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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 12 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 12: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
58 finalFavorites 34-24 ATS11 upsetsO/U 26-32Model Favorite 47-11Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5858 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS34-2459% covered
Upsets11outright
Over / Under26-3245% over
Model Favorite47-1181% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up21 all 21 final
Over12 57%Under9 43%
Moved down29 all 29 final
Over12 41%Under17 59%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
27–1860%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
14–1058%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
9–564%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
1–150%
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Nov 11

2
Final · Conf
Kent State
3-6 · #132
42
Akron
4-6 · #127
35
Spread
AKR -7.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 77 · Q4
Projected
20–28
✗ AKR lost
Trend: AKR ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio
6-3 · #78
13
Western Michigan
5-4 · #80
17
Spread
WMU -1.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▼ Under 30
Projected
22–23
✓ WMU won
Trend: WMU ATS ✓ Model: OHIO by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Wednesday, Nov 12

3
Final · Conf
Buffalo
5-4 · #118
19
Central Michigan
5-4 · #103
38
Spread
CMU -2.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✓ CMU won
Trend: CMU ATS ✓ Model: CMU by 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
2-7 · #124
45
Massachusetts
0-9 · #136
3
Spread
NIU -8.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▲ Over 48 · Q3
Projected
26–18
✓ NIU won
Model: NIU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Toledo
5-4 · #48
24
Miami (OH)
5-4 · #91
3
Spread
TOL -6.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼6
▼ Under 27
Projected
26–19
✓ TOL won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TOL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Thursday, Nov 13

1
Final · Conf
Troy
6-3 · #99
0
Old Dominion
6-3 · #46
33
Spread
ODU -9.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
21–31
✓ ODU won
Trend: TROY ATS ✗ Model: ODU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Nov 14

2
Final · Conf
Clemson
4-5 · #34
20
Louisville
7-2 · #25
19
Spread
LOU -2.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 39
Projected
25–28
✗ LOU lost
Trend: CLEM ATS ✓ Model: LOU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Minnesota
6-3 · #69
13
Oregon
8-1 · #4
42
Spread
ORE -26.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
11–38
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✓ Model: ORE by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Saturday, Nov 15

