Boston College @ Syracuse: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Syracuse · Conference game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Boston College

1-10 · Power #84

▲ winner

Final

Syracuse

3-8 · Power #92

final

Closing spread

BC -2.5

✓ BC W

Total

54.5

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

BC 28–26 SYR

✓ BC (54%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBC -3.5

CloseBC -2.5

Total53.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBC -3.5

1 → SYR

CloseBC -2.5

1 pt toward Syracuse

Total

Open53.5

▲ 1

Close54.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BC -3.5 · closed BC -2.5 · moved 1 toward SYRmodel SYR -2.5

model SYR -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 55%, covered 47% (239 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 47% (115 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBC -3.5

CloseBC -2.5

Total53.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BC as a 2.5-point road favorite at SYR, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: BC won 34–12; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 46 points stayed under 54.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 9.8 against an average line of 2.8; 62.2 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	CCU @ TROY 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-4	24–38	L	O51.5
Close	WAKE @ STAN 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-3	27–24	P	U53
Close	VT @ UVA 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & total	-1.75	55–17	W	O53
Close	UTSA @ ARMY 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar total & spread	-2	41–38	W	O54
Close	GASO @ MRSH 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & total	-1.5	33–38	L	O56.5
Close	SJSU @ WYO 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar spread	-1.5	28–35	L	O49.5
Close	APP @ GAST 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-3	41–20	W	O55.5
Close	WSU @ STAN 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & situation	-3	52–14	W	O48.5
Close	CSU @ HAW 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & total	-5.5	24–27	L	U53.75
Close	UNC @ FSU 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & total	-2.5	35–11	W	U50.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BC LWWLW	5-6	45%	2-2	1-2
SYR LLLWL	4-7	36%	1-4	3-5

Venue/role: BC away, as favorite; SYR home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BC OOUOO	8-3	73%	1-10
SYR UOUOO	6-5	55%	3-8

Stayed under: it needed 29 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 51% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BC	0-10 0%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
SYR	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

BC 2–0 SYR BC leads · 2 games since 2023 · BC has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 9 2024	Syracuse 31 @ Boston College 37	BC -5.5	BC W
Nov 3 2023	Boston College 17 @ Syracuse 10	BC -1	BC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BC+1.8 →−5.5▼ 7.3#86

SYR+5.9 →−5.5▼ 11.4#87

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

Longer bar = better

SYR

#85

Offense

◀ BC better

#122

#119

Defense

Even

#125

−0.8 #125

Turnovers

Even

−1.2 #136

71 plays #26

Pace

Even

71 plays #18

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BC has the ball

Advantage: BC offense

	BC off	SYR def	Edge
Points / game	24.6 #89	35.0 #130	BC
Yards / play	5.38 #92	6.40 #128	BC
PPA / play	+0.07 #90	+0.20 #121	BC
Success rate	43% #68	46% #122	BC

When SYR has the ball

Even matchup

	SYR off	BC def	Edge
Points / game	20.9 #116	34.6 #129	Even
Yards / play	4.88 #124	6.70 #134	Even
PPA / play	−0.06 #130	+0.21 #122	Even
Success rate	38% #119	43% #90	BC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

BC scoring against the SYR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BC scored	3.6 #121	9.6 #51	13.3 #83	4.6 #95	5.5 #99	10.2 #111
SYR allowed	8.0 #122	11.6 #133	19.6 #132	7.8 #122	7.5 #96	15.4 #123

SYR scoring against the BC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SYR scored	4.0 #114	5.8 #113	9.8 #119	3.0 #131	7.5 #52	10.5 #106
BC allowed	6.7 #97	11.2 #131	17.9 #123	6.8 #106	8.5 #118	15.4 #123

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.