West Virginia @ Texas Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2024)

Sat, Nov 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Texas Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff48°F6 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

West Virginia

6-5 · Power #63

final

Final

Texas Tech

7-4 · Power #46

▲ winner

Closing spread

TTU -2.5

✓ TTU W

Total

61.5

▲ Over · 67 pts

Model before kickoff

WVU 29–32 TTU

✓ TTU (58%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTTU -3.5

CloseTTU -2.5

Total64.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTTU -3.5

1 → WVU

CloseTTU -2.5

1 pt toward West Virginia

Total

Open64.5

▼ 3

Close61.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TTU -3.5 · closed TTU -2.5 · moved 1 toward WVUmodel TTU -4.5

model TTU -4.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 56%, covered 48% (204 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 48% (48 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTTU -3.5

CloseTTU -2.5

Total64.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TTU as a 2.5-point home favorite against WVU, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: TTU won 52–15; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 67 points went over 61.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3 against an average line of 3.7; 63.2 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WSU vs COLO 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & season form	-4.5	56–14	W	O59.5
Very close	MEM vs ECU 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-4	29–30	L	O58.75
Very close	UCF vs MEM 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & rest	-1.25	24–7	W	U63.25
Very close	SMU vs HOU 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	77–63	W	O66
Very close	BAY vs TCU 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	37–34	W	O64
Very close	TCU vs TTU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation	-5	35–34	L	O66
Very close	APP vs CCU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-4.5	24–27	L	U59
Very close	OKST vs WVU 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-2.5	14–38	L	U64.5
Very close	OKST vs WVU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	19–24	L	U59.75
Very close	WAKE vs GT 2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	16–30	L	U58.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WVU LWWLW	5-6	45%	3-1	4-4
TTU LWWLW	5-5	50%	1-4	2-4

Venue/role: WVU away, as underdog; TTU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WVU OOOOU	7-4	64%	6-5
TTU OOUOO	6-4	60%	7-4

Went over in Q4. Of 160 earlier overs in games with totals 57.5–65.5, 29% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WVU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
TTU	6-4 60%	5-4 56%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WVU 7–8 TTU TTU leads · 15 games since 1937 · TTU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 23 2023	Texas Tech 13 @ West Virginia 20	TTU -6	WVU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WVU+4.6 →+3.1▼ 1.5#55

TTU+4.7 →+3.4▼ 1.3#53

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

WVU

Longer bar = better

TTU

#71

Offense

TTU better ▶

#55

#108

Defense

Even

#111

−0.4 #96

Turnovers

TTU better ▶

0.0 #75

68 plays #55

Pace

TTU faster ▶

79 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WVU has the ball

Advantage: WVU offense

	WVU off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	29.7 #54	36.3 #127	WVU
Yards / play	5.76 #68	6.46 #122	WVU
PPA / play	+0.13 #70	+0.16 #97	WVU
Success rate	42% #91	44% #96	Even

When TTU has the ball

Advantage: TTU offense

	TTU off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	37.4 #13	29.2 #98	TTU
Yards / play	5.73 #74	6.23 #114	TTU
PPA / play	+0.15 #56	+0.24 #123	TTU
Success rate	42% #78	44% #95	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

WVU scoring against the TTU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	7.2 #38	10.9 #26	18.1 #28	4.1 #111	7.5 #52	11.6 #100
TTU allowed	6.3 #95	8.9 #94	15.2 #101	9.0 #125	11.5 #131	20.5 #133

TTU scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TTU scored	10.9 #4	9.8 #40	20.7 #12	7.3 #41	8.7 #31	16.0 #29
WVU allowed	3.7 #31	10.1 #114	13.8 #85	5.6 #71	9.7 #122	15.4 #108

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.