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NCAAF · 1st half

NCAAF first-half lines & halftime results · 2025 Week 13

NCAAF 1st half2025 Week 13: 60 of 60 games final. Favorites went 33-26 against the first-half spread, and halftime totals went 27 over, 31 under.How 1st-half lines work ⓘ
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Tuesday, Nov 18

3
1H finalConf · est. line
Akron
1H ATS 5-6 · #127
6
Bowling Green
1H ATS 4-6 · #120
6
1H spread
BGSU -1.5
✓ AKR W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 12
Projected
10–14
 
Model: BGSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Western Michigan
1H ATS 6-4 · #80
14
Northern Illinois
1H ATS 5-5 · #124
13
1H spread
WMU -4
✓ NIU W ATS
1H total
20
▲ Over 27
Projected
11–8
✓ WMU led
Model: NIU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Massachusetts
1H ATS 4-6 · #136
7
Ohio
1H ATS 6-4 · #78
21
1H spread
OHIO -20.5
✓ MASS W ATS
1H total
28
Push 28
Projected
5–23
✓ OHIO led
Trend: Fast starter edge: MASS ✓ Model: MASS by 2 ✓

Wednesday, Nov 19

2
1H finalConf · est. line
Miami (OH)
1H ATS 4-5-1 · #91
17
Buffalo
1H ATS 6-4 · #118
10
1H spread
M-OH -1.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
1H total
20
▲ Over 27
Projected
13–10
✓ M-OH led
Model: M-OH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Central Michigan
1H ATS 7-3 · #103
14
Kent State
1H ATS 5-4 · #132
3
1H spread
CMU -4.5
✓ CMU W ATS
1H total
26.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
16–11
✓ CMU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: CMU ✓ Model: CMU by 1 ✓

Thursday, Nov 20

1
1H finalConf · est. line
Louisiana
1H ATS 5-5 · #114
24
Arkansas State
1H ATS 5-5 · #110
27
1H spread
ARST -1.5
✓ ARST W ATS
1H total
28.5
▲ Over 51
Projected
13–15
✓ ARST led
Model: UL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗

Friday, Nov 21

2
1H finalConf · est. line
Florida State
1H ATS 4-5-1 · #23
3
NC State
1H ATS 5-5 · #44
7
1H spread
FSU -4
✓ NCSU W ATS
1H total
31
▼ Under 10
Projected
18–13
✗ FSU did not lead
Model: FSU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Hawai'i
1H ATS 6-3-1 · #90
10
UNLV
1H ATS 5-5 · #74
24
1H spread
UNLV -1.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
1H total
33.5
▲ Over 34
Projected
14–18
✓ UNLV led
Model: UNLV by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗

