Charlotte @ Tulane: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Tulane · Conference game

Weather at kickoff63°F8 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Charlotte

1-10 · Power #134

final

Final

Tulane

9-2 · Power #57

▲ winner

Closing spread

TULN -29.5

✓ CLT W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 27 pts

Model before kickoff

CLT 10–40 TULN

✓ TULN (98%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTULN -29.5

CloseTULN -29.5

Total50.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTULN -29.5

no move

CloseTULN -29.5

No change since the open

Total

Open50.5

▲ 1

Close51.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TULN -29.5 · unchangedmodel TULN -30

model TULN -30

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 28.5–30.5 since 2023: won 98%, covered 56% (59 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTULN -29.5

CloseTULN -29.5

Total50.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 29.5-point home favorite against CLT, the favorite won 9, covered 3, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: TULN won 27–0; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 27 points stayed under 51.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 97%

Favorite covered

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 54%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 27 against an average line of 28.5; 61.6 points a game (usually 55.3). Of the 6 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TXST vs USM 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & situation	-27.5	58–3	W	O56.5
Very close	M-OH vs KENT 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & spread	-30.5	34–7	L	U47.5
Very close	ECU vs CLT 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-28	48–22	L	O56.5
Close	OHIO vs MASS 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & situation	-33.5	42–14	L	O53.5
Close	MIZ vs NMSU 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-29	45–14	W	O46.5
Close	UK vs EMU 2025 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & total	-26.5	48–23	L	O49.5
Close	JMU vs USM 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-24	32–15	L	U54
Close	LIB vs NMSU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & total	-24	14–49	L	O50.5
Close	USF vs CLT 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & situation	-28	54–26	P	O54.5
Close	NEB vs AKR 2025 · Week 2 · close · similar season form & rest	-33.75	68–0	W	O47.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLT LLWLW	5-6	45%	4-0	4-6
TULN LLWLW	6-5	55%	3-2	4-4

Venue/role: CLT away, as underdog; TULN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLT OOOUU	6-4	60%	1-10
TULN UOOUU	4-7	36%	9-2

Stayed under: it needed 31 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 54% of games with totals 47.5–55.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLT	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
TULN	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CLT 0–1 TULN TULN leads · 1 game since 2023 · TULN has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 31 2024	Tulane 34 @ Charlotte 3	TULN -14.5	TULN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLT−11.9 →−21.4▼ 9.5#134

TULN+5.1 →+3.1▼ 2.0#57

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

CLT

Longer bar = better

TULN

#133

Offense

TULN better ▶

#43

#130

Defense

TULN better ▶

#80

−0.8 #124

Turnovers

TULN better ▶

+0.5 #30

63 plays #113

Pace

TULN faster ▶

66 plays #83

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: TULN defense

	CLT off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	15.6 #134	24.8 #67	TULN
Yards / play	4.73 #130	5.60 #67	TULN
PPA / play	−0.08 #134	+0.09 #70	TULN
Success rate	35% #133	45% #115	Even

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: TULN offense

	TULN off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	28.8 #61	37.2 #133	TULN
Yards / play	6.29 #29	6.40 #127	TULN
PPA / play	+0.21 #28	+0.20 #121	TULN
Success rate	44% #52	53% #137	TULN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CLT scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	2.1 #133	4.3 #126	6.4 #135	3.2 #125	6.1 #84	9.3 #117
TULN allowed	5.5 #77	6.4 #41	11.9 #56	3.4 #25	9.5 #130	12.9 #82

TULN scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	7.5 #31	10.5 #28	18.0 #25	4.5 #98	6.3 #76	10.8 #100
CLT allowed	10.0 #132	10.6 #128	20.6 #134	7.8 #122	8.7 #121	16.5 #131

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.