Florida Atlantic @ Tulane: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sat, Nov 15, 2025, 4:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Tulane · Conference game

Weather at kickoff75°F3 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Florida Atlantic

4-5 · Power #108

final

Final

Tulane

7-2 · Power #57

▲ winner

Closing spread

TULN -17.5

✓ FAU W

Total

61.5

▼ Under · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

FAU 21–39 TULN

✓ TULN (90%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -16.5

CloseTULN -17.5

Total62.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTULN -16.5

1 → TULN

CloseTULN -17.5

1 pt toward Tulane

Total

Open62.5

▼ 1

Close61.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TULN -16.5 · closed TULN -17.5 · moved 1 toward TULNmodel TULN -18

model TULN -18

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 90%, covered 50% (122 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (248 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTULN -16.5

CloseTULN -17.5

Total62.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 17.5-point home favorite against FAU, the favorite won 10, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: TULN won 35–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 59 points stayed under 61.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 88%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 23.6 against an average line of 16.4; 62.6 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MEM vs UAB 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & rest	-16.5	53–18	W	O62
Very close	TULN vs UNT 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-20	35–28	L	U63.5
Very close	USF vs TLSA 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & situation	-17	63–30	W	O60
Very close	HOU vs USF 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-17.5	42–27	L	O59
Very close	UCF vs HOU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-15.5	27–13	L	U61.25
Very close	UTSA vs LT 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & season form	-17	51–7	W	U68.75
Very close	UTSA vs USF 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar team ratings & season form	-14.5	49–21	W	O66.5
Close	ORE vs STAN 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & rest	-17.5	45–27	W	O63
Close	USA vs ARST 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & situation	-14.5	21–14	L	U55
Close	WKU vs RICE 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar total & situation	-13.5	45–10	W	U61

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU WWLWW	5-4	56%	2-3	2-4
TULN WWLLW	5-4	56%	3-1	3-3

Venue/role: FAU away, as underdog; TULN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU UOUOO	6-3	67%	4-5
TULN UUUOO	4-5	44%	7-2

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 46% of games with totals 57.5–65.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
TULN	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

FAU 0–1 TULN TULN leads · 1 game since 2023 · TULN has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 18 2023	Tulane 24 @ Florida Atlantic 8	TULN -9	TULN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−10.0 →−10.6▼ 0.6#108

TULN+5.1 →+2.8▼ 2.3#58

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

FAU

Longer bar = better

TULN

#81

Offense

TULN better ▶

#44

#103

Defense

Even

#91

−1.3 #136

Turnovers

TULN better ▶

+0.2 #55

77 plays #3

Pace

◀ FAU faster

65 plays #87

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Even matchup

	FAU off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	31.3 #51	26.2 #85	FAU
Yards / play	5.55 #82	5.80 #94	Even
PPA / play	+0.09 #85	+0.10 #74	Even
Success rate	40% #104	45% #111	Even

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: TULN offense

	TULN off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	27.2 #71	34.6 #130	TULN
Yards / play	6.32 #31	5.72 #90	TULN
PPA / play	+0.20 #36	+0.14 #93	TULN
Success rate	45% #36	44% #98	TULN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	11.2 #5	9.3 #58	20.6 #11	3.9 #117	6.9 #61	10.8 #95
TULN allowed	5.7 #75	7.0 #65	12.7 #70	4.1 #37	9.4 #127	13.6 #99

TULN scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	7.2 #39	10.2 #38	17.4 #36	4.1 #110	5.7 #91	9.8 #117
FAU allowed	5.8 #81	9.3 #104	15.1 #99	9.6 #134	9.9 #131	19.4 #134

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.