Saturday, Nov 22

52
1H finalConf · est. line
Rutgers
1H ATS 6-4 · #62
3
Ohio State
1H ATS 7-3 · #2
14
1H spread
OSU -17
✓ RUTG W ATS
1H total
28.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
5–24
✓ OSU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: OSU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: RUTG ✓ Model: OSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Missouri
1H ATS 5-5 · #18
6
Oklahoma
1H ATS 6-4 · #16
14
1H spread
OU -2.5
✓ OU W ATS
1H total
22
▼ Under 20
Projected
11–13
✓ OU led
Model: MIZ by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Miami
1H ATS 5-5 · #6
20
Virginia Tech
1H ATS 5-4 · #73
3
1H spread
MIA -10.5
✓ MIA W ATS
1H total
25
▼ Under 23
Projected
18–6
✓ MIA led
Model: MIA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Minnesota
1H ATS 2-7 · #69
21
Northwestern
1H ATS 8-2 · #59
13
1H spread
NU -2.5
✓ MINN W ATS
1H total
21.5
▲ Over 34
Projected
9–12
✗ NU did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: NU ✗ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: NU ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Louisville
1H ATS 3-7 · #25
6
SMU
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #27
21
1H spread
SMU -2
✓ SMU W ATS
1H total
26.5
▲ Over 27
Projected
14–14
✓ SMU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: SMU ✓ Model: LOU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
Delaware
1H ATS 6-4 · #117
7
Wake Forest
1H ATS 8-2 · #53
35
1H spread
WAKE -10.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
1H total
25
▲ Over 42
Projected
6–19
✓ WAKE led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: WAKE ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: DEL ✗ Model: WAKE by 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Kansas
1H ATS 5-5 · #54
0
Iowa State
1H ATS 7-3 · #36
17
1H spread
ISU -2
✓ ISU W ATS
1H total
29
▼ Under 17
Projected
12–16
✓ ISU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ISU ✓ Model: ISU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Tulsa
1H ATS 5-5 · #113
14
Army
1H ATS 4-5 · #83
22
1H spread
ARMY -5.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
1H total
22.5
▲ Over 36
Projected
8–15
✓ ARMY led
Trend: Fast starter edge: TLSA ✗ Model: ARMY by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
Charlotte
1H ATS 2-8 · #134
3
Georgia
1H ATS 4-6 · #7
28
1H spread
UGA -25
Push
1H total
28
▲ Over 31
Projected
0–28
✓ UGA led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: UGA Trend: Fast starter edge: CLT Model: UGA by 5 Model: Under 2.5 ✗
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
Washington State
1H ATS 7-3 · #60
17
James Madison
1H ATS 6-4 · #28
10
1H spread
JMU -9
✓ WSU W ATS
1H total
23.5
▲ Over 27
Projected
7–15
✗ JMU did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: WSU ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: WSU ✓ Model: WSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Baylor
1H ATS 1-9 · #50
17
Arizona
1H ATS 6-3-1 · #26
14
1H spread
ARIZ -4
✓ BAY W ATS
1H total
31.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
14–18
✗ ARIZ did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: ARIZ ✗ Model: ARIZ by 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Old Dominion
1H ATS 8-2 · #46
31
Georgia Southern
1H ATS 4-5-1 · #105
0
1H spread
ODU -6
✓ ODU W ATS
1H total
32.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
19–11
✓ ODU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ODU ✓ Model: ODU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Missouri State
1H ATS 5-5 · #112
13
Kennesaw State
1H ATS 7-3 · #97
14
1H spread
KENN -4
✓ MOST W ATS
1H total
28.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
12–15
✓ KENN led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: KENN ✗ Model: MOST by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Nevada
1H ATS 6-4 · #121
7
Wyoming
1H ATS 5-5 · #107
0
1H spread
WYO -4
✓ NEV W ATS
1H total
21
▼ Under 7
Projected
7–13
✗ WYO did not lead
Model: WYO by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Ball State
1H ATS 5-5 · #133
3
Toledo
1H ATS 6-4 · #48
24
1H spread
TOL -17
✓ TOL W ATS
1H total
23.5
▲ Over 27
Projected
3–20
✓ TOL led
Trend: Fast starter edge: BALL ✗ Model: TOL by 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Marshall
1H ATS 4-6 · #88
21
App State
1H ATS 5-5 · #115
16
1H spread
MRSH -2
✓ MRSH W ATS
1H total
30
▲ Over 37
Projected
15–13
✓ MRSH led
Model: MRSH by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
UConn
1H ATS 5-6 · #87
27
Florida Atlantic
1H ATS 7-3 · #108
17
1H spread
CONN -3
✓ CONN W ATS
1H total
33.5
▲ Over 44
Projected
18–15
✓ CONN led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: FAU ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Liberty
1H ATS 6-4 · #104
13
Louisiana Tech
1H ATS 5-5 · #93
7
1H spread
LIB -1
✓ LIB W ATS
1H total
23.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
11–14
✗ LT did not lead
Model: LT by 4 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Sam Houston
1H ATS 3-7 · #135
10
Middle Tennessee
1H ATS 3-7 · #128
10
1H spread
MTSU -4
✓ SHSU W ATS
1H total
28
▼ Under 20
Projected
12–15
 
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: SHSU ✓ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: MTSU ✗ Model: SHSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
New Mexico State
1H ATS 5-5 · #129
21
UTEP
1H ATS 4-6 · #131
21
1H spread
UTEP -2.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
1H total
23.5
▲ Over 42
Projected
11–13
 
