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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 11 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 11: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
51 finalFavorites 23-28 ATS17 upsetsO/U 25-25Model Favorite 34-17Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5151 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS23-2845% covered
Upsets17outright
Over / Under25-2550% over
Model Favorite34-1767% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up15 all 15 final
Over8 53%Under7 47%
Moved down27 all 27 final
Over14 52%Under13 48%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
14–2833%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
5–1328%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
3–730%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
1–0100%
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Nov 4

2
Final · Conf
Massachusetts
0-8 · #136
10
Akron
3-6 · #127
44
Spread
AKR -12.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
19–31
✓ AKR won
Trend: AKR ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: MASS by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Miami (OH)
5-3 · #91
20
Ohio
5-3 · #78
24
Spread
OHIO -2.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
23–26
✓ OHIO won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✗ Model: OHIO by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Wednesday, Nov 5

2
Final · Conf
Kent State
3-5 · #132
13
Ball State
3-5 · #133
17
Spread
BALL -3.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▼ Under 30
Projected
23–27
✓ BALL won
Trend: BALL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: BALL by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
2-6 · #124
3
Toledo
4-4 · #48
42
Spread
TOL -15.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
11–28
✓ TOL won
Trend: TOL ATS ✓ Model: TOL by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Thursday, Nov 6

2
Final · Conf
Georgia Southern
3-5 · #105
25
App State
4-4 · #115
23
Spread
APP -4.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼1
▼ Under 48
Projected
28–33
✗ APP lost
Trend: APP ATS ✗ Model: APP by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UTSA
4-4 · #65
23
South Florida
6-2 · #29
55
Spread
USF -13.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
66.5 ▼1
▲ Over 78 · Q3
Projected
25–38
✓ USF won
Trend: USF ATS ✓ Model: USF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Friday, Nov 7

3
Final · Conf
Houston
7-2 · #49
30
UCF
4-4 · #66
27
Spread
UCF -1.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
22–24
✗ UCF lost
Trend: UCF ATS ✗ Model: UCF by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Northwestern
5-3 · #59
17
USC
6-2 · #12
38
Spread
USC -14.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲3
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
19–35
✓ USC won
Trend: NU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: USC by 7.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Tulane
6-2 · #57
38
Memphis
8-1 · #61
32
Spread
MEM -3.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼4
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
25–29
✗ MEM lost
Trend: MEM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MEM by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Nov 8

