Colorado @ West Virginia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2025)

Sat, Nov 8, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at West Virginia · Conference game

Weather at kickoff62°F11 mphgusts 24Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Colorado

3-6 · Power #75

final

Final

West Virginia

3-6 · Power #77

▲ winner

Closing spread

WVU -6.5

✓ WVU W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

COLO 22–27 WVU

✓ WVU (66%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWVU -5.5

CloseWVU -6.5

Total53.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWVU -5.5

1 → WVU

CloseWVU -6.5

1 pt toward West Virginia

Total

Open53.5

▼ 2

Close51.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WVU -5.5 · closed WVU -6.5 · moved 1 toward WVUmodel WVU -2.5

model WVU -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 70%, covered 56% (212 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (229 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWVU -5.5

CloseWVU -6.5

Total53.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WVU as a 6.5-point home favorite against COLO, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: WVU won 29–22; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 51 points stayed under 51.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.5 against an average line of 5.9; 54.1 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	HOU vs CIN 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3	14–24	L	U53.75
Very close	GT vs SYR 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6	31–22	W	O51.5
Very close	MSU vs UCLA 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7	13–38	L	U51.5
Very close	TOL vs CMU 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	38–17	W	U56
Very close	OKST vs CIN 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-7.5	45–13	W	O53
Very close	NU vs M-OH 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	14–17	L	U50
Very close	ILL vs NU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-5.5	43–45	L	O46.75
Very close	WVU vs CIN 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-5	42–21	W	O52.5
Very close	ARIZ vs WVU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-5.5	26–31	L	O51.5
Very close	CAL vs STAN 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5	27–20	W	O46

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLO WWWLL	5-4	56%	1-2	3-4
WVU LWLWW	4-5	44%	2-2	0-2

Venue/role: COLO away, as underdog; WVU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLO UUUOO	4-5	44%	3-6
WVU OOOUO	5-4	56%	3-6

Stayed under: it needed 14 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 54% of games with totals 47.5–55.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLO	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
WVU	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

COLO+9.6 →−1.5▼ 11.1#71

WVU+0.8 →−2.4▼ 3.2#76

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

COLO

Longer bar = better

WVU

#103

Offense

Even

#113

#112

Defense

WVU better ▶

#87

−0.7 #119

Turnovers

WVU better ▶

+0.4 #41

64 plays #107

Pace

WVU faster ▶

72 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When COLO has the ball

Even matchup

	COLO off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #111	30.4 #111	Even
Yards / play	5.17 #104	5.76 #91	Even
PPA / play	+0.11 #75	+0.10 #75	Even
Success rate	38% #121	42% #70	WVU

When WVU has the ball

Even matchup

	WVU off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	23.2 #100	30.1 #109	Even
Yards / play	5.00 #116	6.19 #121	Even
PPA / play	+0.01 #117	+0.18 #105	Even
Success rate	39% #118	45% #113	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

COLO scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	3.9 #115	7.7 #78	11.6 #104	5.0 #93	5.4 #97	10.4 #101
WVU allowed	7.7 #113	9.4 #105	17.1 #120	7.3 #110	6.0 #55	13.3 #94

WVU scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	3.1 #126	4.9 #119	8.0 #127	5.7 #74	8.8 #27	14.4 #47
COLO allowed	5.2 #64	11.9 #131	17.1 #120	6.4 #94	6.6 #72	13.0 #88

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.