Washington @ UCLA: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at UCLA · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F1 mphDryWeather watch ›

Washington

7-3 · Power #15

▲ winner

Final

UCLA

3-7 · Power #70

final

Closing spread

WASH -10.5

✓ WASH W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 62 pts

Model before kickoff

WASH 32–21 UCLA

✓ WASH (78%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWASH -11.5

CloseWASH -10.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWASH -11.5

1 → UCLA

CloseWASH -10.5

1 pt toward UCLA

Total

Open51.5

no move

Close51.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WASH -11.5 · closed WASH -10.5 · moved 1 toward UCLAmodel WASH -11.5

model WASH -11.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 76%, covered 51% (82 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (302 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWASH -11.5

CloseWASH -10.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WASH as a 10.5-point road favorite at UCLA, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: WASH won 48–14; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 62 points went over 51.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14.3 against an average line of 10.7; 64.3 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LOU @ VT 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar team ratings & rest	-10.5	28–16	W	U52.5
Very close	SMU @ BC 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10.5	45–13	W	O54.5
Very close	PUR @ IU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10	30–16	W	U53
Very close	PITT @ STAN 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-13.5	35–20	W	O51.5
Very close	ARIZ @ ASU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-12.5	59–23	W	O49.25
Very close	WASH @ ASU 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-13.5	38–45	L	O56
Very close	ASU @ ARIZ 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7.5	49–7	W	O53.5
Very close	KSU @ WVU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-8	48–31	W	O54.5
Very close	LSU @ TA&M 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10	23–38	L	O47.5
Very close	WSU @ ORST 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-11	38–41	L	O56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WASH WLWLW	5-5	50%	1-3	5-3
UCLA WLLLL	3-7	30%	1-4	3-3

Venue/role: WASH away, as favorite; UCLA home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WASH UUOUO	5-5	50%	7-3
UCLA UUOOO	5-5	50%	3-7

Went over in Q4. Of 649 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WASH	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
UCLA	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WASH 1–0 UCLA WASH leads · 1 game since 2023 · WASH has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2024	UCLA 19 @ Washington 31	WASH -5.5	WASH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WASH+8.0 →+13.3▲ 5.3#20

UCLA+5.3 →+0.2▼ 5.1#65

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

WASH

Longer bar = better

UCLA

#18

Offense

◀ WASH better

#87

#35

Defense

◀ WASH better

#120

+0.2 #52

Turnovers

◀ WASH better

−0.2 #98

64 plays #98

Pace

◀ WASH faster

61 plays #126

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WASH has the ball

Advantage: WASH offense

	WASH off	UCLA def	Edge
Points / game	34.3 #24	32.4 #123	WASH
Yards / play	6.62 #19	5.95 #106	WASH
PPA / play	+0.26 #20	+0.20 #117	WASH
Success rate	51% #7	50% #135	WASH

When UCLA has the ball

Advantage: WASH defense

	UCLA off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	19.4 #121	19.3 #20	WASH
Yards / play	5.41 #91	4.86 #24	WASH
PPA / play	+0.11 #74	+0.03 #38	WASH
Success rate	43% #63	41% #56	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

WASH scoring against the UCLA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	5.6 #78	10.3 #33	15.9 #52	8.3 #22	10.1 #9	18.4 #12
UCLA allowed	7.8 #118	9.9 #114	17.7 #123	6.3 #96	8.4 #115	14.7 #109

UCLA scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UCLA scored	2.0 #133	6.8 #99	8.8 #122	5.7 #76	4.9 #117	10.6 #102
WASH allowed	4.0 #41	5.4 #23	9.4 #21	6.1 #90	3.8 #16	9.9 #40

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.