Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sat, Nov 15, 2025, 6:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Georgia Southern · Conference game

Weather at kickoff64°F8 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

6-3 · Power #122

final

Final

Georgia Southern

4-5 · Power #105

▲ winner

Closing spread

GASO -3.5

✓ GASO W

Total

58.5

▲ Over · 85 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 27–30 GASO

✓ GASO (60%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGASO -2.5

CloseGASO -3.5

Total57.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGASO -2.5

1 → GASO

CloseGASO -3.5

1 pt toward Georgia Southern

Total

Open57.5

▲ 1

Close58.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GASO -2.5 · closed GASO -3.5 · moved 1 toward GASOmodel GASO -3

model GASO -3

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 49% (293 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 46% (104 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGASO -2.5

CloseGASO -3.5

Total57.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GASO as a 3.5-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 3 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: GASO won 45–40; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 85 points went over 58.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3 against an average line of 3.4; 45.4 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WMU vs CMU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	38–28	W	O57.5
Very close	USF vs FAU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	14–56	L	O61
Very close	CCU vs GASO 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & season form	-2	6–26	L	U59.5
Very close	NIU vs WMU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & spread	-4	24–0	W	U55.5
Very close	BALL vs EMU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & season form	-2.5	16–20	L	U57.5
Very close	USF vs CLT 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7	48–14	W	O56.75
Very close	MTSU vs LT 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	31–23	W	P54
Very close	USM vs ODU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	13–17	L	U56.5
Very close	ARST vs ULM 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3	28–21	W	U51.5
Very close	USM vs ULM 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	24–7	W	U56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU LWWWW	5-4	56%	2-2	4-3
GASO LLWLW	4-5	44%	3-1	3-1

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; GASO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU OUOOO	6-3	67%	6-3
GASO UOOUU	6-3	67%	4-5

Went over in Q2. Of 410 earlier overs in games with totals 54.5–62.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
GASO	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CCU 4–9 GASO GASO leads · 13 games since 2006 · GASO has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2024	Georgia Southern 26 @ Coastal Carolina 6	CCU -1.5	GASO W
Sep 30 2023	Coastal Carolina 28 @ Georgia Southern 38	GASO -6	GASO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−6.6 →−11.7▼ 5.1#113

GASO−5.7 →−11.2▼ 5.5#111

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

CCU

Longer bar = better

GASO

#103

Offense

GASO better ▶

#55

#72

Defense

◀ CCU better

#131

−0.1 #86

Turnovers

GASO better ▶

+0.4 #32

66 plays #70

Pace

Even

67 plays #57

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: CCU offense

	CCU off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	24.1 #93	34.0 #127	CCU
Yards / play	5.03 #114	6.45 #129	Even
PPA / play	+0.07 #98	+0.26 #132	CCU
Success rate	40% #105	50% #134	CCU

When GASO has the ball

Even matchup

	GASO off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	28.3 #66	28.0 #95	GASO
Yards / play	5.57 #76	5.61 #79	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #39	+0.05 #49	Even
Success rate	45% #40	41% #65	GASO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	3.7 #119	5.6 #115	9.2 #118	8.0 #27	6.9 #62	14.9 #42
GASO allowed	8.9 #130	9.8 #108	18.7 #129	9.2 #131	6.1 #63	15.3 #123

GASO scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	7.8 #28	7.6 #87	15.3 #64	5.8 #73	7.2 #55	13.0 #59
CCU allowed	7.2 #109	8.8 #98	16.0 #107	6.6 #102	5.4 #46	12.0 #69

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.