Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff68°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Pittsburgh

7-3 · Power #35

▲ winner

Final

Georgia Tech

9-1 · Power #39

final

Closing spread

GT -2.5

✓ PITT W

Total

61.5

▲ Over · 70 pts

Model before kickoff

PITT 28–30 GT

✗ GT (57%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -2.5

CloseGT -2.5

Total61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGT -2.5

no move

CloseGT -2.5

No change since the open

Total

Open61.5

no move

Close61.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GT -2.5 · unchangedmodel GT -2

model GT -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 53% (311 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -2.5

CloseGT -2.5

Total61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 2.5-point home favorite against PITT, the favorite won 3, covered 2, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: PITT won 42–28 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 8 of the 10 similar games. 70 points went over 61.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 4.6 against an average line of 3; 55.6 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MISS vs MSST 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	22–24	L	U63
Very close	TTU vs BAY 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-1.5	17–45	L	O61
Very close	TTU vs UCF 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	24–23	L	U59.5
Very close	TTU vs KSU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar season form & rest	-1	21–38	L	O57.5
Very close	DUKE vs UVA 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	17–34	L	U60
Very close	KU vs TTU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	13–16	L	U61.5
Very close	TTU vs KU 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	43–28	W	O63.5
Very close	TULN vs UCF 2022 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	45–28	W	O57.5
Very close	OU vs BAY 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	35–38	L	O61.5
Very close	DUKE vs GT 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & season form	-3.5	18–27	L	U60.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PITT WWWWL	7-3	70%	3-1	1-2
GT WWWLL	6-4	60%	4-1	4-4

Venue/role: PITT away, as underdog; GT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PITT OUOOU	8-2	80%	7-3
GT UUOOO	6-4	60%	9-1

Went over in Q4. Of 250 earlier overs in games with totals 57.5–65.5, 28% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PITT	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%
GT	9-1 90%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PITT 12–6 GT PITT leads · 18 games since 1918 · PITT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PITT+2.5 →+8.3▲ 5.8#36

GT+6.9 →+7.8▲ 0.9#39

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

PITT

Longer bar = better

#61

Offense

GT better ▶

#24

Defense

◀ PITT better

#96

0.0 #74

Turnovers

◀ PITT better

−0.4 #107

70 plays #38

Pace

◀ PITT faster

67 plays #70

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PITT has the ball

Advantage: PITT offense

	PITT off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	37.2 #12	24.2 #66	PITT
Yards / play	5.84 #64	6.04 #114	PITT
PPA / play	+0.12 #64	+0.18 #109	PITT
Success rate	40% #103	43% #93	Even

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	PITT def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #18	23.3 #58	GT
Yards / play	7.47 #1	4.78 #17	Even
PPA / play	+0.28 #13	−0.04 #14	Even
Success rate	51% #5	34% #6	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

PITT scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PITT scored	7.9 #26	12.6 #7	20.5 #12	9.1 #14	7.6 #47	16.7 #21
GT allowed	3.0 #19	7.2 #67	10.2 #31	6.5 #98	6.9 #83	13.4 #94

GT scoring against the PITT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	7.3 #36	8.4 #75	15.7 #57	8.9 #16	10.7 #4	19.6 #6
PITT allowed	4.5 #50	7.8 #83	12.3 #63	2.9 #16	7.4 #97	10.3 #46

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.