Texas Tech @ West Virginia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at West Virginia · Conference game

Weather at kickoff36°F0 mphgusts 8DryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Texas Tech

10-1 · Power #5

▲ winner

Final

West Virginia

4-7 · Power #77

final

Closing spread

TTU -24.5

✓ TTU W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 49 pts

Model before kickoff

TTU 39–15 WVU

✓ TTU (96%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTTU -24.5

CloseTTU -24.5

Total52.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTTU -24.5

no move

CloseTTU -24.5

No change since the open

Total

Open52.5

▲ 1

Close53.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TTU -24.5 · unchangedmodel TTU -22.5

model TTU -22.5

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTTU -24.5

CloseTTU -24.5

Total52.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TTU as a 24.5-point road favorite at WVU, the favorite won 9, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: TTU won 49–0; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 49 points stayed under 53.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 54%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.6 against an average line of 24.5; 56.6 points a game (usually 54.6). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	MICH @ IU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar team ratings & season form	-23.5	31–10	L	U57.5
Close	ORE @ ASU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & situation	-22	49–13	W	O53.5
Close	TEX @ HOU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation	-23.5	31–24	L	U60.5
Close	OU @ BYU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-24.5	31–24	L	U58.5
Close	UGA @ GT 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar spread	-24.5	31–23	L	U59.5
Close	MICH @ RUTG 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & spread	-26.5	52–17	W	O45
Close	FSU @ WAKE 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar total & situation	-21	41–16	W	O53
Close	ALA @ VAN 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & situation	-23	35–40	L	O53.5
Close	PSU @ NU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar season form & situation	-27	41–13	W	O46
Close	OSU @ PUR 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-29.5	34–10	L	U49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TTU LWWWW	9-1	90%	3-1	8-1
WVU LWWWW	6-5	55%	3-2	5-3

Venue/role: TTU away, as favorite; WVU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TTU UUO–O	5-5	50%	10-1
WVU OUOUO	6-5	55%	4-7

Stayed under: it needed 12 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 51% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TTU	9-1 90%	9-1 90%	4-5 44%
WVU	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

TTU 8–7 WVU TTU leads · 15 games since 1937 · TTU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 30 2024	West Virginia 15 @ Texas Tech 52	TTU -2.5	TTU W
Sep 23 2023	Texas Tech 13 @ West Virginia 20	TTU -6	WVU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TTU+5.6 →+21.8▲ 16.2#5

WVU+0.8 →−1.3▼ 2.1#73

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

TTU

Longer bar = better

WVU

#22

Offense

◀ TTU better

#112

Defense

◀ TTU better

#72

+1.2 #2

Turnovers

◀ TTU better

+0.2 #58

73 plays #10

Pace

Even

72 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TTU has the ball

Advantage: TTU offense

	TTU off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	42.6 #3	29.2 #100	TTU
Yards / play	6.56 #23	5.60 #72	TTU
PPA / play	+0.24 #21	+0.08 #66	TTU
Success rate	45% #42	40% #49	Even

When WVU has the ball

Advantage: TTU defense

	WVU off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	23.7 #97	12.3 #3	TTU
Yards / play	5.04 #116	4.05 #3	TTU
PPA / play	+0.01 #116	−0.27 #1	TTU
Success rate	38% #118	30% #1	TTU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

TTU scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TTU scored	13.0 #2	12.2 #10	25.2 #3	8.0 #24	9.5 #15	17.5 #14
WVU allowed	6.3 #92	10.5 #123	16.8 #115	6.6 #106	5.7 #47	12.4 #73

WVU scoring against the TTU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	3.6 #121	5.5 #114	9.2 #122	4.9 #91	9.0 #26	13.9 #48
TTU allowed	1.2 #2	3.3 #4	4.5 #2	1.9 #4	5.9 #52	7.8 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.