Utah @ Kansas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Fri, Nov 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Kansas · Conference game

Weather at kickoff32°F9 mphgusts 19DryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Utah

9-2 · Power #8

▲ winner

Final

Kansas

5-6 · Power #54

final

Closing spread

UTAH -10

Push

Total

60.5

▼ Under · 52 pts

Model before kickoff

UTAH 34–23 KU

✓ UTAH (78%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUTAH -13.5

CloseUTAH -10

Total59.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTAH -13.5

3.5 → KU

CloseUTAH -10

3.5 pts toward Kansas

Total

Open59.5

▲ 1

Close60.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UTAH -13.5 · closed UTAH -10 · moved 3.5 toward KUmodel UTAH -14

model UTAH -14

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 9–11 since 2023: won 75%, covered 54% (72 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (50 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUTAH -13.5

CloseUTAH -10

Total59.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTAH as a 10-point road favorite at KU, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: UTAH won 31–21; the favorite pushed, as in 1 of the 10 similar games. 52 points stayed under 60.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 73%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 12.8 against an average line of 9.3; 58.6 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	OU @ OKST 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & rest	-6	24–27	L	U62.5
Close	CIN @ TLSA 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-10	31–21	P	U59
Close	MIA @ GT 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & season form	-9.5	23–28	L	U65
Close	TEX @ ARK 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & total	-13	20–10	L	U57.5
Close	USF @ NAVY 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & season form	-8.5	38–41	L	O62.5
Close	PSU @ MD 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-8.5	51–15	W	O50.5
Close	TENN @ UK 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-7.5	56–34	W	O55
Close	MIA @ SMU 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & rest	-8.5	20–26	L	U50.5
Close	OU @ NEB 2022 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & rest	-10.5	49–14	W	U65.5
Close	SMU @ BC 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	45–13	W	O54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTAH LWWWL	8-3	73%	4-1	8-3
KU LLLWL	4-7	36%	2-4	1-3

Venue/role: UTAH away, as favorite; KU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTAH UOOOO	8-3	73%	9-2
KU OOOUU	5-6	45%	5-6

Stayed under: it needed 37 in the 4th quarter and got 28. 45% of games with totals 56.5–64.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTAH	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
KU	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

UTAH 4–2 KU UTAH leads · 6 games since 1950 · UTAH has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTAH+4.1 →+19.0▲ 14.9#10

KU+6.8 →+3.3▼ 3.5#54

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

UTAH

Longer bar = better

#12

Offense

◀ UTAH better

#35

#28

Defense

◀ UTAH better

#91

+0.3 #44

Turnovers

◀ UTAH better

−0.1 #79

74 plays #7

Pace

◀ UTAH faster

63 plays #109

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTAH has the ball

Advantage: UTAH offense

	UTAH off	KU def	Edge
Points / game	42.0 #6	26.4 #82	UTAH
Yards / play	6.53 #23	5.74 #86	UTAH
PPA / play	+0.32 #6	+0.22 #126	UTAH
Success rate	49% #13	42% #70	UTAH

When KU has the ball

Even matchup

	KU off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	28.7 #58	18.5 #16	UTAH
Yards / play	6.04 #42	5.28 #50	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #25	+0.01 #26	Even
Success rate	48% #15	37% #20	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UTAH scoring against the KU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	9.4 #11	12.1 #10	21.5 #9	9.5 #10	11.1 #2	20.5 #3
KU allowed	7.9 #120	6.5 #47	14.4 #91	5.6 #71	6.4 #63	12.0 #66

KU scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KU scored	7.3 #36	9.0 #60	16.3 #46	8.6 #19	3.8 #128	12.5 #69
UTAH allowed	2.5 #6	5.8 #28	8.3 #12	3.1 #20	7.1 #88	10.2 #42

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.