Model: NMSU by 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
South Florida
1H ATS 7-3 · #29
17
UAB
1H ATS 5-5 · #119
10
1H spread
USF -13.5
✓ UAB W ATS
1H total
35.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
23–10
✓ USF led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: USF ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: UAB ✓ Model: UAB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
USC
1H ATS 6-4 · #12
14
Oregon
1H ATS 7-3 · #4
28
1H spread
ORE -7.5
✓ ORE W ATS
1H total
31.5
▲ Over 42
Projected
13–19
✓ ORE led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ORE ✓ Model: USC by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
Syracuse
1H ATS 4-6 · #92
0
Notre Dame
1H ATS 2-8 · #3
49
1H spread
ND -21.5
✓ ND W ATS
1H total
26.5
▲ Over 49
Projected
4–23
✓ ND led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: SYR ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: SYR ✗ Model: SYR by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Kentucky
1H ATS 6-4 · #52
3
Vanderbilt
1H ATS 5-5 · #13
24
1H spread
VAN -4
✓ VAN W ATS
1H total
28
▼ Under 27
Projected
11–17
✓ VAN led
Trend: 1st-half over teams: Over ✗ Model: VAN by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Arkansas
1H ATS 7-3 · #40
20
Texas
1H ATS 2-8 · #14
24
1H spread
TEX -6
✓ ARK W ATS
1H total
30
▲ Over 44
Projected
12–17
✓ TEX led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: ARK ✓ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ARK ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: ARK ✓ Model: ARK by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Michigan State
1H ATS 4-5-1 · #67
3
Iowa
1H ATS 5-5 · #20
7
1H spread
IOWA -10.5
✓ MSU W ATS
1H total
22.5
▼ Under 10
Projected
5–17
✓ IOWA led
Model: IOWA by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Duke
1H ATS 4-5 · #47
17
North Carolina
1H ATS 4-6 · #89
10
1H spread
DUKE -4
✓ DUKE W ATS
1H total
26.5
▲ Over 27
Projected
16–11
✓ DUKE led
Model: DUKE by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Jacksonville State
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #101
14
Florida International
1H ATS 5-5 · #109
7
1H spread
FIU -1.5
✓ JXST W ATS
1H total
29.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
14–14
✗ FIU did not lead
Trend: Fast starter edge: JXST ✓ Model: JXST by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Southern Miss
1H ATS 6-4 · #98
7
South Alabama
1H ATS 1-8-1 · #102
21
1H spread
USM -1.5
✓ USA W ATS
1H total
28
Push 28
Projected
14–14
 
