Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 3:45 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Temple · Conference game
Weather at kickoff51°F5 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›
8-2 · Power #57
37
▲ winner
Final
@
5-5 · Power #96
13
final
Closing spread
TULN -7.5
✓ TULN W
Total
54.5
▼ Under · 50 pts
Model before kickoff
TULN 31–23 TEM
✓ TULN (71%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTULN -8.5
CloseTULN -7.5
Total54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward Temple
Total
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TULN -8.5 · closed TULN -7.5 · moved 1 toward TEMmodel TULN -8
Opened 54.5 · unchangedmodel 54
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 67%, covered 52% (144 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (298 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTULN -8.5
CloseTULN -7.5
Total54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 7.5-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: TULN won 37–13; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 50 points stayed under 54.5, as in 2 of 10.
Favorite won
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 70%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 50%
Went over
8 of 1080%
Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6 against an average line of 7.1; 66.8 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 7 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
SC @ VAN
2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation
-6.538–27 W O49
Very close
2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total
-743–27 W O54.5
Very close
2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & season form
-1030–28 L O55
Very close
2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & spread
-621–28 L U56
Very close
2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar season form & spread
-6.521–27 L U58.5
Very close
2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & spread
-642–14 W O53
Very close
2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread
-746–36 W O55
Very close
2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & total
-1044–37 L O55.5
Very close
2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar season form & spread
-635–28 W O59
Close
2023 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & total
-5.544–52 L O56.75
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
Slight Temple ATS trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Temple ATS trend (7-3)
Temple have covered 70% of their games with a line this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 338-337 (50%)
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TULN+5.1 →+2.3▼ 2.8#58
TEM−16.1 →−7.7▲ 8.4#94
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

TULN
Longer bar = better
TEM
#44
Offense
Even
#47
#91
Defense
Even
#100
+0.5 #35
Turnovers
TEM better ▶
+1.1 #6
65 plays #86
Pace
◀ TULN faster
62 plays #120
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When TULN has the ball
Advantage: TULN offense
TULN offTEM defEdge
Points / game 28.0 #67 26.7 #85 Even
Yards / play 6.32 #31 5.77 #94 TULN
PPA / play +0.20 #32 +0.17 #108 TULN
Success rate 45% #44 45% #114 TULN
When TEM has the ball
Advantage: TEM offense
TEM offTULN defEdge
Points / game 29.6 #58 26.0 #83 TEM
Yards / play 5.81 #62 5.76 #90 TEM
PPA / play +0.21 #30 +0.09 #73 TEM
Success rate 45% #37 45% #118 TEM

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams
TULN scoring against the TEM defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TULN scored
7.2
#40
10.6
#27
17.8
#33
4.4
#109
5.8
#91
10.2
#109
TEM allowed
8.0
#121
6.6
#48
14.6
#94
7.7
#119
3.8
#15
11.5
#60
TEM scoring against the TULN defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TEM scored
5.9
#70
9.6
#52
15.5
#60
8.7
#18
4.7
#118
13.4
#57
TULN allowed
5.4
#68
7.0
#59
12.4
#63
3.7
#28
9.9
#129
13.6
#95

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
TEM +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
51° · 5 mph
gusts 20 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TULN7d
TEM14d bye
TEM +7 days
Tempo
Slow 128 plays
slowavg 134fast

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week