Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2025)

Sat, Nov 8, 2025, 4:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff76°F3 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Georgia State

1-7 · Power #125

final

Final

Coastal Carolina

5-3 · Power #122

▲ winner

Closing spread

CCU -7.5

✓ CCU W

Total

56.5

▲ Over · 67 pts

Model before kickoff

GAST 23–31 CCU

✓ CCU (70%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCCU -7.5

CloseCCU -7.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCCU -7.5

no move

CloseCCU -7.5

No change since the open

Total

Open56.5

no move

Close56.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CCU -7.5 · unchangedmodel CCU -7

model CCU -7

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 72%, covered 56% (183 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCCU -7.5

CloseCCU -7.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CCU as a 7.5-point home favorite against GAST, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 40–27; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 67 points went over 56.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.3 against an average line of 7.3; 53.7 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GASO vs GAST 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & total	-6.5	41–24	W	O58.5
Very close	MTSU vs UTEP 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & situation	-8	34–30	L	O48.5
Very close	DEL vs MTSU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & season form	-8.5	31–28	L	O55.5
Very close	USA vs ARST 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-8.5	14–15	L	U57.5
Very close	KENN vs MTSU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & season form	-7	24–16	W	U54.5
Very close	FIU vs MTSU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & season form	-9.5	35–24	W	O51
Close	ARMY vs ULM 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar total & spread	-6.5	48–24	W	O55.5
Close	NIU vs CMU 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & total	-4.5	22–35	L	O54
Close	WMU vs EMU 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	26–18	W	U55.5
Close	GASO vs TROY 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & spread	-7	20–28	L	U53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GAST LWLLL	1-7	13%	0-3	1-6
CCU WLWWW	4-4	50%	2-2	0-1

Venue/role: GAST away, as underdog; CCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GAST OUOOO	5-3	63%	1-7
CCU OOUOO	5-3	63%	5-3

Went over in Q4. Of 495 earlier overs in games with totals 52.5–60.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GAST	2-8 20%	2-8 20%	7-3 70%
CCU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

GAST 1–1 CCU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · CCU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 30 2024	Coastal Carolina 48 @ Georgia State 27	GAST -0.5	CCU W
Sep 21 2023	Georgia State 30 @ Coastal Carolina 17	CCU -4.5	GAST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GAST−9.1 →−16.1▼ 7.0#127

CCU−6.6 →−12.0▼ 5.4#113

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

GAST

Longer bar = better

CCU

#86

Offense

◀ GAST better

#115

#131

Defense

CCU better ▶

#73

−0.9 #125

Turnovers

CCU better ▶

−0.4 #107

67 plays #59

Pace

Even

67 plays #69

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GAST has the ball

Even matchup

	GAST off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	20.4 #116	28.1 #97	Even
Yards / play	5.40 #92	5.60 #80	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #66	+0.07 #55	Even
Success rate	43% #69	41% #58	Even

When CCU has the ball

Even matchup

	CCU off	GAST def	Edge
Points / game	22.1 #108	40.8 #136	CCU
Yards / play	4.81 #125	6.45 #129	Even
PPA / play	+0.04 #111	+0.26 #130	Even
Success rate	39% #114	47% #128	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

GAST scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GAST scored	6.8 #56	4.9 #124	11.6 #101	4.6 #101	4.1 #121	8.8 #122
CCU allowed	6.4 #94	9.9 #111	16.3 #108	7.4 #113	4.5 #25	11.9 #69

CCU scoring against the GAST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	2.4 #132	5.1 #118	7.5 #128	7.8 #34	6.9 #65	14.6 #43
GAST allowed	8.3 #121	10.4 #118	18.6 #129	10.0 #133	12.1 #134	22.1 #136

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.