UConn vs Army: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Wasabi Fenway Bowl, 2025)

Sat, Dec 27, 2025, 2:15 PM ESTWasabi Fenway Bowl · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff20°F5 mphgusts 12DryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

UConn

9-3 · Power #87

final

Final

Army

6-6 · Power #83

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARMY -7.5

✓ ARMY W

Total

41.5

▲ Over · 57 pts

Model before kickoff

CONN 22–28 ARMY

✓ ARMY (66%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenCONN -3.5

CloseARMY -7.5

Total48.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
CONN LWWWL	8-4	67%	—	2-0
ARMY WLLWW	6-6	50%	1-0	2-4

Venue/role: CONN neutral, as underdog; ARMY neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CONN OUOUO	8-4	67%	9-3
ARMY UUOOU	4-8	33%	6-6

Went over in Q4. Of 231 earlier overs in games with totals 37.5–45.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CONN	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
ARMY	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CONN−4.2 →−3.5▲ 0.7#81

ARMY−9.7 →−5.3▲ 4.4#87

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

CONN

Longer bar = better

ARMY

#15

Offense

◀ CONN better

#103

#91

Defense

Even

#79

+1.2 #4

Turnovers

◀ CONN better

+0.5 #34

68 plays #58

Pace

ARMY faster ▶

70 plays #37

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CONN has the ball

Advantage: CONN offense

	CONN off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	36.9 #12	22.1 #47	CONN
Yards / play	6.79 #12	5.70 #85	CONN
PPA / play	+0.31 #6	+0.10 #74	CONN
Success rate	46% #28	44% #108	CONN

When ARMY has the ball

Even matchup

	ARMY off	CONN def	Edge
Points / game	22.4 #106	25.8 #76	CONN
Yards / play	4.81 #127	5.67 #81	CONN
PPA / play	+0.08 #85	+0.13 #86	Even
Success rate	40% #95	45% #120	ARMY

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CONN scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CONN scored	9.1 #11	10.5 #25	19.6 #11	8.5 #14	7.8 #42	16.3 #23
ARMY allowed	6.0 #85	4.5 #11	10.5 #37	3.2 #19	7.3 #88	10.5 #45

ARMY scoring against the CONN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	2.9 #128	8.5 #69	11.4 #104	5.3 #86	5.4 #103	10.8 #97
CONN allowed	3.9 #39	7.4 #69	11.3 #48	4.4 #42	7.9 #103	12.3 #69

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.