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: USM ✗ Model: USA by 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
East Carolina
1H ATS 6-4 · #51
3
UTSA
1H ATS 6-4 · #65
34
1H spread
ECU -1.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
1H total
32
▲ Over 37
Projected
16–14
✗ ECU did not lead
Model: ECU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Tulane
1H ATS 7-3 · #57
20
Temple
1H ATS 6-4 · #96
7
1H spread
TULN -4.5
✓ TULN W ATS
1H total
28.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
16–12
✓ TULN led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: TULN ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Kansas State
1H ATS 4-6 · #42
31
Utah
1H ATS 7-3 · #8
21
1H spread
UTAH -11
✓ KSU W ATS
1H total
27.5
▲ Over 52
Projected
7–20
✗ UTAH did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: UTAH ✗ Model: UTAH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Michigan
1H ATS 1-9 · #21
21
Maryland
1H ATS 5-5 · #72
10
1H spread
MICH -8
✓ MICH W ATS
1H total
24
▲ Over 31
Projected
16–8
✓ MICH led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: MD ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: MD ✗ Model: MD by 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
TCU
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #33
14
Houston
1H ATS 4-5-1 · #49
7
1H spread
TCU -1
✓ TCU W ATS
1H total
29
▼ Under 21
Projected
15–14
✓ TCU led
Model: TCU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Oklahoma State
1H ATS 3-6 · #111
14
UCF
1H ATS 5-5 · #66
0
1H spread
UCF -7.5
✓ OKST W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 14
Projected
7–18
✗ UCF did not lead
Model: UCF by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Georgia State
1H ATS 4-6 · #125
6
Troy
1H ATS 3-7 · #99
10
1H spread
TROY -6
✓ GAST W ATS
1H total
27
▼ Under 16
Projected
10–17
✓ TROY led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: GAST ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: GAST ✓ Model: TROY by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
Coastal Carolina
1H ATS 4-6 · #122
0
South Carolina
1H ATS 4-6 · #43
37
1H spread
SC -14.5
✓ SC W ATS
1H total
26.5
▲ Over 37
Projected
5–19
✓ SC led
Trend: Fast starter edge: CCU ✗ Model: CCU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
UL Monroe
1H ATS 4-6 · #130
0
Texas State
1H ATS 5-5 · #71
3
1H spread
TXST -12
✓ ULM W ATS
1H total
31.5
▼ Under 3
Projected
9–22
✓ TXST led
Trend: Fast starter edge: ULM ✓ Model: TXST by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Pittsburgh
1H ATS 6-2-2 · #35
28
Georgia Tech
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #39
14
1H spread
GT -1.5
✓ PITT W ATS
1H total
32
▲ Over 42
Projected
14–16
✗ GT did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: PITT ✓ Model: PITT by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Nebraska
1H ATS 7-3 · #45
3
Penn State
1H ATS 2-7-1 · #17
23
1H spread
PSU -4.5
✓ PSU W ATS
1H total
23.5
▲ Over 26
Projected
11–15
✓ PSU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: NEB ✗ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: NEB ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: NEB ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
New Mexico
1H ATS 6-4 · #81
17
Air Force
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #95
0
1H spread
UNM -2
✓ UNM W ATS
1H total
28
▼ Under 17
Projected
16–15
✓ UNM led
Model: AFA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Colorado State
1H ATS 2-8 · #116
7
Boise State
1H ATS 3-6-1 · #55
27
1H spread
BOIS -10.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
1H total
24
▲ Over 34
Projected
8–19
✓ BOIS led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: BOIS ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: CSU ✗ Model: BOIS by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Tennessee
1H ATS 5-5 · #22
31
Florida
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #37
0
1H spread
TENN -2
✓ TENN W ATS
1H total
30
▲ Over 31
Projected
16–14
✓ TENN led
Model: TENN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Illinois
1H ATS 4-6 · #30
7
Wisconsin
1H ATS 3-7 · #63
10
1H spread
ILL -5
✓ WIS W ATS
1H total
21.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
13–9
✗ ILL did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: ILL ✗ Model: WIS by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
California
1H ATS 5-5 · #76
10
Stanford
1H ATS 5-3-2 · #85
14
1H spread
CAL -2.5
✓ STAN W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
13–12
✗ CAL did not lead
Model: STAN by 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
North Texas
1H ATS 6-3-1 · #38
28
Rice
1H ATS 4-6 · #126
14
1H spread
UNT -11
✓ UNT W ATS
1H total
29.5
▲ Over 42
Projected
21–9
✓ UNT led
Model: UNT by 1 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
Western Kentucky
1H ATS 5-5 · #94
3
LSU
1H ATS 2-7-1 · #31
7
1H spread
LSU -15
✓ WKU W ATS
1H total
28
▼ Under 10
Projected
6–21
✓ LSU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: WKU ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: WKU ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
BYU
1H ATS 6-4 · #19
10
Cincinnati
1H ATS 6-2-1 · #58
7
1H spread
BYU -1.5
✓ BYU W ATS
1H total
30
▼ Under 17
Projected
16–13
✓ BYU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: CIN ✗ Model: BYU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Arizona State
1H ATS 5-5 · #41
13
Colorado
1H ATS 3-6-1 · #75
7
1H spread
ASU -4
✓ ASU W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
14–11
✓ ASU led
Model: COLO by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Washington
1H ATS 7-3 · #15
20
UCLA
1H ATS 3-7 · #70
0
1H spread
WASH -6
✓ WASH W ATS
1H total
27
▼ Under 20
Projected
17–11
✓ WASH led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: WASH ✓ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: WASH ✓ Model: WASH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Utah State
1H ATS 6-4 · #86
7
Fresno State
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #82
17
1H spread
FRES -1
✓ FRES W ATS
1H total
26.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
13–15
✓ FRES led
Model: FRES by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
San José State
1H ATS 6-4 · #106
3
San Diego State
1H ATS 6-3 · #68
18
1H spread
SDSU -5.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
1H total
27
▼ Under 21
Projected
10–17
✓ SDSU led
Model: SDSU by 2 ✓
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StatusMatchup1H spreadMove1H totalModelTrendDetails
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1H ATS: the team's 1st-half margin plus its 1st-half line. Away team listed first. Spread edge = the model's 1st-half line minus the 1H spread (Total edge: the model's 1H total minus the 1H total), in points; a lean starts at 2 pts (3 on the total) and is context only. Projections use only games played before that week. Trends use each team's 1st halves earlier this season; dot = backtest status ( proven edge, above break-even but not proven, no edge). est. lines are estimated from the full-game line.
1H ATS leans (backtest)
1117-1157 (49.1%)
No edge 2016–26 · break-even 52.4%
1H O/U leans (backtest)
313-299 (51.1%)
No edge 3+ pt edges
Halftime leader picked
69.7%
7,953 games, walk-forward
This week
33-26 fav 1H ATS
O/U 27-31 · leans 4-5 ATS, 0-0 O/U

