Georgia vs Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Fri, Nov 28, 2025, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 14 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Georgia

10-1 · Power #7

▲ winner

Final

Georgia Tech

9-2 · Power #39

final

Closing spread

UGA -16.5

✓ GT W

Total

60.5

▼ Under · 25 pts

Model before kickoff

UGA 37–21 GT

✓ UGA (88%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUGA -14

CloseUGA -16.5

Total60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUGA -14

2.5 → UGA

CloseUGA -16.5

2.5 pts toward Georgia

Total

Open60.5

no move

Close60.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UGA -14 · closed UGA -16.5 · moved 2.5 toward UGAmodel UGA -15

model UGA -15

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (241 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUGA -14

CloseUGA -16.5

Total60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UGA as a 16.5-point neutral-site favorite against GT, the favorite won 10, covered 8, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: UGA won 16–9; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 25 points stayed under 60.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 27.2 against an average line of 14.7; 64.2 points a game (usually 53). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TEX vs OKST 2023 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-14.5	49–21	W	O56.5
Close	UGA vs LSU 2022 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & spread	-17	50–30	W	O52
Close	MICH vs PUR 2022 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & rest	-15.75	43–22	W	O54
Close	UGA vs TCU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar total	-13.5	65–7	W	O61.75
Close	PSU vs BOIS 2024 · Postseason · close · similar season form & situation	-12	31–14	W	U54.5
Loose	ND vs GT 2024 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & situation	-14	31–13	W	U49.5
Loose	TEX vs ASU 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar situation	-13.5	39–31	L	O52.5
Loose	MISS vs DUKE 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar spread & season form	-17	52–20	W	O50.5
Loose	UGA vs FLA 2024 · Week 10 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-14.5	34–20	L	O52.5
Loose	LSU vs PUR 2022 · Postseason · loose · similar season form	-15	63–7	W	O54.25

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
UGA WLWWL	5-6	45%	0-1	5-6
GT WWLLL	6-5	55%	—	2-0

Venue/role: UGA neutral, as favorite; GT neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UGA OUOUU	4-7	36%	10-1
GT UOOOO	7-4	64%	9-2

Stayed under: it needed 42 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 45% of games with totals 56.5–64.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UGA	9-1 90%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
GT	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UGA 69–40 GT (5 tied) UGA leads · 114 games since 1902 · UGA has won the last 8 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2024	Georgia Tech 42 @ Georgia 44	UGA -17.5	GT W
Nov 25 2023	Georgia 31 @ Georgia Tech 23	UGA -24.5	GT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UGA+21.0 →+20.4▼ 0.6#7

GT+6.9 →+6.7▼ 0.2#43

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

UGA

Longer bar = better

#26

Offense

Even

#14

#25

Defense

◀ UGA better

#99

−0.1 #83

Turnovers

◀ UGA better

−0.5 #112

72 plays #16

Pace

◀ UGA faster

67 plays #64

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UGA has the ball

Advantage: UGA offense

	UGA off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	33.7 #28	25.8 #78	UGA
Yards / play	5.97 #48	6.05 #113	UGA
PPA / play	+0.26 #19	+0.17 #109	UGA
Success rate	51% #7	44% #94	UGA

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	35.3 #20	17.4 #13	Even
Yards / play	7.23 #5	4.84 #23	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #23	+0.03 #40	Even
Success rate	50% #9	38% #22	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UGA scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	6.9 #41	10.3 #35	17.2 #37	8.7 #16	7.3 #54	16.0 #25
GT allowed	4.6 #49	7.2 #64	11.8 #55	6.5 #98	6.9 #80	13.5 #96

GT scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	6.6 #52	8.9 #63	15.5 #56	8.1 #24	11.0 #3	19.1 #9
UGA allowed	5.6 #78	4.3 #9	9.9 #29	4.1 #32	3.1 #5	7.2 #8

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.