50
Final · Conf
Wisconsin
3-6 · #63
7
Indiana
10-0 · #1
31
Spread
IU -27.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
7–35
✓ IU won
Trend: WIS ATS ✓ Model: IU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Carolina
3-6 · #43
30
Texas A&M
9-0 · #10
31
Spread
TA&M -16.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 61 · Q3
Projected
15–32
✓ TA&M won
Model: TA&M by 3 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
7-2 · #3
37
Pittsburgh
7-2 · #35
15
Spread
ND -12.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼2
▼ Under 52
Projected
33–20
✓ ND won
Trend: PITT ATS ✗ Model: ND by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan
7-2 · #21
24
Northwestern
5-4 · #59
22
Spread
MICH -10.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲2
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
25–14
✓ MICH won
Trend: NU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: NU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
South Florida
7-2 · #29
38
Navy
7-2 · #64
41
Spread
USF -8.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
62.5 ▼1
▲ Over 79 · Q4
Projected
35–26
✗ USF lost
Trend: USF ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: USF by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arizona
6-3 · #26
30
Cincinnati
7-2 · #58
24
Spread
CIN -6.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 54
Projected
24–30
✗ CIN lost
Model: ARIZ by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kansas State
4-5 · #42
14
Oklahoma State
1-8 · #111
6
Spread
KSU -19.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▼ Under 20
Projected
36–16
✓ KSU won
Trend: KSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: KSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Air Force
3-6 · #95
16
UConn
7-3 · #87
26
Spread
CONN -7.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
64.5 ▲1
▼ Under 42
Projected
28–36
✓ CONN won
Trend: CONN ATS ✓ Model: CONN by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UTSA
4-5 · #65
28
Charlotte
1-8 · #134
7
Spread
UTSA -17.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▼ Under 35
Projected
37–19
✓ UTSA won
Model: UTSA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
3-7 · #123
24
Ball State
4-5 · #133
9
Spread
EMU -2.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 33
Projected
25–23
✓ EMU won
Trend: BALL ATS ✗ Model: BALL by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas
2-7 · #40
22
LSU
5-4 · #31
23
Spread
LSU -4.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲3
▼ Under 45
Projected
27–31
✓ LSU won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: LSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
2-8 · #100
14
Tulsa
2-7 · #113
31
Spread
TLSA -1.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
26–26
✓ TLSA won
Model: ORST by 5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
West Virginia
4-6 · #77
23
Arizona State
6-3 · #41
25
Spread
ASU -9.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
19–30
✓ ASU won
Model: ASU by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Marshall
4-5 · #88
30
Georgia State
1-8 · #125
18
Spread
MRSH -9.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼3
▼ Under 48
Projected
34–24
✓ MRSH won
Trend: MRSH ATS ✓ Model: GAST by 0 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
North Texas
8-1 · #38
53
UAB
3-6 · #119
24
Spread
UNT -17.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
69.5 ▼1
▲ Over 77 · Q4
Projected
42–24
✓ UNT won
Trend: UNT ATS ✓ Model: UNT by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UTEP
2-7 · #131
24
Missouri State
6-3 · #112
38
Spread
MOST -7.5
✓ MOST W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
19–27
✓ MOST won
Trend: MOST ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTEP by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Colorado State
2-7 · #116
17
New Mexico
6-3 · #81
20
Spread
UNM -15.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
20–35
✓ UNM won
Model: CSU by 4 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
7-2 · #16
23
Alabama
8-1 · #11
21
Spread
ALA -6.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▼ Under 44
Projected
19–26
✗ ALA lost
Model: ALA by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCF
4-5 · #66
9
Texas Tech
9-1 · #5
48
Spread
TTU -24.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
12–36
✓ TTU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✓ Model: UCF by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
8-1 · #39
36
Boston College
1-9 · #84
34
Spread
GT -16.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲4
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
37–21
✓ GT won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: BC by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Iowa
6-3 · #20
21
USC
7-2 · #12
26
Spread
USC -6.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 47
Projected
22–30
✓ USC won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✓ Model: USC by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Penn State
3-6 · #17
28
Michigan State
3-6 · #67
10
Spread
PSU -6.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
28–21
✓ PSU won
Trend: MSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: PSU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Maryland
4-5 · #72
6
Illinois
6-3 · #30
24
Spread
ILL -15.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▼ Under 30
Projected
18–33
✓ ILL won
Trend: ILL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MD by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Middle Tennessee
1-8 · #128
26
Western Kentucky
7-2 · #94
42
Spread
WKU -13.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼5
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
19–33
✓ WKU won
Trend: WKU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MTSU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
San José State
3-6 · #106
10
Nevada
1-8 · #121
55
Spread
SJSU -9.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼3
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
31–21
✗ SJSU lost
