Old Dominion @ UL Monroe: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Sat, Nov 1, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 10 · at UL Monroe · Conference game

Weather at kickoff62°F2 mphDryWeather watch ›

Old Dominion

5-3 · Power #46

▲ winner

Final

UL Monroe

3-5 · Power #130

final

Closing spread

ODU -16.5

✓ ODU W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

ODU 35–19 ULM

✓ ODU (88%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -15.5

CloseODU -16.5

Total53.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenODU -15.5

1 → ODU

CloseODU -16.5

1 pt toward Old Dominion

Total

Open53.5

▲ 2

Close55.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ODU -15.5 · closed ODU -16.5 · moved 1 toward ODUmodel ODU -16.5 matches the line

model ODU -16.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 14.5–18.5 since 2023: won 87%, covered 53% (62 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (222 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -15.5

CloseODU -16.5

Total53.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ODU as a 16.5-point road favorite at ULM, the favorite won 8, covered 2, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: ODU won 31–6; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 55.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.2 against an average line of 16.5; 52.6 points a game (usually 53). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UAB @ LT 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-18	37–27	L	O55.5
Very close	TROY @ USM 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-17	35–17	W	O48.5
Very close	WKU @ NMSU 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & total	-18	41–28	L	O53.5
Close	FSU @ STAN 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-17.5	13–20	L	U55.5
Close	OHIO @ EMU 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-12	28–21	L	U60.5
Close	APP @ TXST 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest	-19.5	24–36	L	O54.5
Close	LIB @ MTSU 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & total	-12.5	37–17	W	U55
Close	TCU @ WVU 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-16.5	23–17	L	U55.5
Close	UL @ USM 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar season form & situation	-17.5	23–13	L	U57.5
Close	ECU @ TLSA 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & situation	-16.5	38–31	L	O63.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU LWLLL	4-4	50%	2-2	2-3
ULM WLLLL	2-6	25%	1-2	1-4

Venue/role: ODU away, as favorite; ULM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU UOOOU	5-3	63%	5-3
ULM UOUOO	5-3	63%	3-5

Stayed under: it needed 32 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 51% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
ULM	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ODU−5.3 →+0.7▲ 6.0#64

ULM−12.3 →−17.3▼ 5.0#128

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

ODU

Longer bar = better

ULM

#28

Offense

◀ ODU better

#115

#62

Defense

◀ ODU better

#96

−0.6 #117

Turnovers

Even

−1.0 #130

64 plays #105

Pace

◀ ODU faster

61 plays #129

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: ODU offense

	ODU off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	32.0 #46	33.1 #124	ODU
Yards / play	7.15 #8	5.94 #104	ODU
PPA / play	+0.22 #29	+0.16 #101	ODU
Success rate	47% #29	40% #53	ODU

When ULM has the ball

Advantage: ODU defense

	ULM off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	17.3 #129	25.6 #82	ODU
Yards / play	5.34 #98	5.22 #49	ODU
PPA / play	+0.06 #106	+0.02 #36	ODU
Success rate	36% #128	42% #82	ODU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ODU scoring against the ULM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	8.4 #25	9.9 #44	18.3 #33	7.8 #31	6.0 #83	13.8 #59
ULM allowed	8.5 #123	7.9 #82	16.4 #111	8.5 #125	8.3 #112	16.8 #128

ULM scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ULM scored	4.4 #109	5.3 #118	9.6 #117	4.4 #105	3.3 #132	7.6 #130
ODU allowed	3.5 #34	6.4 #52	9.9 #37	8.1 #119	7.6 #99	15.8 #124

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.