BYU vs Texas Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2025)

Sat, Dec 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

BYU

11-1 · Power #19

final

Final

Texas Tech

11-1 · Power #5

▲ winner

Closing spread

TTU -12.5

✓ TTU W

Total

50.5

▼ Under · 41 pts

Model before kickoff

BYU 20–32 TTU

✓ TTU (80%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTTU -12.5

CloseTTU -12.5

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTTU -12.5

no move

CloseTTU -12.5

No change since the open

Total

Open50.5

no move

Close50.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TTU -12.5 · unchangedmodel TTU -9.5

model TTU -9.5

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTTU -12.5

CloseTTU -12.5

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TTU as a 12.5-point neutral-site favorite against BYU, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: TTU won 34–7; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 41 points stayed under 50.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 79%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 19.5 against an average line of 11.9; 59.9 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	TEX vs ASU 2024 · Postseason · close · similar spread & total	-13.5	39–31	L	O52.5
Close	UGA vs LSU 2022 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & rest	-17	50–30	W	O52
Close	MICH vs PUR 2022 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & rest	-15.75	43–22	W	O54
Loose	OSU vs ND 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar situation	-8.5	34–23	W	O45.5
Loose	PSU vs BOIS 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar situation	-12	31–14	W	U54.5
Loose	UGA vs TCU 2022 · Postseason · loose · similar spread & rest	-13.5	65–7	W	O61.75
Loose	ND vs ARMY 2024 · Week 13 · loose · similar season form & spread	-14.5	49–14	W	O44.5
Loose	LOU vs IU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & spread	-10	21–14	L	U50.5
Loose	MICH vs WASH 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar rest & situation	-5	34–13	W	U55.5
Loose	ORE vs WASH 2023 · Week 14 · loose · similar situation & rest	-9.5	31–34	L	U65.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
BYU WLWW–	8-3	73%	—	2-1
TTU WWWWW	10-1	91%	—	9-1

Venue/role: BYU neutral, as underdog; TTU neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BYU O–OUO	6-5	55%	11-1
TTU UO–OU	5-6	45%	11-1

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 54% of games with totals 46.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BYU	9-1 90%	6-3 67%	5-4 56%
TTU	9-1 90%	9-1 90%	3-6 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

BYU 1–1 TTU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · TTU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 8 2025	BYU 7 @ Texas Tech 29	TTU -13.5	TTU W
Oct 21 2023	Texas Tech 14 @ BYU 27	TTU -3	BYU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BYU+7.8 →+14.8▲ 7.0#16

TTU+5.6 →+23.3▲ 17.7#5

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

BYU

Longer bar = better

TTU

#34

Offense

Even

#22

#27

Defense

TTU better ▶

+1.0 #9

Turnovers

Even

+1.1 #6

68 plays #60

Pace

TTU faster ▶

75 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BYU has the ball

Advantage: TTU defense

	BYU off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #22	11.3 #3	Even
Yards / play	6.12 #36	4.00 #3	TTU
PPA / play	+0.18 #37	−0.29 #1	TTU
Success rate	45% #40	29% #1	TTU

When TTU has the ball

Even matchup

	TTU off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	43.2 #3	17.8 #14	Even
Yards / play	6.51 #22	5.06 #35	Even
PPA / play	+0.25 #18	+0.01 #26	Even
Success rate	45% #44	39% #32	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

BYU scoring against the TTU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BYU scored	6.5 #52	10.9 #23	17.4 #33	6.2 #60	9.7 #16	15.8 #26
TTU allowed	1.1 #2	3.0 #3	4.1 #2	1.8 #4	5.4 #38	7.2 #10

TTU scoring against the BYU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TTU scored	13.7 #2	11.8 #13	25.4 #1	8.5 #15	9.3 #22	17.8 #15
BYU allowed	5.4 #71	4.5 #12	9.9 #26	3.0 #14	4.6 #24	7.6 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.