Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 3:45 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Temple · Conference game
Closing spread
TULN -7.5
✓ TULN W
Total
54.5
▼ Under · 50 pts
Model before kickoff
TULN 31–23 TEM
✓ TULN (71%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTULN -8.5
CloseTULN -7.5
Total54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTULN -8.5
1 → TEM
CloseTULN -7.5
1 pt toward Temple
Total
Open54.5
no move
Close54.5
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TULN -8.5 · closed TULN -7.5 · moved 1 toward TEMmodel TULN -8
model TULN -8
Opened 54.5 · unchangedmodel 54
model 54
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 67%, covered 52% (144 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (298 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTULN -8.5
CloseTULN -7.5
Total54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like
TULN as a 7.5-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 8 went over the total.
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This game: TULN won 37–13; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 50 points stayed under 54.5, as in 2 of 10.
Favorite won
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 70%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 50%
Went over
8 of 1080%
Normal range · usually 50%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6 against an average line of 7.1; 66.8 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 7 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close | 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation |
-6.5 | 38–27 | W | O49 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total |
-7 | 43–27 | W | O54.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & season form |
-10 | 30–28 | L | O55 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & spread |
-6 | 21–28 | L | U56 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar season form & spread |
-6.5 | 21–27 | L | U58.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & spread |
-6 | 42–14 | W | O53 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread |
-7 | 46–36 | W | O55 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & total |
-10 | 44–37 | L | O55.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar season form & spread |
-6 | 35–28 | W | O59 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & total |
-5.5 | 44–52 | L | O56.75 |
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
Slight Temple ATS trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Temple ATS trend (7-3)
Temple have covered 70% of their games with a line this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 338-337 (50%)
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 22 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 51% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
TULN 1–0 TEM
TULN leads · 1 game since 2023 · TULN has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 2024 | Temple 6 @ Tulane 52 | TULN -25.5 | TULN W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TULN+5.1 →+2.3▼ 2.8#58
TEM−16.1 →−7.7▲ 8.4#94
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#44
Offense
Even#47
#91
Defense
Even#100
+0.5 #35
Turnovers
TEM better ▶+1.1 #6
65 plays #86
Pace
◀ TULN faster62 plays #120
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TULN off | TEM def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 28.0 #67 | 26.7 #85 | Even |
| Yards / play | 6.32 #31 | 5.77 #94 | TULN |
| PPA / play | +0.20 #32 | +0.17 #108 | TULN |
| Success rate | 45% #44 | 45% #114 | TULN |
| TEM off | TULN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 29.6 #58 | 26.0 #83 | TEM |
| Yards / play | 5.81 #62 | 5.76 #90 | TEM |
| PPA / play | +0.21 #30 | +0.09 #73 | TEM |
| Success rate | 45% #37 | 45% #118 | TEM |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams
TULN scoring against the TEM defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.2 #40 | 10.6 #27 | 17.8 #33 | 4.4 #109 | 5.8 #91 | 10.2 #109 | |
8.0 #121 | 6.6 #48 | 14.6 #94 | 7.7 #119 | 3.8 #15 | 11.5 #60 |
TEM scoring against the TULN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.9 #70 | 9.6 #52 | 15.5 #60 | 8.7 #18 | 4.7 #118 | 13.4 #57 | |
5.4 #68 | 7.0 #59 | 12.4 #63 | 3.7 #28 | 9.9 #129 | 13.6 #95 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
51° · 5 mph
gusts 20 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TULN7d
TEM14d bye
TEM +7 days
Tempo
Slow 128 plays
slowavg 134fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

