Colorado State @ Wyoming: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2025)

Sat, Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Wyoming · Conference game

Weather at kickoff49°F9 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Colorado State

2-5 · Power #116

final

Final

Wyoming

3-4 · Power #107

▲ winner

Closing spread

WYO -5.5

✓ WYO W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 28 pts

Model before kickoff

CSU 20–25 WYO

✓ WYO (65%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWYO -4.5

CloseWYO -5.5

Total45.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWYO -4.5

1 → WYO

CloseWYO -5.5

1 pt toward Wyoming

Total

Open45.5

▲ 1

Close46.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WYO -4.5 · closed WYO -5.5 · moved 1 toward WYOmodel WYO -4

model WYO -4

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 68%, covered 56% (163 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (214 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWYO -4.5

CloseWYO -5.5

Total45.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WYO as a 5.5-point home favorite against CSU, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: WYO won 28–0; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 28 points stayed under 46.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.4 against an average line of 4.4; 42.6 points a game (usually 53). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	M-OH vs OHIO 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	30–20	W	O43.5
Very close	M-OH vs BALL 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-2.5	18–17	L	U45
Very close	WYO vs CSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & rest	-6	24–15	W	U43.5
Very close	TXST vs ARST 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6	16–13	L	U50
Very close	WYO vs USU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-5.25	28–14	W	U44.5
Very close	RICE vs UTEP 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & spread	-3.5	37–30	W	O47
Very close	ECU vs TLSA 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & season form	-3	27–29	L	O44.25
Very close	CONN vs RICE 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	17–10	W	U47
Very close	BGSU vs WMU 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & total	-5	13–9	L	U48
Very close	STAN vs SJSU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-3	30–29	L	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CSU WLLWL	3-4	43%	1-1	3-1
WYO LLLWW	4-3	57%	2-2	2-0

Venue/role: CSU away, as underdog; WYO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CSU UUOOU	3-4	43%	2-5
WYO UOUOU	2-5	29%	3-4

Stayed under: it needed 19 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 54% of games with totals 42.5–50.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CSU	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%
WYO	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CSU 1–1 WYO Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · CSU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2024	Wyoming 10 @ Colorado State 24	CSU -7.5	CSU W
Nov 3 2023	Colorado State 15 @ Wyoming 24	WYO -6	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CSU−6.9 →−9.2▼ 2.3#103

WYO−11.9 →−8.8▲ 3.1#101

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

CSU

Longer bar = better

WYO

#94

Offense

Even

#98

#97

Defense

WYO better ▶

#51

+0.3 #56

Turnovers

◀ CSU better

−0.6 #114

65 plays #96

Pace

WYO faster ▶

66 plays #73

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CSU has the ball

Advantage: WYO defense

	CSU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	21.9 #110	22.6 #54	WYO
Yards / play	5.14 #108	5.12 #40	WYO
PPA / play	+0.13 #77	+0.07 #51	WYO
Success rate	42% #79	41% #59	Even

When WYO has the ball

Even matchup

	WYO off	CSU def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #118	27.0 #91	CSU
Yards / play	5.50 #88	6.10 #116	WYO
PPA / play	+0.06 #107	+0.13 #90	Even
Success rate	43% #77	44% #91	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CSU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CSU scored	4.4 #107	5.9 #111	10.3 #115	3.0 #128	8.6 #41	11.6 #85
WYO allowed	5.3 #71	7.4 #83	12.7 #73	4.1 #44	5.7 #52	9.9 #39

WYO scoring against the CSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	3.4 #123	3.3 #133	6.7 #132	4.4 #103	8.9 #33	13.3 #61
CSU allowed	5.4 #72	10.3 #119	15.7 #104	6.9 #105	4.4 #27	11.3 #61

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.