Trend: NEV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NEV by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
App State
4-5 · #115
10
James Madison
8-1 · #28
58
Spread
JMU -19.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
14–34
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓ Model: JMU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
South Alabama
2-7 · #102
26
UL Monroe
3-6 · #130
14
Spread
USA -4.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
28–23
✓ USA won
Trend: USA ATS ✓ Model: USA by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Texas State
3-6 · #71
41
Southern Miss
7-2 · #98
14
Spread
USM -3.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
65.5 ▲1
▼ Under 55
Projected
30–33
✗ USM lost
Trend: USM ATS ✗ Model: TXST by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia
8-2 · #32
34
Duke
5-4 · #47
17
Spread
DUKE -5.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
27–32
✗ DUKE lost
Model: UVA by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
NC State
5-4 · #44
7
Miami
7-2 · #6
41
Spread
MIA -16.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 48
Projected
19–36
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓ Model: MIA by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Memphis
8-2 · #61
27
East Carolina
6-3 · #51
31
Spread
ECU -2.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
27–29
✓ ECU won
Trend: MEM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ECU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Florida Atlantic
4-5 · #108
24
Tulane
7-2 · #57
35
Spread
TULN -17.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼1
▼ Under 59
Projected
21–39
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✗ Model: TULN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico State
3-6 · #129
9
Tennessee
6-3 · #22
42
Spread
TENN -41.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼1
▼ Under 51
Projected
7–49
✓ TENN won
Trend: TENN ATS ✗ Model: TENN by 0 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Carolina
4-5 · #89
12
Wake Forest
6-3 · #53
28
Spread
WAKE -3.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼1
▲ Over 40 · Q4
Projected
17–22
✓ WAKE won
Trend: UNC ATS ✗ Model: WAKE by 6 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Liberty
4-5 · #104
27
Florida International
4-5 · #109
34
Spread
LIB -4.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✗ LIB lost
Trend: LIB ATS ✗ Model: FIU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
6-3 · #122
40
Georgia Southern
4-5 · #105
45
Spread
GASO -3.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 85 · Q2
Projected
27–30
✓ GASO won
Trend: GASO ATS ✓ Model: CCU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida
3-6 · #37
24
Ole Miss
9-1 · #9
34
Spread
MISS -11.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
20–32
✓ MISS won
Model: MISS by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
7-2 · #8
55
Baylor
5-4 · #50
28
Spread
UTAH -9.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲1
▲ Over 83 · Q4
Projected
35–25
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓ Model: UTAH by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Purdue
2-8 · #79
13
Washington
6-3 · #15
49
Spread
WASH -14.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
20–35
✓ WASH won
Model: WASH by 5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Delaware
5-4 · #117
23
Sam Houston
1-8 · #135
26
Spread
DEL -13.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 49
Projected
34–22
✗ DEL lost
Trend: DEL ATS ✗ Model: SHSU by 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah State
5-4 · #86
26
UNLV
7-2 · #74
29
Spread
UNLV -4.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
68.5 ▼1
▼ Under 55
Projected
31–36
✓ UNLV won
Trend: USU ATS ✓ Model: UNLV by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCLA
3-6 · #70
10
Ohio State
9-0 · #2
48
Spread
OSU -32.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
6–39
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: OSU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Texas
7-2 · #14
10
Georgia
8-1 · #7
35
Spread
UGA -3.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
21–26
✓ UGA won
Trend: UGA ATS ✓ Model: UGA by 5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
3-6 · #73
14
Florida State
4-5 · #23
34
Spread
FSU -13.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▼ Under 48
Projected
20–35
✓ FSU won
Trend: FSU ATS ✓ Model: FSU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
5-5 · #56
27
Missouri
6-3 · #18
49
Spread
MIZ -7.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▲ Over 76 · Q3
Projected
23–31
✓ MIZ won
Trend: MSST ATS ✗ Model: MIZ by 4 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kennesaw State
7-2 · #97
26
Jacksonville State
6-3 · #101
35
Spread
KENN -3.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲4
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
28–25
✗ KENN lost
Trend: KENN ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: JXST by 6 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana Tech
5-4 · #93
3
Washington State
4-5 · #60
28
Spread
WSU -10.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼4
▼ Under 31
Projected
16–27
✓ WSU won
Trend: WSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: WSU by 0 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
TCU
6-3 · #33
13
BYU
8-1 · #19
44
Spread
BYU -2.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
25–29
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✓ Model: BYU by 7 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boise State
6-3 · #55
7
San Diego State
7-2 · #68
17
Spread
SDSU -2.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲2
▼ Under 24
Projected
23–24
✓ SDSU won
Trend: SDSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: BOIS by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Wyoming
4-5 · #107
3
Fresno State
6-3 · #82
24
Spread
FRES -2.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲1
▼ Under 27
Projected
19–22
✓ FRES won
Trend: WYO ATS ✗ Model: FRES by 3 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total