2025 team 1st-half records

Against the 1st-half line (real or estimated), halftime over/under and halftime leads
TeamGP1H ATSCover %1H O-ULed-trailed1H PF1H PA1H margin
Sacramento State 1 1-0 100% 1-0 1-0 17.0 13.0 +4.0
Wake Forest 13 10-3 76.9% 6-7 11-2 16.8 8.6 +8.2
Washington State 13 10-3 76.9% 5-8 10-3 13.5 8.9 +4.5
Northwestern 13 9-3-1 75% 5-8 5-8 12.0 10.1 +1.9
Arkansas 12 9-3 75% 9-3 6-5-1 21.4 18.3 +3.1
Oregon 15 11-4 73.3% 7-8 12-2-1 20.5 7.1 +13.3
Tulane 14 10-4 71.4% 5-9 10-3-1 17.6 11.1 +6.5
Texas Tech 14 9-4 69.2% 5-7-1 12-2 22.7 4.4 +18.3
North Texas 14 9-4-1 69.2% 10-4 10-2-2 24.5 12.5 +12.0
South Florida 13 9-4 69.2% 7-6 9-3-1 19.3 11.8 +7.5
Central Michigan 13 9-4 69.2% 5-7-1 9-4 13.7 11.2 +2.5
Old Dominion 13 9-4 69.2% 4-9 8-4-1 18.3 7.6 +10.7
Washington 13 9-4 69.2% 5-8 7-4-2 16.2 8.5 +7.7
Fresno State 13 8-4-1 66.7% 5-7-1 8-5 14.1 11.3 +2.8
San Diego State 13 8-4 66.7% 7-6 9-3-1 16.0 8.5 +7.5
TCU 13 8-4-1 66.7% 3-10 9-3-1 16.4 11.2 +5.2
Iowa State 12 8-4 66.7% 6-6 9-2-1 15.3 10.3 +5.1
Rutgers 12 8-4 66.7% 7-4-1 6-5-1 16.4 16.9 -0.5
Liberty 12 8-4 66.7% 4-8 6-3-3 12.2 9.3 +2.9
Western Michigan 14 9-5 64.3% 4-10 9-5 12.9 7.6 +5.3
Ohio State 14 9-5 64.3% 6-8 13-1 16.4 4.4 +12.0
Virginia 14 9-5 64.3% 4-10 7-4-3 17.0 9.9 +7.1
Pittsburgh 13 7-4-2 63.6% 8-5 9-4 19.0 12.1 +6.9
Eastern Michigan 12 7-4-1 63.6% 4-7-1 4-7-1 12.7 15.3 -2.6
Miami 16 10-6 62.5% 2-14 12-2-2 14.4 5.0 +9.4
Duke 14 8-5 61.5% 9-5 7-4-3 17.1 15.9 +1.3
BYU 14 8-5 61.5% 7-6 8-6 16.1 10.9 +5.2
Ohio 13 8-5 61.5% 5-7-1 9-3-1 14.5 9.8 +4.8
NC State 13 8-5 61.5% 8-5 6-7 18.6 15.2 +3.4
East Carolina 13 8-5 61.5% 6-7 7-6 17.0 11.4 +5.6
Delaware 13 8-5 61.5% 6-7 8-4-1 15.1 15.3 -0.2
Toledo 13 8-5 61.5% 8-5 9-4 17.8 5.7 +12.1
UTSA 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5-1 8-5 19.0 13.2 +5.8
Utah 13 8-5 61.5% 9-4 10-3 20.8 8.6 +12.2
Indiana 16 9-6 60% 6-9-1 14-1-1 21.3 5.8 +15.4
Alabama 15 9-6 60% 5-9-1 9-4-2 17.0 9.5 +7.5
Ole Miss 15 9-6 60% 8-6-1 12-3 20.1 11.8 +8.3
Stanford 12 6-4-2 60% 6-6 2-7-3 10.1 16.6 -6.5
Hawai'i 13 7-5-1 58.3% 7-6 9-4 14.8 12.8 +2.1
New Mexico 13 7-5-1 58.3% 8-5 7-6 15.2 12.1 +3.1
SMU 13 7-5-1 58.3% 2-11 9-4 16.0 8.8 +7.2
Florida Atlantic 12 7-5 58.3% 9-3 5-7 17.9 18.8 -0.9
Nevada 12 7-5 58.3% 7-5 4-8 8.2 16.3 -8.1
