Colorado @ Utah: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2025)

Sat, Oct 25, 2025, 10:25 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Utah · Conference game

Weather at kickoff64°F10 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Colorado

3-4 · Power #75

final

Final

Utah

5-2 · Power #8

▲ winner

Closing spread

UTAH -14.5

✓ UTAH W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 60 pts

Model before kickoff

COLO 17–32 UTAH

✓ UTAH (86%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTAH -15.5

CloseUTAH -14.5

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTAH -15.5

1 → COLO

CloseUTAH -14.5

1 pt toward Colorado

Total

Open50.5

no move

Close50.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UTAH -15.5 · closed UTAH -14.5 · moved 1 toward COLOmodel UTAH -18

model UTAH -18

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 13.5–15.5 since 2023: won 90%, covered 55% (115 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (256 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTAH -15.5

CloseUTAH -14.5

Total50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTAH as a 14.5-point home favorite against COLO, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: UTAH won 53–7; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 60 points went over 50.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 83%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 17 against an average line of 14; 60.4 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 6 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	USC vs WIS 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & situation	-13.5	38–21	W	O50
Very close	FSU vs MIA 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-14.5	27–20	L	U50.5
Very close	MD vs IU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & total	-14	44–17	W	O50
Very close	MD vs ILL 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-13.5	24–27	L	U52
Very close	LOU vs BC 2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar season form & spread	-14	56–28	W	O53.5
Very close	ISU vs UCF 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & season form	-13	38–35	L	O49.5
Very close	UGA vs MIZ 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & rest	-14.5	30–21	L	U55.5
Very close	ISU vs BAY 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & season form	-13	43–21	W	O45
Close	ORE vs WASH 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & season form	-17.5	49–21	W	O50.5
Close	SMU vs CAL 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar season form & spread	-12.5	38–6	W	U54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLO LWWWW	5-2	71%	1-1	3-2
UTAH WLWWL	5-2	71%	2-1	5-2

Venue/role: COLO away, as underdog; UTAH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLO OOUUU	2-5	29%	3-4
UTAH UUOOU	4-3	57%	5-2

Went over in Q4. Of 573 earlier overs in games with totals 46.5–54.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLO	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
UTAH	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

COLO 33–37 UTAH (3 tied) UTAH leads · 73 games since 1903 · UTAH has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 16 2024	Utah 24 @ Colorado 49	COLO -13.5	COLO W
Nov 25 2023	Colorado 17 @ Utah 23	UTAH -21.5	COLO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

COLO+9.6 →+2.5▼ 7.1#59

UTAH+4.1 →+16.4▲ 12.3#13

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

COLO

Longer bar = better

UTAH

#81

Offense

UTAH better ▶

#21

#89

Defense

UTAH better ▶

#16

−0.3 #99

Turnovers

UTAH better ▶

−0.1 #83

61 plays #128

Pace

UTAH faster ▶

73 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: UTAH defense

	COLO off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	24.9 #91	15.3 #10	UTAH
Yards / play	5.90 #59	4.85 #24	UTAH
PPA / play	+0.15 #63	−0.04 #16	UTAH
Success rate	39% #111	36% #13	UTAH

When UTAH has the ball

Advantage: UTAH offense

	UTAH off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	36.9 #19	23.7 #64	UTAH
Yards / play	6.29 #33	5.89 #102	UTAH
PPA / play	+0.26 #20	+0.11 #75	UTAH
Success rate	50% #13	45% #114	UTAH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

COLO scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	5.0 #88	8.9 #66	13.9 #80	5.4 #75	5.6 #96	11.0 #95
UTAH allowed	1.9 #7	3.3 #6	5.1 #5	2.4 #12	7.7 #100	10.1 #41

UTAH scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	7.3 #49	9.9 #47	17.1 #41	9.4 #12	10.3 #12	19.7 #7
COLO allowed	1.9 #7	8.6 #95	10.4 #44	5.9 #82	7.4 #92	13.3 #98

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.