Wyoming @ Hawai'i: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 11:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Hawai'i · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F3 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

4-7 · Power #107

final

Final

Hawai'i

7-4 · Power #90

▲ winner

Closing spread

HAW -8.5

✓ HAW W

Total

44.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 18–27 HAW

✓ HAW (72%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenHAW -10.5

CloseHAW -8.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenHAW -10.5

2 → WYO

CloseHAW -8.5

2 pts toward Wyoming

Total

Open44.5

no move

Close44.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened HAW -10.5 · closed HAW -8.5 · moved 2 toward WYOmodel HAW -8

model HAW -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 7.5–9.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 50% (166 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (210 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenHAW -10.5

CloseHAW -8.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like HAW as an 8.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: HAW won 27–7; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 44.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8 against an average line of 8; 43.2 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 4 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FAU vs ECU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	7–22	L	U44.75
Very close	SHSU vs LT 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & rest	-10.5	9–3	L	U45.5
Very close	WYO vs CSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & total	-6	24–15	W	U43.5
Very close	NIU vs BALL 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & rest	-9.5	17–20	L	U43
Very close	OHIO vs BGSU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	35–20	W	O49.5
Very close	TROY vs ARMY 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & rest	-8.5	10–9	L	U45.5
Very close	UTSA vs RICE 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	61–13	W	O48.5
Very close	APP vs CCU 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-10.5	37–45	L	O48
Very close	TROY vs ULM 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-6	9–13	L	U46
Very close	OHIO vs BUFF 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-4	47–16	W	O46.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO WWLLL	5-6	45%	2-3	2-5
HAW WWLWL	7-4	64%	5-1	2-1

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; HAW home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO UUUUU	2-9	18%	4-7
HAW OUOUU	4-7	36%	7-4

Stayed under: it needed 11 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 54% of games with totals 40.5–48.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%
HAW	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WYO 1–0 HAW WYO leads · 1 game since 2023 · WYO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 18 2023	Hawai'i 9 @ Wyoming 42	WYO -13.5	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−11.9 →−10.0▲ 1.9#105

HAW−11.4 →−6.9▲ 4.5#92

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

WYO

Longer bar = better

HAW

#123

Offense

HAW better ▶

#81

#30

Defense

◀ WYO better

#74

−0.3 #99

Turnovers

Even

−0.4 #104

65 plays #97

Pace

HAW faster ▶

71 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: HAW defense

	WYO off	HAW def	Edge
Points / game	16.8 #131	25.0 #70	HAW
Yards / play	4.96 #122	5.81 #92	HAW
PPA / play	0.00 #123	+0.11 #75	HAW
Success rate	39% #114	41% #60	HAW

When HAW has the ball

Advantage: WYO defense

	HAW off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	28.6 #65	19.9 #25	WYO
Yards / play	5.50 #86	5.08 #37	WYO
PPA / play	+0.09 #81	+0.02 #33	WYO
Success rate	41% #92	38% #25	WYO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the HAW defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	3.7 #118	3.4 #135	7.1 #132	4.1 #110	5.6 #101	9.7 #114
HAW allowed	5.2 #66	7.4 #68	12.5 #70	4.5 #43	7.9 #101	12.5 #75

HAW scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HAW scored	6.9 #40	7.9 #84	14.8 #67	5.7 #78	8.1 #37	13.8 #49
WYO allowed	4.6 #52	6.5 #43	11.2 #49	2.9 #14	5.8 #49	8.7 #21

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.