Northern Illinois 12 7-5 58.3% 6-6 4-6-2 10.2 11.1 -0.9
Kennesaw State 14 8-6 57.1% 5-8-1 9-4-1 13.1 11.9 +1.3
Cincinnati 13 6-5-1 54.5% 6-6-1 8-5 19.4 11.7 +7.7
Michigan State 12 6-5-1 54.5% 5-7 3-9 10.8 13.5 -2.7
Florida 12 6-5-1 54.5% 7-5 6-5-1 13.4 13.8 -0.4
New Mexico State 12 6-5 54.5% 5-6 4-6-2 9.2 14.0 -4.8
Georgia 14 7-6-1 53.8% 7-7 9-4-1 16.9 8.9 +8.1
Western Kentucky 13 7-6 53.8% 5-8 7-6 14.6 13.0 +1.6
Nebraska 13 7-6 53.8% 8-5 8-4-1 16.9 10.8 +6.1
Army 13 7-6 53.8% 6-7 8-4-1 11.6 10.5 +1.2
Southern Miss 13 7-6 53.8% 3-9-1 8-5 13.6 12.8 +0.8
UConn 13 7-6 53.8% 8-5 9-3-1 18.8 11.5 +7.3
Oklahoma 13 7-6 53.8% 4-9 9-1-3 14.8 7.3 +7.5
Iowa 13 7-6 53.8% 8-5 8-3-2 17.3 8.9 +8.4
Vanderbilt 13 7-6 53.8% 8-5 6-4-3 17.5 13.0 +4.5
Arkansas State 13 7-6 53.8% 6-7 4-7-2 14.6 15.5 -0.9
Clemson 13 7-6 53.8% 6-7 7-5-1 16.7 11.7 +5.0
Utah State 13 7-6 53.8% 7-6 7-6 16.5 15.5 +1.0
Arizona State 13 7-6 53.8% 5-8 7-5-1 12.2 11.9 +0.3
California 13 7-6 53.8% 5-8 8-5 13.8 11.7 +2.1
UNLV 14 7-7 50% 6-8 6-8 17.9 14.6 +3.3
Houston 13 6-6-1 50% 7-6 8-4-1 15.3 12.5 +2.8
App State 13 6-6-1 50% 4-7-1 5-7-1 11.7 14.4 -2.7
Georgia Tech 13 6-6-1 50% 5-8 7-4-2 15.0 11.8 +3.2
Arizona 13 6-6-1 50% 7-6 6-7 16.1 12.2 +3.9
Kansas 12 6-6 50% 8-4 5-6-1 15.5 14.0 +1.5
UL Monroe 12 6-6 50% 6-6 4-8 8.7 15.2 -6.5
Akron 12 6-6 50% 7-5 5-6-1 11.9 14.1 -2.2
Buffalo 12 6-6 50% 3-8-1 4-6-2 11.1 9.5 +1.6
UAB 12 6-6 50% 7-4-1 3-8-1 13.4 22.4 -9.0
Auburn 12 6-6 50% 4-8 6-4-2 14.2 10.3 +3.9
San José State 12 6-6 50% 8-4 4-7-1 12.5 17.5 -5.0
Kentucky 12 6-6 50% 7-5 4-7-1 12.3 15.6 -3.3
Air Force 12 5-5-1 50% 3-8-1 4-8 11.9 11.8 +0.1
Temple 12 6-6 50% 8-4 5-7 14.1 16.8 -2.7
Georgia State 12 6-6 50% 4-6-2 3-8-1 11.1 17.8 -6.7
Tulsa 12 6-6 50% 7-5 5-7 12.4 15.0 -2.6
Jacksonville State 14 6-7-1 46.2% 6-8 8-5-1 14.3 12.1 +2.2
Miami (OH) 14 6-7-1 46.2% 7-7 6-7-1 11.0 10.1 +0.9
Missouri 13 6-7 46.2% 6-7 6-5-2 14.5 10.5 +4.1
Florida International 13 6-7 46.2% 10-3 4-8-1 14.5 17.3 -2.8
Tennessee 13 6-7 46.2% 8-5 7-3-3 23.7 13.3 +10.4
Memphis 13 6-7 46.2% 11-1-1 8-5 18.8 16.5 +2.3
Coastal Carolina 13 6-7 46.2% 7-6 4-9 10.3 18.4 -8.1
Texas A&M 13 6-7 46.2% 7-5-1 10-2-1 16.4 10.1 +6.3
USC 13 6-7 46.2% 6-7 6-7 17.1 13.2 +3.8
Missouri State 13 6-7 46.2% 7-6 3-8-2 12.5 14.3 -1.8
