Arizona State @ Colorado: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 8:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Colorado · Conference game

Weather at kickoff44°F2 mphgusts 7DryWeather watch ›

Arizona State

7-3 · Power #41

▲ winner

Final

Colorado

3-7 · Power #75

final

Closing spread

ASU -6.5

✓ ASU W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

ASU 27–21 COLO

✓ ASU (67%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenASU -8.5

CloseASU -6.5

Total48.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenASU -8.5

2 → COLO

CloseASU -6.5

2 pts toward Colorado

Total

Open48.5

▼ 1

Close47.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ASU -8.5 · closed ASU -6.5 · moved 2 toward COLOmodel ASU -5.5

model ASU -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 64%, covered 52% (168 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 57% (90 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenASU -8.5

CloseASU -6.5

Total48.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ASU as a 6.5-point road favorite at COLO, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 9 went over the total.

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This game: ASU won 42–17; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 59 points went over 47.5, as in 9 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 67%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

9 of 1090%

Above normal · usually 50%

Overs above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 9.9 against an average line of 5.4; 56.5 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 6 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SC @ VAN 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	38–27	W	O49
Very close	PSU @ MSU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-7	28–10	W	U49
Very close	PITT @ MIA 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-4.25	42–16	W	O44
Very close	FLA @ UK 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & season form	-4.5	7–38	L	O44.5
Very close	MINN @ RUTG 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	19–26	L	O44.5
Very close	DUKE @ UVA 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & situation	-3.5	27–30	L	O47
Very close	ILL @ PUR 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	43–27	W	O54.5
Very close	WSU @ STAN 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & total	-3	52–14	W	O48.5
Close	WSU @ ASU 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar season form & spread	-4.5	27–38	L	O49
Close	ASU @ ARIZ 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	49–7	W	O53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ASU LWLWL	5-5	50%	2-2	2-4
COLO WWLLL	5-5	50%	4-2	3-5

Venue/role: ASU away, as favorite; COLO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ASU OUUUO	3-7	30%	7-3
COLO UUOOU	4-6	40%	3-7

Went over in Q4. Of 533 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–51.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ASU	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
COLO	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ASU 11–4 COLO ASU leads · 15 games since 2006 · ASU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 7 2023	Colorado 27 @ Arizona State 24	COLO -3	P

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ASU+11.1 →+7.8▼ 3.3#40

COLO+9.6 →−1.5▼ 11.1#73

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

ASU

Longer bar = better

COLO

#88

Offense

◀ ASU better

#105

#56

Defense

◀ ASU better

#104

+0.3 #42

Turnovers

◀ ASU better

−0.4 #108

73 plays #11

Pace

◀ ASU faster

65 plays #96

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ASU has the ball

Even matchup

	ASU off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #88	30.0 #111	ASU
Yards / play	5.50 #85	6.00 #110	ASU
PPA / play	+0.08 #89	+0.15 #95	Even
Success rate	41% #90	44% #100	Even

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: ASU defense

	COLO off	ASU def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #111	23.6 #63	ASU
Yards / play	5.13 #106	5.20 #42	ASU
PPA / play	+0.09 #80	+0.06 #57	ASU
Success rate	37% #122	41% #63	ASU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ASU scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ASU scored	2.9 #128	8.6 #74	11.5 #99	6.2 #58	7.0 #61	13.2 #58
COLO allowed	5.6 #74	11.7 #133	17.3 #121	6.1 #90	6.6 #68	12.7 #85

COLO scoring against the ASU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	3.5 #122	7.8 #84	11.3 #103	5.2 #86	5.5 #101	10.7 #100
ASU allowed	4.6 #50	7.1 #63	11.7 #54	5.1 #57	6.8 #76	11.9 #63

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.