Georgia Tech @ Boston College: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sat, Nov 15, 2025, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Boston College · Conference game

Weather at kickoff42°F3 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Tech

8-1 · Power #39

▲ winner

Final

Boston College

1-9 · Power #84

final

Closing spread

GT -16.5

✓ BC W

Total

61.5

▲ Over · 70 pts

Model before kickoff

GT 37–21 BC

✓ GT (87%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -16.5

CloseGT -16.5

Total57.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGT -16.5

no move

CloseGT -16.5

No change since the open

Total

Open57.5

▲ 4

Close61.5

Up 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GT -16.5 · unchangedmodel GT -13.5

model GT -13.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 15.5–17.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 57% (40 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -16.5

CloseGT -16.5

Total57.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 16.5-point road favorite at BC, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: GT won 36–34; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 70 points went over 61.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Below normal · usually 86%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 50%

Wins below normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 8.9 against an average line of 14.7; 63.7 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	FLA @ VAN 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-14	24–31	L	U58
Close	FSU @ STAN 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation	-17.5	13–20	L	U55.5
Close	UNC @ GT 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-12	42–46	L	O65
Close	MD @ IU 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar season form & total	-11	38–33	L	O63.5
Close	WASH @ ASU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar season form & situation	-13.5	38–45	L	O56
Close	ODU @ ULM 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & season form	-16.5	31–6	W	U55.5
Close	CLEM @ WAKE 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & total	-21	49–14	W	P63
Close	MEM @ FAU 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread	-14	55–26	W	O62.5
Close	UCLA @ ASU 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & season form	-11	50–36	W	O67
Close	TCU @ WVU 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar team ratings & season form	-16.5	23–17	L	U55.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GT LWWWL	6-3	67%	2-2	4-3
BC LLWWL	4-6	40%	2-4	3-4

Venue/role: GT away, as favorite; BC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GT OUUOO	5-4	56%	8-1
BC UOOUO	7-3	70%	1-9

Went over in Q4. Of 242 earlier overs in games with totals 57.5–65.5, 28% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GT	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
BC	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

GT 8–5 BC GT leads · 13 games since 1972 · GT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 21 2023	Boston College 38 @ Georgia Tech 23	GT -6	BC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GT+6.9 →+8.6▲ 1.7#37

BC+1.8 →−6.0▼ 7.8#91

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

Longer bar = better

#12

Offense

◀ GT better

#98

#86

Defense

◀ GT better

#111

−0.3 #102

Turnovers

◀ GT better

−1.0 #130

65 plays #86

Pace

BC faster ▶

71 plays #26

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GT has the ball

Advantage: GT offense

	GT off	BC def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #19	34.5 #129	GT
Yards / play	7.37 #2	6.52 #132	GT
PPA / play	+0.27 #18	+0.19 #114	GT
Success rate	51% #7	41% #68	GT

When BC has the ball

Even matchup

	BC off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	23.7 #97	23.1 #62	GT
Yards / play	5.13 #107	5.82 #97	Even
PPA / play	+0.04 #108	+0.15 #97	Even
Success rate	42% #79	43% #87	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

GT scoring against the BC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	7.3 #36	8.6 #72	15.9 #54	9.6 #11	9.8 #14	19.3 #7
BC allowed	6.7 #102	11.6 #132	18.3 #127	7.2 #111	7.5 #105	14.7 #116

BC scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BC scored	4.0 #112	9.2 #58	13.2 #82	3.7 #120	5.5 #94	9.2 #118
GT allowed	3.3 #29	6.4 #46	9.8 #30	5.7 #77	7.0 #83	12.7 #82

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.