Kansas @ Oklahoma State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2023)

Sat, Oct 14, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Oklahoma State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff66°F13 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Kansas

5-1 · Power #24

final

Final

Oklahoma State

3-2 · Power #43

▲ winner

Closing spread

KU -2.5

✓ OKST W

Total

52.5

▲ Over · 71 pts

Model before kickoff

KU 29–26 OKST

✗ KU (59%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseKU -2.5

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseKU -2.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close52.5

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseKU -2.5

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like KU as a 2.5-point road favorite at OKST, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: OKST won 39–32 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 71 points went over 52.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 46%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3 against an average line of 2.7; 44.4 points a game (usually 54.3). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ORST @ CAL 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2	25–39	L	O56.5
Very close	NCST @ FSU 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	28–14	W	U55
Very close	BYU @ WSU 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	21–19	L	U56.5
Very close	MRSH @ TROY 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar total & spread	-3.25	7–16	L	U51.5
Very close	WMU @ TOL 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest	-1.5	15–34	L	U54.5
Very close	NEV @ CSU 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	52–10	W	O57.75
Very close	NEB @ RUTG 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	14–13	L	U50.5
Very close	MSU @ RUTG 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & rest	-4	31–13	W	U50
Very close	LSU @ MSST 2021 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-1.5	28–25	W	U55
Very close	APP @ UL 2021 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	16–24	L	U52

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KU WLWLW	3-3	50%	0-2	3-2
OKST LWLLW	2-3	40%	1-2	1-1

Venue/role: KU away, as favorite; OKST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KU UUOU–	2-3	40%	5-1
OKST UUUO–	1-3	25%	3-2

Went over in Q3. Of 88 earlier overs in games with totals 48.5–56.5, 40% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KUlast 6	5-1 83%	3-3 50%	2-3 40%
OKSTlast 5	3-2 60%	2-3 40%	1-3 25%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

KU 31–41 OKST (3 tied) OKST leads · 75 games since 1923 · KU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KU+2.0 →+5.3▲ 3.3#36

OKST−1.5 →−1.9▼ 0.4#74

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

Longer bar = better

OKST

#12

Offense

◀ KU better

#105

#90

Defense

OKST better ▶

#56

+0.7 #25

Turnovers

◀ KU better

0.0 #70

62 plays #117

Pace

OKST faster ▶

71 plays #29

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KU has the ball

Advantage: KU offense

	KU off	OKST def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #21	23.2 #57	KU
Yards / play	7.01 #12	5.54 #70	KU
PPA / play	+0.37 #8	+0.10 #72	KU
Success rate	54% #6	37% #26	Even

When OKST has the ball

Even matchup

	OKST off	KU def	Edge
Points / game	23.4 #101	25.5 #72	KU
Yards / play	5.05 #117	5.79 #85	KU
PPA / play	+0.08 #92	+0.15 #101	Even
Success rate	38% #109	44% #103	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

KU scoring against the OKST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KU scored	7.5 #39	9.2 #55	16.7 #48	10.7 #9	8.7 #31	19.3 #11
OKST allowed	4.8 #66	8.2 #87	13.0 #78	4.4 #44	5.8 #58	10.2 #42

OKST scoring against the KU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OKST scored	4.8 #94	7.2 #96	12.0 #98	3.2 #122	8.2 #44	11.4 #95
KU allowed	4.0 #46	5.5 #36	9.5 #35	6.5 #89	9.5 #116	16.0 #110

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.