Boise State vs Washington: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Bucked Up LA Bowl, 2025)

Sat, Dec 13, 2025, 8:00 PM ESTBucked Up LA Bowl · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff58°F4 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Boise State

9-4 · Power #55

final

Final

Washington

8-4 · Power #15

▲ winner

Closing spread

WASH -10

✓ WASH W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

BOIS 22–32 WASH

✓ WASH (77%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWASH -8.5

CloseWASH -10

Total51.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWASH -8.5

1.5 → WASH

CloseWASH -10

1.5 pts toward Washington

Total

Open51.5

▲ 4

Close55.5

Up 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WASH -8.5 · closed WASH -10 · moved 1.5 toward WASHmodel WASH -11

model WASH -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (270 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWASH -8.5

CloseWASH -10

Total51.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WASH as a 10-point neutral-site favorite against BOIS, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: WASH won 38–10; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 48 points stayed under 55.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.8 against an average line of 9.3; 59.4 points a game (usually 53.9). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	PSU vs BOIS 2024 · Postseason · close · similar spread & situation	-12	31–14	W	U54.5
Close	SC vs ILL 2024 · Postseason · close · similar team ratings & situation	-9.5	17–21	L	U50
Close	KSU vs RUTG 2024 · Postseason · close · similar team ratings & situation	-7.25	44–41	L	O52
Close	TEX vs OKST 2023 · Week 14 · close · similar season form & total	-14.5	49–21	W	O56.5
Close	LSU vs WIS 2023 · Postseason · close · similar situation & season form	-9.5	35–31	L	O58.5
Close	ALA vs KSU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar total & situation	-7.5	45–20	W	O58
Close	MINN vs SYR 2022 · Postseason · close · similar situation & season form	-10.5	28–20	L	O44.75
Close	FSU vs OU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar situation & spread	-10.5	35–32	L	O66.75
Close	PSU vs MISS 2023 · Postseason · close · similar total & situation	-5.5	25–38	L	O52.5
Close	UCF vs GT 2023 · Postseason · close · similar situation	-6.25	17–30	L	U66

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
BOIS LLWLW	9-4	69%	—	1-1
WASH WLWWL	6-6	50%	—	6-3

Venue/role: BOIS neutral, as underdog; WASH neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BOIS UUOUU	6-7	46%	9-4
WASH OUOOU	6-6	50%	8-4

Stayed under: it needed 22 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 50% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BOIS	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%
WASH	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

BOIS 2–5 WASH WASH leads · 7 games since 2007 · WASH has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 2 2023	Boise State 19 @ Washington 56	WASH -15	WASH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BOIS+6.0 →+4.5▼ 1.5#49

WASH+8.0 →+14.3▲ 6.3#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

BOIS

Longer bar = better

WASH

#53

Offense

WASH better ▶

#19

#41

Defense

Even

#31

+0.5 #34

Turnovers

◀ BOIS better

+0.1 #70

74 plays #10

Pace

◀ BOIS faster

65 plays #98

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BOIS has the ball

Advantage: WASH defense

	BOIS off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	31.4 #39	19.4 #22	Even
Yards / play	5.88 #51	4.82 #20	WASH
PPA / play	+0.15 #51	+0.02 #35	Even
Success rate	42% #70	40% #45	WASH

When WASH has the ball

Advantage: WASH offense

	WASH off	BOIS def	Edge
Points / game	33.8 #22	23.0 #56	WASH
Yards / play	6.43 #22	5.40 #55	WASH
PPA / play	+0.23 #23	+0.03 #41	Even
Success rate	50% #8	36% #12	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

BOIS scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BOIS scored	8.7 #17	8.7 #69	17.4 #35	5.7 #76	8.3 #32	14.0 #46
WASH allowed	3.6 #32	5.3 #20	8.9 #15	6.2 #90	4.3 #22	10.5 #44

WASH scoring against the BOIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	4.9 #96	10.6 #24	15.5 #53	8.1 #21	10.2 #10	18.3 #10
BOIS allowed	3.6 #34	8.6 #89	12.2 #67	5.0 #53	5.8 #50	10.8 #50

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.