Charlotte @ Georgia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 12:45 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Georgia

Weather at kickoff77°F12 mphgusts 27DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Charlotte

1-9 · Power #134

final

Final

Georgia

9-1 · Power #7

▲ winner

Closing spread

UGA -42.5

✓ CLT W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

CLT 2–47 UGA

✓ UGA (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUGA -44.5

CloseUGA -42.5

Total55.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUGA -44.5

2 → CLT

CloseUGA -42.5

2 pts toward Charlotte

Total

Open55.5

▼ 2

Close53.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UGA -44.5 · closed UGA -42.5 · moved 2 toward CLTmodel UGA -51

model UGA -51

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 40.5–44.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 50% (47 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (203 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUGA -44.5

CloseUGA -42.5

Total55.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UGA as a 42.5-point home favorite against CLT, the favorite won 10, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: UGA won 35–3; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 38 points stayed under 53.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 43%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 43.2 against an average line of 40.7; 51.8 points a game (usually 55.8). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UGA vs MASS 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-42.5	59–21	L	O55.5
Close	TA&M vs NMSU 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & total	-38.5	38–3	L	U54.5
Close	PSU vs MASS 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar total & spread	-42	63–0	W	O55
Close	TENN vs UTEP 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar situation	-41.5	56–0	W	O54
Close	NCST vs CONN 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & season form	-38.5	41–10	L	O47.75
Loose	TEX vs SHSU 2025 · Week 4 · loose	-39.5	55–0	W	O51.5
Loose	OU vs KENT 2025 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation & season form	-46.5	44–0	L	U53.5
Loose	TTU vs OKST 2025 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest	-37.5	42–0	W	U56.5
Loose	MISS vs ULM 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & situation	-36	35–3	L	U60.5
Loose	MIZ vs MASS 2025 · Week 5 · loose · similar situation	-44.5	42–6	L	U57

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLT WLLWL	4-6	40%	3-0	3-6
UGA WWLWW	5-5	50%	3-3	5-5

Venue/role: CLT away, as underdog; UGA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLT UOOOU	6-3	67%	1-9
UGA UOUOU	4-6	40%	9-1

Stayed under: it needed 16 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 51% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLT	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	6-3 67%
UGA	9-1 90%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLT−11.9 →−22.5▼ 10.6#135

UGA+21.0 →+21.8▲ 0.8#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CLT

Longer bar = better

UGA

#129

Offense

UGA better ▶

#29

#129

Defense

UGA better ▶

#34

−0.8 #121

Turnovers

UGA better ▶

−0.2 #94

65 plays #89

Pace

UGA faster ▶

72 plays #19

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: UGA defense

	CLT off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	16.9 #131	18.8 #19	UGA
Yards / play	4.79 #127	4.91 #25	UGA
PPA / play	−0.06 #131	+0.06 #54	UGA
Success rate	36% #125	39% #39	UGA

When UGA has the ball

Advantage: UGA offense

	UGA off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	33.6 #30	37.4 #134	UGA
Yards / play	5.97 #51	6.45 #130	UGA
PPA / play	+0.25 #22	+0.19 #116	UGA
Success rate	50% #11	53% #137	UGA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CLT scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	2.3 #131	4.4 #125	6.7 #134	3.5 #122	6.7 #66	10.2 #107
UGA allowed	6.2 #91	4.4 #10	10.6 #37	4.5 #42	3.4 #10	7.9 #13

UGA scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	6.2 #62	9.9 #46	16.1 #47	8.9 #16	8.0 #38	16.9 #20
CLT allowed	9.6 #131	10.3 #119	19.9 #133	7.9 #121	9.6 #126	17.5 #132

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.