Ohio @ Eastern Michigan: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2025)

Sat, Oct 25, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Eastern Michigan · Conference game

Weather at kickoff51°F1 mphgusts 8DryWeather watch ›

Ohio

4-3 · Power #78

▲ winner

Final

Eastern Michigan

2-6 · Power #123

final

Closing spread

OHIO -13.5

✓ EMU W

Total

60.5

▼ Under · 49 pts

Model before kickoff

OHIO 36–22 EMU

✓ OHIO (83%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOHIO -10.5

CloseOHIO -13.5

Total59.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOHIO -10.5

3 → OHIO

CloseOHIO -13.5

3 pts toward Ohio

Total

Open59.5

▲ 1

Close60.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OHIO -10.5 · closed OHIO -13.5 · moved 3 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -13

model OHIO -13

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 76%, covered 47% (72 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (199 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOHIO -10.5

CloseOHIO -13.5

Total59.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OHIO as a 13.5-point road favorite at EMU, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: OHIO won 28–21; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 49 points stayed under 60.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 79%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.3 against an average line of 14.1; 58.7 points a game (usually 54). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MEM @ TEM 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-13.5	45–21	W	O64.25
Very close	ECU @ TLSA 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar team ratings & season form	-16.5	38–31	L	O63.5
Very close	LIB @ MTSU 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-12.5	37–17	W	U55
Very close	TXST @ ARST 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & season form	-14	30–31	L	U63.5
Close	WKU @ FIU 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-11.5	41–28	W	O54.25
Close	TULN @ USF 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & situation	-12	45–31	W	O55
Close	ARIZ @ STAN 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-13	21–20	L	U60
Close	UL @ USM 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & total	-17.5	23–13	L	U57.5
Close	UAB @ LT 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-18	37–27	L	O55.5
Close	BGSU @ BALL 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar team ratings & season form	-12.5	38–13	W	U54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OHIO WLWLW	5-2	71%	2-1	2-2
EMU WLWWL	4-4	50%	2-1	4-3

Venue/role: OHIO away, as favorite; EMU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OHIO UOOUO	4-3	57%	4-3
EMU OUOUO	5-3	63%	2-6

Stayed under: it needed 33 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 46% of games with totals 56.5–64.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OHIO	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
EMU	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

OHIO 22–12 EMU (1 tied) OHIO leads · 35 games since 1976 · OHIO has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 13 2024	Eastern Michigan 10 @ Ohio 35	OHIO -10.5	OHIO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OHIO−3.2 →−1.7▲ 1.5#73

EMU−11.0 →−15.8▼ 4.8#124

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

OHIO

Longer bar = better

EMU

#53

Offense

◀ OHIO better

#86

#83

Defense

◀ OHIO better

#126

+0.1 #60

Turnovers

◀ OHIO better

−0.1 #81

68 plays #50

Pace

◀ OHIO faster

66 plays #74

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	EMU def	Edge
Points / game	29.4 #62	33.5 #126	OHIO
Yards / play	6.28 #41	6.62 #130	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.17 #50	+0.28 #132	OHIO
Success rate	44% #60	46% #116	OHIO

When EMU has the ball

Even matchup

	EMU off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	24.5 #94	25.3 #78	Even
Yards / play	5.52 #86	6.19 #119	EMU
PPA / play	+0.13 #73	+0.07 #52	OHIO
Success rate	42% #90	42% #84	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

OHIO scoring against the EMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	6.9 #52	10.9 #34	17.7 #40	6.7 #56	5.0 #105	11.7 #88
EMU allowed	8.8 #126	9.0 #98	17.8 #123	6.5 #100	8.4 #113	14.9 #119

EMU scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
EMU scored	3.6 #119	9.4 #59	13.0 #89	1.8 #135	9.0 #31	10.8 #99
OHIO allowed	5.9 #80	7.4 #82	13.3 #76	4.1 #45	7.9 #103	12.0 #76

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.