42
Final · Conf
Indiana
9-0 · #1
27
Penn State
3-5 · #17
24
Spread
IU -13.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
34–20
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: IU by 0 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia
7-1 · #7
41
Mississippi State
5-4 · #56
21
Spread
UGA -9.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
33–23
✓ UGA won
Trend: MSST ATS ✗ Model: UGA by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
BYU
8-0 · #19
7
Texas Tech
8-1 · #5
29
Spread
TTU -13.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
20–32
✓ TTU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✓ Model: BYU by 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
SMU
6-3 · #27
45
Boston College
1-8 · #84
13
Spread
SMU -10.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲3
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
32–22
✓ SMU won
Trend: BC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: BC by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Colorado
3-6 · #75
22
West Virginia
3-6 · #77
29
Spread
WVU -6.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▼ Under 51
Projected
22–27
✓ WVU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: COLO by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
James Madison
7-1 · #28
35
Marshall
4-4 · #88
23
Spread
JMU -13.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
32–19
✓ JMU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MRSH by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Southern Miss
6-2 · #98
27
Arkansas State
5-4 · #110
21
Spread
USM -6.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼5
▼ Under 48
Projected
30–24
✓ USM won
Trend: USM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ARST by 4 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Temple
5-4 · #96
13
Army
4-4 · #83
14
Spread
ARMY -7.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 27
Projected
20–27
✓ ARMY won
Trend: TEM ATS ✓ Model: TEM by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio State
8-0 · #2
34
Purdue
2-7 · #79
10
Spread
OSU -30.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▼ Under 44
Projected
40–9
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✗ Model: PUR by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Missouri State
5-3 · #112
21
Liberty
4-4 · #104
17
Spread
LIB -7.5
✓ MOST W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
22–29
✗ LIB lost
Trend: MOST ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MOST by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Bowling Green
3-6 · #120
21
Eastern Michigan
2-7 · #123
27
Spread
EMU -3.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼2
▼ Under 48
Projected
24–27
✓ EMU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: BGSU by 4 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UAB
3-5 · #119
17
Rice
4-5 · #126
24
Spread
RICE -1.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–27
✓ RICE won
Trend: UAB ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: RICE by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Maryland
4-4 · #72
20
Rutgers
4-5 · #62
35
Spread
RUTG -1.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼3
▼ Under 55
Projected
27–29
✓ RUTG won
Trend: MD ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: RUTG by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Louisiana Tech
5-3 · #93
24
Delaware
4-4 · #117
25
Spread
LT -5.5
✓ DEL W ATS
Total
57.5
▼ Under 49
Projected
29–24
✗ LT lost
Trend: LT ATS ✗ Model: LT by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida International
3-5 · #109
56
Middle Tennessee
1-7 · #128
30
Spread
MTSU -1.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▲ Over 86 · Q3
Projected
24–25
✗ MTSU lost
Trend: MTSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: FIU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
5-3 · #101
30
UTEP
2-6 · #131
27
Spread
JXST -1.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
26–24
✓ JXST won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTEP by 0 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Charlotte
1-7 · #134
22
East Carolina
5-3 · #51
48
Spread
ECU -29.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲1
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
11–41
✓ ECU won
Trend: ECU ATS ✗ Model: ECU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tulsa
2-6 · #113
21
Florida Atlantic
3-5 · #108
40
Spread
FAU -4.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
28–32
✓ FAU won
Trend: TLSA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: FAU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
8-0 · #10
38
Missouri
6-2 · #18
17
Spread
TA&M -6.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
29–23
✓ TA&M won
Trend: TA&M ATS ✓ Model: MIZ by 5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oregon
7-1 · #4
18
Iowa
6-2 · #20
16
Spread
ORE -4.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▼ Under 34
Projected
26–21
✓ ORE won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✓ Model: ORE by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Syracuse
3-6 · #92
10
Miami
6-2 · #6
38
Spread
MIA -28.5
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
11–39
✓ MIA won
Model: SYR by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Duke
5-3 · #47
34
UConn
6-3 · #87
37
Spread
DUKE -7.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
62.5 ▼3
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
35–27
✗ DUKE lost
Model: DUKE by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kansas
5-4 · #54
20
Arizona
5-3 · #26
24
Spread
ARIZ -6.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
25–32
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✗ Model: ARIZ by 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Iowa State
5-4 · #36
20
TCU
6-2 · #33
17
Spread
TCU -7.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
25–32
✗ TCU lost
Trend: TCU ATS ✗ Model: ISU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Auburn
4-5 · #24
38
Vanderbilt
7-2 · #13
45
Spread
VAN -5.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
22–28
✓ VAN won
Trend: VAN ATS ✓ Model: AUB by 0 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · Conf
Kennesaw State
6-2 · #97
24
New Mexico State
3-5 · #129
21
Spread
KENN -11.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
30–20
✓ KENN won
Trend: KENN ATS ✗ Model: NMSU by 6.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Georgia State
1-7 · #125
27
Coastal Carolina
5-3 · #122
40
Spread
CCU -7.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
56.5
▲ Over 67 · Q4
Projected
23–31
✓ CCU won
Trend: CCU ATS ✓ Model: GAST by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Washington
6-2 · #15
10
Wisconsin
2-6 · #63
13
Spread
WASH -10.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▼ Under 23
Projected
29–19
✗ WASH lost
Trend: WASH ATS ✗ Model: WASH by 0 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Stanford
3-6 · #85
15
North Carolina
3-5 · #89
20
Spread
UNC -8.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▼ Under 35
Projected
18–26
✓ UNC won
Trend: UNC ATS ✗ Model: STAN by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas State
3-5 · #71
39
Louisiana
3-6 · #114
42
Spread
TXST -3.5
✓ UL W ATS
Total
63.5 ▼1
▲ Over 81 · Q4
Projected
32–28
✗ TXST lost
Trend: UL ATS ✓ Model: TXST by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Air Force
2-6 · #95
26
San José State
3-5 · #106
16
Spread
SJSU -6.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
68.5 ▲3
▼ Under 42
Projected
29–36
✗ SJSU lost
Trend: SJSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: AFA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
5-3 · #53
16
Virginia
8-1 · #32
9
Spread
UVA -7.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 25
Projected
21–30
✗ UVA lost
Trend: UVA ATS ✗ Model: UVA by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
California
5-4 · #76
29
Louisville
7-1 · #25
26
Spread
LOU -18.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 55 · OT
Projected
16–35
✗ LOU lost
Trend: CAL ATS ✓ Model: LOU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida State
4-4 · #23
10
Clemson
3-5 · #34
24
Spread
CLEM -1.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲1
▼ Under 34
Projected
28–29
✓ CLEM won
Trend: FSU ATS ✗ Model: FSU by 4 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
LSU
5-3 · #31
9
Alabama
7-1 · #11
20
Spread
ALA -10.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▼ Under 29
Projected
20–31
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✓ Model: ALA by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Navy
7-1 · #64
10
Notre Dame
6-2 · #3
49
Spread
ND -30.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
12–42
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓ Model: NAVY by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Florida
3-5 · #37
7
Kentucky
3-5 · #52
38
Spread
FLA -5.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
25–20
✗ FLA lost
Trend: UK ATS ✓ Model: UK by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nevada
1-7 · #121
14
Utah State
4-4 · #86
51
Spread
USU -9.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
22–32
✓ USU won
Trend: USU ATS ✓ Model: USU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nebraska
6-3 · #45
28
UCLA
3-5 · #70
21
Spread
UCLA -2.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
24–25
✗ UCLA lost
Trend: NEB ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: NEB by 9 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UNLV
6-2 · #74
42
Colorado State
2-6 · #116
10
Spread
UNLV -4.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 52
Projected
32–28
✓ UNLV won
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓ Model: CSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Sam Houston
0-8 · #135
21
Oregon State
2-7 · #100
17
Spread
ORST -21.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
17–38
✗ ORST lost
Trend: ORST ATS ✗ Model: SHSU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
San Diego State
7-1 · #68
6
Hawai'i
6-3 · #90
38
Spread
SDSU -6.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼3
▼ Under 44
Projected
26–20
✗ SDSU lost
Trend: SDSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: SDSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total