Central Michigan @ Kent State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Wed, Nov 19, 2025, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Kent State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff39°F2 mphDryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Central Michigan

6-4 · Power #103

▲ winner

Final

Kent State

4-6 · Power #132

final

Closing spread

CMU -7.5

✓ CMU W

Total

50.5

▼ Under · 44 pts

Model before kickoff

CMU 30–22 KENT

✓ CMU (71%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCMU -7.5

CloseCMU -7.5

Total47.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCMU -7.5

no move

CloseCMU -7.5

No change since the open

Total

Open47.5

▲ 3

Close50.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CMU -7.5 · unchangedmodel CMU -9.5

model CMU -9.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 67%, covered 51% (141 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCMU -7.5

CloseCMU -7.5

Total47.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CMU as a 7.5-point road favorite at KENT, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: CMU won 28–16; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 44 points stayed under 50.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6 against an average line of 8.8; 56.4 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 7 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CMU @ AKR 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	22–28	L	O47.5
Very close	JXST @ FIU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-9	41–16	W	O48
Very close	TOL @ AKR 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & situation	-9.5	14–21	L	U49.5
Close	TEM @ CLT 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-9.5	49–14	W	O47.5
Close	NIU @ CMU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & total	-4.75	31–37	L	O48
Close	CONN @ MASS 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	47–42	L	O49.5
Close	M-OH @ AKR 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & season form	-11.5	20–7	W	U47.5
Close	M-OH @ AKR 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-9	27–9	W	U51.5
Close	UL @ ULM 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & rest	-8.5	37–23	W	O50
Close	ECU @ CLT 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & season form	-9.5	24–55	L	O47.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CMU LWWWW	7-3	70%	3-3	4-1
KENT WLWLW	5-4	56%	3-0	4-4

Venue/role: CMU away, as favorite; KENT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CMU OUOOO	7-3	70%	6-4
KENT UOUUO	5-4	56%	4-6

Stayed under: it needed 34 in the 4th quarter and got 27. 54% of games with totals 46.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CMU	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
KENT	4-6 40%	5-4 56%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CMU−14.4 →−9.1▲ 5.3#100

KENT−26.4 →−20.3▲ 6.1#133

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CMU

Longer bar = better

KENT

#68

Offense

◀ CMU better

#123

#45

Defense

◀ CMU better

#104

+0.8 #13

Turnovers

◀ CMU better

−0.2 #90

61 plays #128

Pace

Even

57 plays #137

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CMU has the ball

Advantage: CMU offense

	CMU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	25.5 #80	34.4 #128	CMU
Yards / play	5.60 #71	6.00 #110	CMU
PPA / play	+0.18 #42	+0.16 #99	CMU
Success rate	42% #78	42% #78	Even

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: CMU defense

	KENT off	CMU def	Edge
Points / game	20.4 #118	23.5 #61	CMU
Yards / play	4.95 #119	5.41 #57	CMU
PPA / play	−0.01 #123	−0.02 #19	CMU
Success rate	35% #132	39% #42	CMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CMU scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CMU scored	7.6 #30	8.5 #70	16.1 #49	5.8 #72	3.6 #129	9.4 #118
KENT allowed	8.6 #125	10.7 #124	19.3 #130	8.7 #127	6.4 #67	15.1 #119

KENT scoring against the CMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	4.5 #100	3.4 #135	7.9 #130	7.0 #45	4.8 #115	11.8 #84
CMU allowed	3.7 #36	8.5 #95	12.2 #62	6.2 #94	5.1 #38	11.3 #56

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.