Louisiana Tech @ Delaware: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2025)

Sat, Nov 8, 2025, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Delaware · Conference game

Weather at kickoff66°F4 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Louisiana Tech

5-3 · Power #93

final

Final

Delaware

4-4 · Power #117

▲ winner

Closing spread

LT -5.5

✓ DEL W

Total

57.5

▼ Under · 49 pts

Model before kickoff

LT 29–24 DEL

✗ LT (66%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLT -5.5

CloseLT -5.5

Total57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLT -5.5

no move

CloseLT -5.5

No change since the open

Total

Open57.5

no move

Close57.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LT -5.5 · unchangedmodel LT -6

model LT -6

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 48% (138 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLT -5.5

CloseLT -5.5

Total57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LT as a 5.5-point road favorite at DEL, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: DEL won 25–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 49 points stayed under 57.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 967%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 4.1 against an average line of 5; 69.3 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 4 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ODU @ ARST 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & rest	-5.5	40–32	W	O58.5
Very close	USM @ UL 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	22–10	W	U54.5
Very close	TXST @ ARST 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.25	31–77	L	O59.5
Very close	TOL @ NIU 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	52–32	W	O59
Very close	TEM @ TLSA 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar season form & rest	-4.5	38–37	L	O52.5
Very close	CONN @ UAB 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-7.5	31–23	W	P54
Very close	BUFF @ OHIO 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & season form	-2.5	24–45	L	O61
Very close	USA @ TXST 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-5.5	44–52	L	O56.75
Very close	WKU @ MOST 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-3.5	27–22	W	U59.5
Very close	UL @ ARST 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7	17–37	L	U59.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT WWLLW	6-2	75%	2-1	5-2
DEL WLLLL	2-6	25%	1-3	2-2

Venue/role: LT away, as favorite; DEL home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT UUUOO	3-5	38%	5-3
DEL UUOOO	4-4	50%	4-4

Stayed under: it needed 35 in the 4th quarter and got 26. 51% of games with totals 53.5–61.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%
DELlast 9	4-5 44%	2-7 22%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−11.6 →−6.6▲ 5.0#93

DEL−22.6 →−15.0▲ 7.6#123

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

Longer bar = better

DEL

#77

Offense

DEL better ▶

#57

#27

Defense

◀ LT better

#119

+0.6 #23

Turnovers

◀ LT better

−0.5 #112

67 plays #60

Pace

DEL faster ▶

74 plays #13

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Advantage: LT offense

	LT off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	28.6 #68	32.1 #119	LT
Yards / play	5.53 #85	6.07 #111	LT
PPA / play	+0.10 #82	+0.27 #131	LT
Success rate	42% #74	45% #115	LT

When DEL has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	DEL off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	29.3 #64	18.1 #19	LT
Yards / play	5.72 #67	5.28 #53	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #56	−0.03 #20	LT
Success rate	45% #39	37% #17	LT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

LT scoring against the DEL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	7.8 #31	5.8 #113	13.5 #82	5.6 #76	8.6 #32	14.3 #50
DEL allowed	6.5 #95	9.0 #98	15.5 #99	10.4 #134	5.9 #53	16.3 #128

DEL scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEL scored	4.3 #105	11.9 #17	16.1 #56	6.1 #68	6.3 #77	12.4 #78
LT allowed	3.4 #32	5.1 #22	8.5 #16	3.9 #32	4.8 #32	8.6 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.