Louisiana Tech 13 6-7 46.2% 5-8 6-7 10.9 9.8 +1.1
Texas State 13 6-7 46.2% 5-8 9-3-1 17.7 13.2 +4.5
Georgia Southern 13 5-6-2 45.5% 6-6-1 8-5 15.4 18.4 -3.0
UCF 12 5-6 45.5% 5-7 5-6-1 12.3 13.7 -1.4
Oklahoma State 12 5-6 45.5% 5-7 2-10 8.6 18.6 -10.0
Kent State 12 5-6 45.5% 6-5 3-9 8.3 19.0 -10.8
Virginia Tech 12 5-6 45.5% 4-8 4-8 9.9 14.5 -4.6
James Madison 14 6-8 42.9% 8-6 9-4-1 16.4 12.9 +3.5
Troy 14 6-8 42.9% 5-9 7-7 10.9 12.4 -1.5
Illinois 13 5-7-1 41.7% 5-8 9-4 14.8 11.7 +3.1
Kansas State 12 5-7 41.7% 4-8 6-3-3 13.4 11.9 +1.5
Bowling Green 12 5-7 41.7% 3-7-2 5-6-1 10.1 12.9 -2.8
Wyoming 12 5-7 41.7% 5-7 4-8 7.1 11.9 -4.8
Syracuse 12 5-7 41.7% 4-8 3-8-1 9.5 18.5 -9.0
Maryland 12 5-7 41.7% 6-6 5-7 14.4 11.8 +2.7
Purdue 12 5-7 41.7% 7-5 4-8 10.4 18.3 -7.9
Ball State 12 5-7 41.7% 4-8 2-9-1 6.8 17.1 -10.3
Boston College 12 5-7 41.7% 7-5 4-5-3 12.7 16.9 -4.3
Marshall 12 5-7 41.7% 7-4-1 7-4-1 16.9 14.4 +2.5
Massachusetts 12 5-7 41.7% 8-3-1 2-10 8.9 21.5 -12.6
South Carolina 12 5-7 41.7% 5-7 6-6 15.3 10.2 +5.2
Boise State 14 5-8-1 38.5% 7-6-1 8-6 16.4 13.1 +3.3
Navy 13 5-8 38.5% 7-5-1 7-5-1 16.2 13.2 +3.0
Louisiana 13 5-8 38.5% 8-5 5-7-1 16.0 16.3 -0.3
Rice 13 5-8 38.5% 8-5 3-10 10.3 17.9 -7.6
Minnesota 13 4-7-1 36.4% 7-6 7-6 12.8 12.5 +0.3
Colorado 12 4-7-1 36.4% 5-7 3-7-2 10.6 16.1 -5.5
Florida State 12 4-7-1 36.4% 5-6-1 6-5-1 17.8 10.4 +7.4
Mississippi State 13 4-8 33.3% 5-8 5-7-1 13.8 12.9 +0.9
Penn State 13 4-8-1 33.3% 7-6 9-3-1 14.2 9.8 +4.4
Sam Houston 12 4-8 33.3% 4-8 0-10-2 7.3 18.8 -11.5
Wisconsin 12 4-8 33.3% 2-10 3-9 4.3 12.1 -7.8
UTEP 12 4-8 33.3% 6-6 2-9-1 11.1 17.3 -6.2
UCLA 12 4-8 33.3% 6-6 4-8 8.2 17.0 -8.8
Notre Dame 12 4-8 33.3% 6-6 10-2 23.7 10.7 +13.0
North Carolina 12 4-8 33.3% 4-8 2-8-2 8.8 14.8 -6.0
Louisville 13 4-9 30.8% 5-8 6-6-1 15.1 11.2 +3.9
Middle Tennessee 12 3-8 27.3% 7-3-1 1-10-1 10.9 16.3 -5.4
LSU 13 3-9-1 25% 4-9 7-5-1 11.7 10.2 +1.5
West Virginia 12 3-9 25% 5-6-1 3-8-1 8.4 17.8 -9.3
Michigan 13 3-10 23.1% 6-7 7-3-3 13.7 10.5 +3.2
Charlotte 12 2-9-1 18.2% 6-5 0-11-1 5.8 20.7 -14.8
South Alabama 12 2-9-1 18.2% 4-7-1 5-7 12.1 14.8 -2.7
Colorado State 12 2-9 18.2% 5-7 1-10-1 8.0 17.5 -9.5
Baylor 12 2-10 16.7% 5-7 4-6-2 16.7 16.8 -0.2
Oregon State 12 2-10 16.7% 3-9 2-10 6.9 16.8 -9.8
Texas 13 2-11 15.4% 7-6 6-6-1 13.5 10.5 +2.9

