Wyoming @ San Diego State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Sat, Nov 1, 2025, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 10 · at San Diego State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff68°F4 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

4-4 · Power #107

final

Final

San Diego State

6-1 · Power #68

▲ winner

Closing spread

SDSU -10.5

✓ SDSU W

Total

41.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 15–26 SDSU

✓ SDSU (78%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSDSU -10.5

CloseSDSU -10.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSDSU -10.5

no move

CloseSDSU -10.5

No change since the open

Total

Open42.5

▼ 1

Close41.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SDSU -10.5 · unchangedmodel SDSU -11

model SDSU -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 9.5–11.5 since 2023: won 75%, covered 40% (128 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSDSU -10.5

CloseSDSU -10.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SDSU as a 10.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: SDSU won 24–7; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 31 points stayed under 41.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.3 against an average line of 10.2; 43.5 points a game (usually 54.3). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	AFA vs SDSU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10.5	49–10	W	O43.5
Very close	LIB vs VT 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10.5	22–23	L	U46.25
Close	TULN vs USM 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-11.75	24–27	L	O48.5
Close	SHSU vs LT 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-10.5	9–3	L	U45.5
Close	OHIO vs M-OH 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & total	-7.5	16–30	L	O39
Close	TOL vs NIU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-13	35–33	L	O48
Close	RUTG vs TEM 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & total	-7.5	36–7	W	U43.5
Close	TROY vs ARMY 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-8.5	10–9	L	U45.5
Close	DUKE vs VT 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & situation	-10	24–7	W	U50
Close	AFA vs WYO 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & total	-12.5	34–27	L	O42

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO LLWWW	5-3	63%	2-1	2-3
SDSU WWWWW	5-1	83%	2-0	4-0

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; SDSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO OUOUU	2-6	25%	4-4
SDSU UUOOU	3-4	43%	6-1

Stayed under: it needed 18 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 54% of games with totals 37.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	2-8 20%
SDSU	6-4 60%	5-4 56%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WYO 0–1 SDSU SDSU leads · 1 game since 2023 · SDSU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 12 2024	San Diego State 27 @ Wyoming 24	WYO -1.5	SDSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−11.9 →−6.7▲ 5.2#94

SDSU−12.0 →+0.5▲ 12.5#66

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

WYO

Longer bar = better

SDSU

#88

Offense

SDSU better ▶

#56

#45

Defense

SDSU better ▶

−0.1 #84

Turnovers

SDSU better ▶

+0.6 #36

66 plays #86

Pace

Even

65 plays #99

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: SDSU defense

	WYO off	SDSU def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #113	10.4 #2	SDSU
Yards / play	5.59 #77	3.94 #4	SDSU
PPA / play	+0.09 #91	−0.15 #3	SDSU
Success rate	43% #72	30% #3	SDSU

When SDSU has the ball

Even matchup

	SDSU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	29.6 #61	19.8 #33	WYO
Yards / play	5.63 #74	5.11 #41	WYO
PPA / play	+0.15 #58	+0.04 #42	Even
Success rate	46% #31	41% #63	SDSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the SDSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	3.9 #116	4.6 #126	8.5 #124	4.8 #96	7.8 #49	12.5 #78
SDSU allowed	1.4 #3	3.1 #6	4.6 #4	1.4 #3	4.4 #26	5.9 #6

SDSU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SDSU scored	7.0 #52	10.0 #41	17.0 #45	6.7 #62	5.9 #88	12.6 #74
WYO allowed	4.6 #53	6.5 #55	11.1 #47	3.6 #28	5.0 #40	8.6 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.