / play	+0.14 #63	+0.15 #97	ECU
Success rate	45% #46	44% #94	ECU

When TEM has the ball

Even matchup

	TEM off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	33.6 #42	17.1 #17	ECU
Yards / play	5.97 #54	5.08 #38	Even
PPA / play	+0.24 #25	+0.02 #33	Even
Success rate	46% #34	38% #25	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ECU scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	8.3 #25	6.0 #107	14.3 #75	6.7 #59	9.3 #25	16.0 #32
TEM allowed	8.3 #118	5.6 #33	13.9 #81	7.0 #105	4.4 #23	11.4 #61

TEM scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	6.5 #64	9.9 #45	16.4 #53	10.5 #7	5.9 #89	16.4 #30
ECU allowed	2.3 #14	6.1 #46	8.4 #17	3.3 #23	5.4 #47	8.7 #24

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.