Georgia Tech vs BYU: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Pop-Tarts Bowl, 2025)

Sat, Dec 27, 2025, 3:40 PM ESTPop-Tarts Bowl · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff75°F6 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Tech

9-3 · Power #39

final

Final

BYU

11-2 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

BYU -3.5

✓ BYU W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

GT 25–29 BYU

✓ BYU (62%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBYU -2.5

CloseBYU -3.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBYU -2.5

1 → BYU

CloseBYU -3.5

1 pt toward BYU

Total

Open55.5

no move

Close55.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BYU -2.5 · closed BYU -3.5 · moved 1 toward BYUmodel BYU -7

model BYU -7

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Neutral-site favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 47%, covered 44% (51 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 48% (120 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBYU -2.5

CloseBYU -3.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BYU as a 3.5-point neutral-site favorite against GT, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: BYU won 25–21; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 46 points stayed under 55.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.5 against an average line of 4.5; 50.5 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	COLO vs BYU 2024 · Postseason · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	14–36	L	U55.5
Very close	KSU vs RUTG 2024 · Postseason · very close · similar rest & total	-7.25	44–41	L	O52
Very close	UVA vs DUKE 2025 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3.5	20–27	L	U58.5
Very close	ND vs SC 2022 · Postseason · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-5	45–38	W	O50.5
Close	NEB vs BC 2024 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	20–15	W	U47.5
Close	ND vs BYU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & total	-3.5	28–20	W	U51.5
Close	UTSA vs TROY 2022 · Postseason · close · similar situation & spread	-3	12–18	L	U56.5
Close	TTU vs CAL 2023 · Postseason · close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	34–14	W	U55.5
Close	FRES vs WSU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar rest & total	-5.5	29–6	W	U54
Close	UGA vs FLA 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & season form	-7	24–20	L	U50.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
GT WLLLW	7-5	58%	1-0	3-0
BYU LWW–L	8-4	67%	0-1	6-2

Venue/role: GT neutral, as underdog; BYU neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GT OOOOU	7-5	58%	9-3
BYU –OUOU	6-6	50%	11-2

Stayed under: it needed 25 in the 4th quarter and got 15. 50% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GT	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
BYU	8-2 80%	5-4 56%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GT+6.9 →+7.5▲ 0.6#41

BYU+7.8 →+13.9▲ 6.1#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

Longer bar = better

BYU

#15

Offense

◀ GT better

#44

#89

Defense

BYU better ▶

#29

−0.5 #111

Turnovers

BYU better ▶

+0.6 #19

66 plays #82

Pace

BYU faster ▶

67 plays #65

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	33.1 #23	19.0 #21	Even
Yards / play	7.09 #7	5.06 #34	GT
PPA / play	+0.22 #22	+0.01 #29	Even
Success rate	50% #8	39% #31	GT

When BYU has the ball

Advantage: BYU offense

	BYU off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	31.9 #34	25.0 #72	BYU
Yards / play	5.93 #45	5.87 #97	BYU
PPA / play	+0.15 #50	+0.15 #101	BYU
Success rate	45% #45	43% #85	BYU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

GT scoring against the BYU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	6.3 #57	8.2 #74	14.5 #68	7.7 #28	10.3 #7	18.0 #9
BYU allowed	5.0 #55	5.2 #17	10.2 #31	3.4 #23	5.2 #33	8.6 #17

BYU scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BYU scored	6.5 #49	10.1 #33	16.6 #37	5.7 #74	8.9 #22	14.6 #38
GT allowed	4.3 #43	7.7 #72	11.9 #57	6.0 #85	6.6 #68	12.6 #74

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.