Arizona @ Colorado: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Sat, Nov 1, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Colorado · Conference game

Weather at kickoff59°F2 mphgusts 7DryWeather watch ›

Arizona

4-3 · Power #26

▲ winner

Final

Colorado

3-5 · Power #75

final

Closing spread

ARIZ -3.5

✓ ARIZ W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 69 pts

Model before kickoff

ARIZ 27–24 COLO

✓ ARIZ (58%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARIZ -5.5

CloseARIZ -3.5

Total53.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARIZ -5.5

2 → COLO

CloseARIZ -3.5

2 pts toward Colorado

Total

Open53.5

▼ 2

Close51.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARIZ -5.5 · closed ARIZ -3.5 · moved 2 toward COLOmodel ARIZ -1

model ARIZ -1

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 49% (196 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (186 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenARIZ -5.5

CloseARIZ -3.5

Total53.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARIZ as a 3.5-point road favorite at COLO, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ARIZ won 52–17; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 69 points went over 51.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.4 against an average line of 3.3; 59.8 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ISU @ COLO 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3	17–24	L	U52.5
Very close	TULN @ TLSA 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	27–13	W	U56
Very close	WSU @ STAN 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	52–14	W	O48.5
Very close	SYR @ NCSU 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-1	24–17	W	U51.5
Very close	TTU @ BYU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & spread	-3	14–27	L	U50
Very close	VT @ SYR 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & situation	-3.5	31–38	L	O53.5
Very close	WVU @ HOU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar season form & total	-3	39–41	L	O49.5
Very close	DUKE @ CAL 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-3.5	45–21	W	O54.5
Close	BAY @ WVU 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar team ratings & spread	-3	40–43	L	O55
Close	KU @ OKST 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar season form & spread	-3	32–39	L	O54

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARIZ WLWLL	4-3	57%	0-2	3-1
COLO WWWWL	5-3	63%	4-1	3-3

Venue/role: ARIZ away, as favorite; COLO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARIZ UOUOO	3-4	43%	4-3
COLO OUUUO	3-5	38%	3-5

Went over in Q3. Of 607 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARIZ	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
COLO	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ARIZ 1–1 COLO Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · COLO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 19 2024	Colorado 34 @ Arizona 7	ARIZ -2.5	COLO W
Nov 11 2023	Arizona 34 @ Colorado 31	ARIZ -8	COLO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARIZ−2.1 →+5.8▲ 7.9#48

COLO+9.6 →+0.7▼ 8.9#65

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

ARIZ

Longer bar = better

COLO

#62

Offense

◀ ARIZ better

#101

#25

Defense

◀ ARIZ better

#104

+0.7 #25

Turnovers

◀ ARIZ better

−0.4 #101

69 plays #39

Pace

◀ ARIZ faster

62 plays #123

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARIZ has the ball

Advantage: ARIZ offense

	ARIZ off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	31.6 #48	27.4 #90	ARIZ
Yards / play	6.00 #53	6.14 #116	ARIZ
PPA / play	+0.14 #65	+0.15 #98	ARIZ
Success rate	42% #80	45% #113	ARIZ

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: ARIZ defense

	COLO off	ARIZ def	Edge
Points / game	22.6 #103	20.3 #37	ARIZ
Yards / play	5.37 #97	4.46 #14	ARIZ
PPA / play	+0.11 #85	−0.02 #21	ARIZ
Success rate	38% #118	38% #26	ARIZ

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ARIZ scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARIZ scored	10.4 #7	8.1 #76	18.6 #30	7.4 #37	5.1 #102	12.6 #74
COLO allowed	3.8 #39	10.8 #123	14.5 #90	5.5 #71	7.4 #92	12.9 #87

COLO scoring against the ARIZ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	4.4 #108	7.8 #79	12.1 #99	4.8 #96	5.8 #89	10.5 #104
ARIZ allowed	5.4 #69	4.9 #18	10.3 #41	5.0 #57	3.7 #13	8.7 #25

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.