How it works

Halftime scores come from ESPN quarter scores (Q1 + Q2) for every game since 2015.

1st-half lines. ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime). A real line shows its book; an estimated one is marked “est.”

Projection. The full-game model's margin and total, scaled the same way. The blend was chosen by the lowest walk-forward error.

Spread edge and Total edge. The model’s 1st-half line (total) minus the market’s, in points. A lean starts when the projection beats the 1H line by 2–6 pts (ATS) or 3+ pts (O/U). Shown for context: neither has a proven edge.

Picks and prices. For a game with a posted 1st-half line, tap Pick on its tile to save a 1H spread or total pick (graded on the halftime score; they show in My picks). The game card’s Market tab lists every book’s 1st-half price.

NCAAF first-half betting FAQ

First-half lines, 1H ATS and halftime totals explained

What is a first-half spread in the NCAAF?

A first-half (1H) spread is a point spread graded on the score at halftime only. A team covers the 1st-half spread when its 1st-half margin plus its 1st-half line is positive; the 2nd half and overtime don't count.

How are NCAAF first-half lines set here?

ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime).

How is the 1st-half projection made?

The full-game power-rating model's margin and total are scaled to the first half. Every past week is predicted only from games played before it.

Do the 1st-half leans beat the market?

Not so far. Over 2016–26, 1st-half ATS leans went 1117-1157 (49.1%) and over/under leans 313-299 (51.1%), below or near the 52.4% needed to break even at -110 odds, so they are shown as context only.

How often does the model pick the team leading at halftime?

69.7% of 7,953 NCAAF games in the 2016–26 walk-forward backtest.