Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Georgia Southern · Conference game

Weather at kickoff76°F13 mphgusts 28Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Old Dominion

7-3 · Power #46

▲ winner

Final

Georgia Southern

5-5 · Power #105

final

Closing spread

ODU -10.5

✓ ODU W

Total

62.5

▼ Under · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

ODU 35–24 GASO

✓ ODU (79%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -9.5

CloseODU -10.5

Total63.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenODU -9.5

1 → ODU

CloseODU -10.5

1 pt toward Old Dominion

Total

Open63.5

▼ 1

Close62.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ODU -9.5 · closed ODU -10.5 · moved 1 toward ODUmodel ODU -13

model ODU -13

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 75%, covered 51% (81 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (252 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenODU -9.5

CloseODU -10.5

Total63.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ODU as a 10.5-point road favorite at GASO, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: ODU won 45–10; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 55 points stayed under 62.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.5 against an average line of 10.8; 58.5 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	JMU @ GASO 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-9.5	14–28	L	U58.5
Very close	TXST @ ODU 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10.5	14–24	L	U60
Very close	OHIO @ EMU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & season form	-12	28–21	L	U60.5
Very close	TULN @ USF 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-12	45–31	W	O55
Close	MEM @ UAB 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar total & rest	-7.5	45–21	W	O62
Close	TXST @ ARST 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar total & season form	-14	30–31	L	U63.5
Close	WKU @ FAU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & rest	-7.5	32–31	L	O62.25
Close	UNLV @ SJSU 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & season form	-7.5	27–16	W	U59.5
Close	MEM @ FAU 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar team ratings & season form	-14	55–26	W	O62.5
Close	MEM @ TEM 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar total & situation	-13.5	45–21	W	O64.25

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU LLLWW	6-4	60%	3-2	4-3
GASO LWLWW	5-5	50%	4-1	1-4

Venue/role: ODU away, as favorite; GASO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU OOUUU	5-5	50%	7-3
GASO OOUUO	7-3	70%	5-5

Stayed under: it needed 15 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 46% of games with totals 58.5–66.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
GASO	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ODU 2–0 GASO ODU leads · 2 games since 2023 · ODU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 24 2024	Georgia Southern 19 @ Old Dominion 47	GASO -0.5	ODU W
Nov 18 2023	Old Dominion 20 @ Georgia Southern 17	GASO -5.5	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ODU−5.3 →+3.3▲ 8.6#55

GASO−5.7 →−11.1▼ 5.4#109

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

ODU

Longer bar = better

GASO

#27

Offense

◀ ODU better

#47

#31

Defense

◀ ODU better

#132

−0.2 #96

Turnovers

GASO better ▶

+0.3 #48

65 plays #91

Pace

GASO faster ▶

68 plays #49

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: ODU offense

	ODU off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	32.0 #42	34.6 #130	ODU
Yards / play	7.04 #9	6.45 #131	ODU
PPA / play	+0.21 #31	+0.25 #132	ODU
Success rate	47% #25	49% #133	ODU

When GASO has the ball

Even matchup

	GASO off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #55	21.1 #37	Even
Yards / play	5.92 #56	4.91 #24	ODU
PPA / play	+0.20 #37	−0.06 #11	ODU
Success rate	45% #38	40% #53	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ODU scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	9.4 #11	9.6 #51	19.0 #20	6.8 #49	6.2 #77	13.0 #60
GASO allowed	9.7 #131	9.8 #108	19.5 #132	8.9 #128	6.2 #63	15.1 #120

GASO scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	9.1 #13	8.2 #77	17.3 #37	5.9 #67	6.8 #64	12.7 #62
ODU allowed	2.8 #21	5.1 #18	7.9 #12	6.5 #96	6.7 #74	13.2 #92

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.