Hawai'i @ UNLV: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Fri, Nov 21, 2025, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at UNLV · Conference game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Hawai'i

7-3 · Power #90

final

Final

UNLV

8-2 · Power #74

▲ winner

Closing spread

UNLV -2.5

✓ UNLV W

Total

64.5

▼ Under · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

HAW 29–32 UNLV

✓ UNLV (60%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUNLV -3.5

CloseUNLV -2.5

Total64.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUNLV -3.5

1 → HAW

CloseUNLV -2.5

1 pt toward Hawai'i

Total

Open64.5

no move

Close64.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UNLV -3.5 · closed UNLV -2.5 · moved 1 toward HAWmodel UNLV -8

model UNLV -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 52% (307 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 46% (110 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUNLV -3.5

CloseUNLV -2.5

Total64.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UNLV as a 2.5-point home favorite against HAW, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: UNLV won 38–10; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 48 points stayed under 64.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.9 against an average line of 3.8; 58.5 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UNLV vs USU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & season form	-4.5	29–26	L	U68.5
Very close	GASO vs ODU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-5.5	17–20	L	U61.5
Very close	UNLV vs UNM 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & season form	-3.5	35–40	L	O61.5
Very close	UNLV vs SJSU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-1.5	31–37	L	O58.25
Close	UNT vs ECU 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	28–40	L	U73.5
Close	JXST vs WKU 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-4.5	52–12	W	O58.5
Close	JXST vs SHSU 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-5.5	21–11	W	U57.5
Close	SJSU vs USU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar total & season form	-4	42–21	W	U65
Close	TTU vs KU 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & total	-3.5	43–28	W	O63.5
Close	OKST vs WVU 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	14–38	L	U64.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HAW WWWLW	7-3	70%	2-2	5-2
UNLV LLLWL	5-5	50%	1-4	4-4

Venue/role: HAW away, as underdog; UNLV home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
HAW OOUOU	4-6	40%	7-3
UNLV OOOUU	5-5	50%	8-2

Stayed under: it needed 31 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 44% of games with totals 60.5–68.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HAW	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%
UNLV	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

HAW 0–2 UNLV UNLV leads · 2 games since 2023 · UNLV has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 9 2024	UNLV 29 @ Hawai'i 27	UNLV -12.5	HAW W
Sep 30 2023	Hawai'i 20 @ UNLV 44	UNLV -10.5	UNLV W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

HAW−11.4 →−5.5▲ 5.9#87

UNLV+5.4 →−2.9▼ 8.3#78

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

HAW

Longer bar = better

UNLV

#71

Offense

UNLV better ▶

#22

#63

Defense

◀ HAW better

#116

−0.4 #102

Turnovers

UNLV better ▶

+0.7 #21

73 plays #10

Pace

◀ HAW faster

67 plays #68

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When HAW has the ball

Advantage: HAW offense

	HAW off	UNLV def	Edge
Points / game	30.5 #50	31.0 #115	HAW
Yards / play	5.56 #75	6.64 #133	HAW
PPA / play	+0.11 #72	+0.17 #104	HAW
Success rate	41% #88	45% #112	HAW

When UNLV has the ball

Advantage: UNLV offense

	UNLV off	HAW def	Edge
Points / game	36.6 #16	23.7 #68	UNLV
Yards / play	6.88 #14	5.68 #80	UNLV
PPA / play	+0.24 #24	+0.08 #66	UNLV
Success rate	46% #32	39% #36	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

HAW scoring against the UNLV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HAW scored	6.9 #46	8.4 #71	15.3 #66	6.3 #57	8.9 #28	15.2 #35
UNLV allowed	7.5 #112	8.2 #92	15.7 #103	7.2 #114	7.8 #108	15.0 #115

UNLV scoring against the HAW defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNLV scored	5.4 #82	13.0 #5	18.4 #26	7.5 #38	10.1 #10	17.6 #15
HAW allowed	4.7 #54	6.7 #51	11.4 #49	5.0 #52	7.3 #95	12.3 #74

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.