Boston College @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2023)

Sat, Oct 21, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff64°F8 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Boston College

3-3 · Power #75

▲ winner

Final

Georgia Tech

3-3 · Power #53

final

Closing spread

GT -6

✓ BC W

Total

▲ Over · 61 pts

Model before kickoff

BC 26–32 GT

✗ GT (68%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGT -6

Total57

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseGT -6

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close57

Line context

Home favorites of 4–8 since 2023: won 66%, covered 53% (50 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGT -6

Total57

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 6-point home favorite against BC, the favorite won 6, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: BC won 38–23 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 61 points went over 57, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 65%

Favorite covered

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 5.9 against an average line of 5.9; 52.5 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FAU vs RICE 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5	17–14	L	U54.5
Very close	APP vs CCU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & total	-4.5	24–27	L	U59
Very close	MEM vs TULN 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & total	-5.5	33–28	L	O58
Very close	BOIS vs SJSU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & situation	-8	35–27	P	O57.5
Very close	NIU vs CMU 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & spread	-4.5	22–35	L	O54
Close	M-OH vs BUFF 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar total & spread	-7	45–18	W	O58
Close	TCU vs WVU 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation	-4.5	17–29	L	U58
Close	CMU vs NIU 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-6	38–39	L	O56
Close	TULN vs TEM 2020 · Week 9 · close · similar total & situation	-6.75	38–3	W	U57.5
Close	NCST vs GT 2020 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-7	23–13	W	U61

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BC LWLLW	2-4	33%	1-1	2-1
GT LLWLW	3-3	50%	0-2	0-2

Venue/role: BC away, as underdog; GT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BC OOOP–	4-0-1	100%	3-3
GT OOUO–	3-1	75%	3-3

Went over in Q4. Of 83 earlier overs in games with totals 53–61, 30% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BClast 6	3-3 50%	2-4 33%	4-0-1 100%
GTlast 6	3-3 50%	3-3 50%	3-1 75%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

BC 5–8 GT GT leads · 13 games since 1972 · GT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BC−0.4 →−4.4▼ 4.0#91

GT−2.1 →+1.3▲ 3.4#56

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

Longer bar = better

#82

Offense

GT better ▶

#48

#117

Defense

Even

#107

−0.2 #81

Turnovers

GT better ▶

+0.5 #30

71 plays #37

Pace

◀ BC faster

66 plays #82

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BC has the ball

Advantage: BC offense

	BC off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	27.7 #76	29.0 #94	Even
Yards / play	5.56 #76	6.13 #109	BC
PPA / play	+0.14 #64	+0.17 #99	BC
Success rate	38% #111	47% #125	Even

When GT has the ball

Advantage: GT offense

	GT off	BC def	Edge
Points / game	30.8 #53	31.7 #112	GT
Yards / play	6.53 #28	6.21 #118	GT
PPA / play	+0.19 #46	+0.22 #120	GT
Success rate	42% #63	45% #116	GT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

BC scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BC scored	3.3 #114	8.0 #75	11.3 #106	7.3 #51	8.5 #32	15.8 #33
GT allowed	4.3 #52	4.3 #18	8.7 #23	10.8 #132	9.5 #117	20.3 #132

GT scoring against the BC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	5.8 #73	9.7 #44	15.5 #61	7.3 #51	8.0 #43	15.3 #39
BC allowed	4.0 #45	13.3 #130	17.3 #112	9.3 #122	4.0 #25	13.3 #84

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.