Nevada @ Wyoming: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Wyoming · Conference game

Weather at kickoff45°F9 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Nevada

2-8 · Power #121

▲ winner

Final

Wyoming

4-6 · Power #107

final

Closing spread

WYO -6.5

✓ NEV W

Total

40.5

▼ Under · 20 pts

Model before kickoff

NEV 16–23 WYO

✗ WYO (70%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWYO -7.5

CloseWYO -6.5

Total41.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWYO -7.5

1 → NEV

CloseWYO -6.5

1 pt toward Nevada

Total

Open41.5

▼ 1

Close40.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WYO -7.5 · closed WYO -6.5 · moved 1 toward NEVmodel WYO -10.5

model WYO -10.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 55% (230 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 56% (87 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWYO -7.5

CloseWYO -6.5

Total41.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WYO as a 6.5-point home favorite against NEV, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: NEV won 13–7 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 20 points stayed under 40.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 67%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.8 against an average line of 6.9; 39 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ECU vs CLT 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & total	-6	7–10	L	U39.5
Very close	BUFF vs EMU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	11–24	L	U38
Very close	BGSU vs BALL 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-4.5	24–21	L	O39.5
Very close	WMU vs BALL 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-9.5	42–0	W	U43
Very close	WYO vs CSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6	24–15	W	U43.5
Very close	NIU vs BALL 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-9.5	17–20	L	U43
Very close	ULM vs USM 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-4.5	38–21	W	O41
Very close	UNC vs STAN 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar season form & total	-8.5	20–15	L	U41.5
Very close	BGSU vs AKR 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	41–14	W	O37
Very close	M-OH vs WMU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-7	10–16	L	U44

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NEV LWLLW	4-6	40%	3-2	4-4
WYO WWWLL	5-5	50%	3-2	3-0

Venue/role: NEV away, as underdog; WYO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NEV OUUOO	4-6	40%	2-8
WYO OUUUU	2-8	20%	4-6

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 54% of games with totals 36.5–44.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NEV	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
WYO	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

NEV 0–1 WYO WYO leads · 1 game since 2023 · WYO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 25 2023	Wyoming 42 @ Nevada 6	WYO -11.5	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NEV−9.7 →−14.4▼ 4.7#124

WYO−11.9 →−8.8▲ 3.1#97

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

NEV

Longer bar = better

WYO

#126

Offense

Even

#116

#88

Defense

WYO better ▶

#33

−1.1 #135

Turnovers

WYO better ▶

−0.4 #110

60 plays #130

Pace

WYO faster ▶

65 plays #100

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NEV has the ball

Advantage: WYO defense

	NEV off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	18.1 #125	20.6 #34	WYO
Yards / play	5.02 #116	5.12 #38	WYO
PPA / play	−0.08 #133	+0.02 #34	WYO
Success rate	35% #129	38% #27	WYO

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: NEV defense

	WYO off	NEV def	Edge
Points / game	17.8 #128	28.1 #94	NEV
Yards / play	5.11 #108	5.58 #73	NEV
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	+0.13 #89	NEV
Success rate	39% #110	44% #94	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

NEV scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NEV scored	2.6 #130	6.2 #105	8.8 #122	3.1 #129	6.2 #78	9.3 #119
WYO allowed	5.1 #58	6.5 #43	11.6 #53	2.9 #16	6.1 #59	9.0 #22

WYO scoring against the NEV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	4.1 #110	3.7 #133	7.8 #130	3.8 #113	6.2 #78	10.0 #110
NEV allowed	6.8 #102	9.9 #113	16.7 #114	5.5 #68	5.9 #51	11.4 #57

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.