Rutgers @ Ohio State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Ohio State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff47°F5 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Rutgers

5-5 · Power #62

final

Final

Ohio State

10-0 · Power #2

▲ winner

Closing spread

OSU -28.5

✓ OSU W

Total

54.5

▼ Under · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

RUTG 13–43 OSU

✓ OSU (98%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOSU -33.5

CloseOSU -28.5

Total55.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOSU -33.5

5 → RUTG

CloseOSU -28.5

5 pts toward Rutgers

Total

Open55.5

▼ 1

Close54.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OSU -33.5 · closed OSU -28.5 · moved 5 toward RUTGmodel OSU -31.5

model OSU -31.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 27.5–29.5 since 2023: won 99%, covered 57% (67 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (47 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOSU -33.5

CloseOSU -28.5

Total55.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 9 games most like OSU as a 28.5-point home favorite against RUTG, the favorite won 9, covered 2, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: OSU won 42–9; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 9 similar games. 51 points stayed under 54.5, as in 7 of 9.

Favorite won

9 of 9100%

Normal range · usually 97%

Favorite covered

2 of 922%

Normal range · usually 54%

Went over

2 of 922%

Below normal · usually 58%

Only 9 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 23.4 against an average line of 26.8; 44.6 points a game (usually 56). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 9 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	UGA vs AUB 2022 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation	-27.5	42–10	W	O49.5
Loose	OSU vs MINN 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar situation & season form	-27.5	37–3	W	U51.5
Loose	OSU vs OHIO 2025 · Week 3 · loose	-28.5	37–9	L	U49.5
Loose	ORE vs MD 2024 · Week 11 · loose · similar rest & situation	-24	39–18	L	U58
Loose	IU vs WIS 2025 · Week 12 · loose · similar season form & situation	-28	31–7	L	U43.5
Loose	MISS vs MSST 2024 · Week 14 · loose · similar situation & season form	-26	26–14	L	U63.5
Loose	ORE vs WIS 2025 · Week 9 · loose	-31.5	21–7	L	U45
Loose	IU vs MSU 2025 · Week 8 · loose · similar season form	-26.5	38–13	L	O49.5
Loose	ND vs UVA 2024 · Week 12 · loose · similar season form & situation	-21.5	35–14	L	U51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RUTG LLWLW	5-5	50%	2-2	2-4
OSU WWWLW	8-2	80%	5-1	8-2

Venue/role: RUTG away, as underdog; OSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RUTG UOUUU	6-4	60%	5-5
OSU UUOUO	4-6	40%	10-0

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 51% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RUTG	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
OSU	10-0 100%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

RUTG 0–1 OSU OSU leads · 1 game since 2023 · OSU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2023	Ohio State 35 @ Rutgers 16	OSU -19	P

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RUTG+3.4 →+1.5▼ 1.9#62

OSU+26.4 →+27.5▲ 1.1#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

RUTG

Longer bar = better

OSU

#45

Offense

OSU better ▶

#125

Defense

OSU better ▶

+0.1 #65

Turnovers

OSU better ▶

+0.5 #33

73 plays #15

Pace

◀ RUTG faster

64 plays #112

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RUTG has the ball

Advantage: OSU defense

	RUTG off	OSU def	Edge
Points / game	29.9 #57	7.5 #1	OSU
Yards / play	5.79 #63	3.87 #2	OSU
PPA / play	+0.20 #35	−0.15 #2	OSU
Success rate	47% #26	34% #8	Even

When OSU has the ball

Advantage: OSU offense

	OSU off	RUTG def	Edge
Points / game	37.5 #11	30.0 #109	OSU
Yards / play	6.95 #12	7.48 #137	OSU
PPA / play	+0.35 #3	+0.25 #131	OSU
Success rate	54% #1	47% #124	OSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

RUTG scoring against the OSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RUTG scored	6.1 #68	11.2 #22	17.3 #37	4.7 #94	7.9 #40	12.6 #67
OSU allowed	0.6 #1	2.3 #2	2.9 #1	2.3 #8	2.3 #1	4.6 #1

OSU scoring against the RUTG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OSU scored	7.5 #32	11.3 #21	18.8 #23	9.0 #14	9.7 #15	18.7 #11
RUTG allowed	6.6 #99	9.9 #114	16.5 #112	9.4 #133	4.1 #19	13.5 #97

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.